GCRI · Health Nexus

One Health

Many emerging infectious diseases in people originate in animals, and the health of people, animals, plants and ecosystems is linked through shared pathogens, shared environments, food and antimicrobial use. One Health treats these as one system governed by several sectors. This page sets out how risk moves across the human, animal and environmental interfaces, how it is observed, and what joint evidence serves for the ministries and services that share responsibility for it.

02The question

One Health: how the risk develops.

Human, animal and ecosystem interdependence. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Spillover at the interface

Pathogens pass from wildlife or livestock to people where contact is frequent: land conversion, wildlife trade, intensive farming near forest edges and live animal markets. Each spillover is rare; the conditions that multiply contact are not.

Mechanism

Amplification in animals

Livestock and peri-domestic animals can amplify a pathogen before it reaches people, as with avian influenza in poultry or Rift Valley fever in ruminants after heavy rains. Animal outbreaks often precede human cases, which gives them warning value.

Mechanism

Resistance moves between sectors

Antimicrobial use in people, animals and crops selects resistant bacteria and resistance genes, which circulate through food, water, wastewater and soils. Resistance found in one sector cannot be explained or controlled within that sector alone.

Mechanism

Ecosystems set the conditions

Temperature, rainfall, land use and biodiversity loss change the range and abundance of vectors and reservoir hosts. A changing climate shifts where diseases such as dengue, malaria and tick-borne infections can establish and persist.

03Geography

Environmental exposure in Africa.

Population density, daytime surface heat and haze over Africa, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Environmental exposure, for this page

About this layer
Evidence
Estimated
Source
Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University))
Provider
NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University)
Licence
CC BY 4.0
Vintage
null; Census-based estimate, static (2020)
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Census-based estimate of people per square kilometre in 2020, shown as exposure context; not a count of people affected by any hazard.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (persistent cloud still leaves gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
8-day; Satellite 8-day composite; persistent cloud still leaves gaps
Newest at build
2026-09-14
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite skin temperature of the ground over the 8 days ending on the date shown, a heat exposure indicator; not air temperature, heat index or a heat warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 Deep Blue AOD (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite retrieval; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 2 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite measure of haze, smoke and dust through the whole air column on the day shown; an exposure indicator, not ground-level PM2.5, an air quality index or a health warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite image
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite image. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2024-01-01
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
MODIS Terra EVI (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite index; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-13
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite vegetation index for the 8 days to the date shown, a habitat condition indicator; not a measure of species or biodiversity.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Environmental exposure, framed on Africa.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERTSources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS and VIIRS atmosphere products, NASA LANCE and LAADS DAAC; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Air quality forecast, 5 days, PM2.5 (CAMS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information 2026.
  • Past year, daily temperature (ERA5 via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026.
  • Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
  • Optional layers (14 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026
  • Aerosol optical depth, daily: VIIRS NOAA-20 Deep Blue AOD, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Enhanced vegetation index, rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra EVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026

04Couplings

One Health is itself a coupling of people, animals and ecosystems.

DomainHow it couples hereWhat to watch
BiodiversityLand-use change and wildlife trade bring people into contact with new pathogens. See ecosystem integrity.Spillover events by land-use context
FoodLivestock disease threatens supply and can cross to people. See food system shocks.Animal disease notifications in WAHIS
WaterShared water sources carry pathogens and antimicrobial residues.Antimicrobial resistance in environmental samples
EnergyCold chains for vaccines and diagnostics, for people and animals.Veterinary cold chain coverage

The One Health High-Level Expert Panel’s definition of 2021, adopted by FAO, UNEP, WHO and WOAH, describes an integrated approach that aims to balance and optimise the health of people, animals and ecosystems. Jones and colleagues (2008) showed that most emerging infectious disease events are zoonotic and that most of those originate in wildlife.

05Simulator

SEIR on a network of places.

An outbreak seeded in one place spreads through a small-world network by the share of contacts people make elsewhere; play it to see the order of arrival and how the timing of measures moves the peak. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction. The map on this page shows Africa; the model itself is not tied to a place.

Controls

Basic reproduction number R0
2.5
Latent period
3.0 days
Infectious period
5.0 days
Share of contacts made in other places
8%
Places in the network
24
Measures start on day
40
Contact reduction from measures
40%
Days simulated
240 days

Readouts

Peak new infections
5.70 per 1,000 a day
Day of the peak
124
Share ever infected
59%
Places reached
100%
Reproduction number under measures
1.50
Numbers, methods and sources
DayNew infections per 1,000Cumulative infected (%)
00.000.0
170.030.0
340.450.3
511.372.0
682.535.3
853.9410.9
1025.1218.7
1195.6728.0
1365.5137.6
1534.4946.2
1702.8452.4
1871.4555.9
2040.6557.6
2210.2858.3
2380.1258.6

Methods

  1. SEIR compartments Kermack and McKendrick (1927), Proc. R. Soc. A 115
  2. Metapopulation coupling by mobility Balcan and others (2009), PNAS 106
  3. Small-world network Watts and Strogatz (1998), Nature 393
  4. Modelling infectious diseases Keeling and Rohani (2008), Princeton University Press
  5. Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualising uncertainty about the future, Science 333
  6. One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley

Data

The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page’s map can draw:

  • Cities Natural Earth
  • Airports Natural Earth
  • Major roads Natural Earth
SEIR on a network of places. Illustrative teaching model: it runs on the values set by the controls, not on measured data. Methods: SEIR compartments (Kermack and McKendrick (1927), Proc. R. Soc. A 115); Metapopulation coupling by mobility (Balcan and others (2009), PNAS 106); Small-world network (Watts and Strogatz (1998), Nature 393).

