GCRI · Science
Financial economics and macro-finance
Financial economics and macro-finance study how asset prices, credit and financial institutions interact with the real economy. They explain how shocks are amplified or absorbed through balance sheets and markets. Financial Stability stewards this page for the Nexus Consortium.
The workspace for financial economics and macro-finance.
Econometric model
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) · Financial economics · Run R-3781 · Example interface, not a record
Estimates
robust standard errors
| Country programmes active | −0.08 | 0.18 | [−0.3, 0.2] | No |
| Evidence records with labels | 0.62 | 0.18 | [−0.3, 0.3] | No |
| Methods applied | 0.42 | 0.14 | [0.1, 0.5] | Yes |
| Reports released | −0.25 | 0.12 | [−0.5, 0.4] | No |
Method card
- Method
- Financial economics and macro-finance
- Sample
- 5486 obs
- Design
- panel, fixed effects
- Label
- MODELLED
Residuals by group
GCRI · Econometric model. Econometric model: example names and illustrative values, not a record.
What financial economics and macro-finance covers.
- 01
Core methods
asset pricing models; credit risk modelling; macro-financial modelling; systemic risk measurement; event studies; balance sheet analysis.
- 02
Data and instruments
market price and yield data; supervisory returns; corporate financial statements; flow of funds accounts; credit registries.
- 03
Validation
Models are back-tested against historical market episodes and crises. Results are compared with supervisory data and alternative specifications.
- 04
Limits
Relationships estimated in calm periods may break down in stress. Hidden leverage and interconnections are often unobserved.
- 05
Use in risk decisions
Financial economics traces how physical, health or cyber shocks transmit to credit, sovereign debt and markets. It informs macroprudential policy and the pricing of risk.
Financial economics informs supervisory and disclosure practice.
| Reference | What it sets |
|---|---|
| Basel Committee standards | Bank capital and liquidity |
| NGFS scenarios | Climate scenarios for financial analysis |
| IFRS S2 | Climate-related financial disclosure |
| Financial Stability Board | System-wide vulnerabilities |
How the process runs.
Process
Financial economics and macro-finance: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.
01 Drivers
- 01HazardDataset · Competent authorityThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
- 02ExposureDataset · Competent authorityThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
- 03SensitivityDataset · Competent authorityThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
- 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Competent authorityThe ability of systems, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.
02 Assessment
- 05Risk from responsesComponent · Competent authorityRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
- 06VulnerabilityComponent · Competent authorityThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
- 07RiskModel · The Global Centre for Risk and InnovationRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
03 Response
- 08Risk management and responseStep · Competent authorityRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
- 09Residual riskRecord · Competent authorityThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.
04 Decision
- 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Competent authorityThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.
Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.
Where science meets the balance sheet.
Financial economics explains how physical and transition shocks become credit losses, repricing and liquidity stress. GCRI’s interest is the interface: hazard and exposure analysis in a form that financial models can use, with uncertainty that survives the translation. The sector analysis itself is GRA’s mandate.
- Translate hazard probabilities into loss distributions, not single scenarios only.
- Avoid treating scenario outputs as forecasts.
- Nothing in this analysis is investment advice.
Platforms that apply this method.
- Capital NexusInstitutionGRF
- Banking NexusInstitutionGRA
- Asset Management NexusInstitutionGRA
- Capital Markets NexusInstitutionGRA
- Private Equity NexusInstitutionGRA
- Institutional Funds NexusInstitutionGRA
- Financial Regulation NexusInstitutionGRA
- Sovereign Capital NexusInstitutionGRA
- Financial StabilityInstitutionGRA
- Climate and Nature Financial RiskInstitutionGRA
- Private CreditInstitutionGRA
Who maintains this page.
Financial Stability stewards financial economics and macro-finance: it keeps this description current and reviews how the method is applied across the platforms.
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
Why does one institution host every method page?
How do I suggest a correction to a method page?
Contribute evidence from this page.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- EmailGateway GW-GCRISend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsGCRISee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.
Bring a method, a dataset or a question.
Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
Legal documents.
Maps, data and figures on this site are shown for context and general information. They are not advice, forecasts or warnings; the limits of the information are set out in the Disclaimers and Data Notices.