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GCRI · STEM Commons

Science

Every science method in the STEM Commons, its steward platform and how widely it is applied.

Open Hydrology and water science Back to STEM Commons
01Workspace

The workspace for science.

Econometric model

The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) · Science · Run R-6516 · Example interface, not a record

Estimates stableGCRI · GCRI

Estimates

robust standard errors

Country programmes active0.100.05[0.0, 0.5]No
Evidence records with labels0.140.13[−0.4, 0.3]No
Methods applied0.120.18[−0.1, 0.8]No
Reports released−0.190.15[0.0, 0.4]Yes

Method card

Method
science
Sample
2345 obs
Design
panel, fixed effects
Label
MODELLED

Residuals by group

Econometric model.Illustrative interface; not live data.

GCRI · Econometric model. Econometric model: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

02Science

14 methods.

03The science strand

Disciplines that explain how coupled systems behave.

The science strand covers the Earth and life sciences that describe hazards and ecosystems, and the social and economic sciences that describe exposure, vulnerability and response. Systemic analysis needs both: the physical chain from rainfall to river flow, and the social chain from river flow to income, health and migration.

  • Physical systems: climate, hydrology, geoscience, oceans.
  • Living systems: ecology, agriculture, epidemiology, life sciences.
  • Human systems: social science, economics, financial economics, policy science.
04Process

How the process runs.

Process

Science: Programme through eight gates

The Global Risks Forum (GRF) records eight yearly gates, each a programme decision; a gate not passed stops its work, and the competent authority decides outside.

  1. 01 Q1 · Planning

    1. 01G0 · Annual programme authorisedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF authorises the annual mandate. It never sets a national agenda.
    2. 03Route the candidate mission to standardsStep · Nexus StandardsNexus Standards routes each candidate mission to the standards and profiles that apply.

  2. 02 Q2 · Readiness and build

    1. 04G1 · Missions admittedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF admits missions with reasons recorded. It cannot admit a mission without an accountable owner.
    2. 05G2 · Data and resources qualifiedGate · The Global Risks ForumReadiness preparation closes when data, people and resources are qualified.
    3. 06G3 · Build accepted for exerciseGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF records whether the build is accepted for exercise. A gate not passed stops the work it governs.

  3. 03 Q3 · Action Week

    1. 07G4 · Controlled live operation authorisedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF authorises controlled live operation for Action Week.
    2. 08G5 · Evidence sealed and stand-down recordedGate · The Global Risks ForumThe evidence is sealed with its provenance and the stand-down is recorded.

  4. 04 Q4 · Reporting and renewal

    1. 02Competent authority decides and actsActor · The competent authorityThe competent authority decides and acts under its own rules. The programme informs it and never decides for it.
    2. 09Scientific and editorial reviewStep · Reviewers and the publisherQualified, conflict-managed reviewers and the publisher decide what is accepted. Institutions cannot decide a scientific conclusion.
    3. 10G6 · Publication authorisedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF authorises publication of results that have passed scientific and editorial review. It cannot publish personal data.
    4. 11G7 · Renewal reviewedGate · The Global Risks ForumGRF reviews renewal and sets the next cycle’s mandate.

The programme year · The Global Risks Forum · Decision rightsDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation.

05Sources

Where this page’s references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

06Pages

Pages in Science.

Method

Hydrology and water science

Method

Climate and atmospheric science

Method

Earth and geophysical science

Method

Ecology and biodiversity science

Method

Ocean and coastal science

Method

Agricultural, soil and food science

Method

Epidemiology and public health science

Method

Molecular and life sciences

Method

Materials science and chemistry

Method

Physics and quantum science

Method

Social and behavioural science

Method

Economics and development economics

Method

Financial economics and macro-finance

Method

Policy, institutional and decision science

ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRI

Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.

The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

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