Across the six pillars, led by Nexus Consortium

06Reports, standards and contributions

One Health evidence and where it goes.

Integrated surveillance analyses are designed for the Observatory Signal series and the Global Systems Risk and Resilience series. Disease notification stays with national authorities under the International Health Regulations and WOAH rules. Useful contributions: linked human, animal and environmental surveillance cases, and evaluations of joint investigations.

07Twin and cascade simulator

Model One Health as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Health security and One Health: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.

Hazards

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-3 Risk record UNIs (grammar, legacy crosswalk, allocation authority)
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-10 Policies and clauses (machine-readable obligations: definition, binding, evaluation and enforcement)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NRS-H83 Hazard family: Health system capacity failure (NHS-1 health.system)
  • NRS-H42 Hazard family: Rare and persistent human infections (NHS-1 health.other-human)
  • NRS-H41 Hazard family: Animal-to-human spillover (NHS-1 health.zoonotic)
  • NRS-H43 Hazard family: Livestock and aquaculture epizootics (NHS-1 health.animal-health)
  • NRS-D3 Humanitarian response and resilient recovery
  • NRS-H46 Hazard family: Environmental and product harm to people (NHS-1 health.harm)

Observation

  • WHO Disease Outbreak News (listed for reference)
  • WAHIS animal health events (listed for reference)
  • WorldPop gridded population (listed for reference)
  • International Health Regulations capacity and health emergency preparedness
  • Percentage of bloodstream infections due to selected antimicrobial-resistant organisms

Example geography

  • West Africa: 59 hexagonal cells
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
08Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Notified animal disease eventsevents per reporting periodimmediate and six-monthlyNational veterinary services reporting to WOAHPublished statistics
Human cases of priority zoonosesnotified casesweeklyNotifiable disease surveillanceREPORTED
Antimicrobial use in animalsmilligrams of active ingredient per kilogram of animal biomassannualNational reports to WOAH ANIMUSEPublished statistics
Antimicrobial resistance in priority bacteriapercent of tested isolates resistantannualLaboratory surveillance reported to WHO GLASSOBSERVED
Vector suitabilitydimensionless indexmonthlyClimate-driven ecological niche modelsMODELLED
Forest loss at the human-animal interfacesquare kilometresannualSatellite land-cover changeOBSERVED
Joint multisectoral investigationscount of investigations conducted jointlyannualOne Health coordination mechanism recordsREPORTED
09Sector signature

The sector signature of One Health.

The sectors One Health touches and how strongly they depend on each other: what a study has to observe and model together.

Select corners · hover lines6 / 15 relations

Signature

Health and its partners

Health gives workforce for operations to infrastructure (0.3), farm labour to food (0.3) and utility workforce to water (0.2).

W · E · I · F · H · B

Sectors
4 of 6
Relations
6 of 15
Coupling
0.42 share of total

Strongest relations in play

  • Water → Food · irrigation0.8
  • Food → Health · nutrition0.7
  • Infrastructure → Water · pipes, dams and treatment works0.6
  • Water → Health · drinking water and sanitation0.7
Teaching values for a typical city-region, not measurements for any place. Coupling is the summed strength of the relations in play, as a share of all fifteen.
10Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
WOAH World Animal Health Information System (WAHIS)Notifications by national veterinary services of animal disease events and six-monthly status reportsPublic, WOAH terms of use
FAO EMPRES Global Animal Disease Information System (EMPRES-i)Animal disease events, zoonoses included, compiled from national veterinary reports and other sourcesPublic, FAO terms of use
WHO Global Antimicrobial Resistance and Use Surveillance System (GLASS)National resistance and use data in human healthOpen, attribution, WHO terms of use
WOAH ANIMUSEAntimicrobial use in animals reported by national authoritiesPublic summaries, WOAH terms of use
Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF)Occurrence records for reservoir hosts and vectorsOpen, licence per record (CC0, CC BY or CC BY-NC)
Hansen Global Forest ChangeAnnual forest loss and gain mapped from LandsatFree and open, attribution (CC BY 4.0)
INSDC sequence archives (GenBank, ENA, DDBJ)Pathogen genomes from human, animal and environmental samplesFree and unrestricted access
11Methods and evidence

How One Health is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

System model

The couplings between the systems in One Health: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−HealthCommunitiesEconomyR reinforcingB balancing
Causal loop diagram from the page’s systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
12Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Health Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
National One Health coordination mechanismsWhich zoonoses to prioritise, and how ministries share surveillance and responseJoint risk assessments with each sector’s evidence labelled; prioritisation inputs
Chief veterinary officers and veterinary servicesWhen an animal outbreak warrants control measures with human health implicationsAnimal event reports beside human surveillance and sequence relatedness
Ministries of health and agricultureWhere to restrict or steward antimicrobial use across human and animal sectorsResistance and use data compared across sectors, with comparability stated
Environment and wildlife authoritiesWhich land-use and wildlife trade practices raise spillover riskInterface maps and host occurrence evidence, with sampling gaps shown

Outputs this topic produces

  • Joint risk assessments that combine human, animal and environmental evidence
  • Spillover interface maps by land use, livestock density and host range
  • Antimicrobial resistance and use evidence linked across sectors
  • One Health evidence packs for multisectoral coordination mechanisms
13Core questions

What experts ask.

The central questions concern spillover, resistance and coordination.

  • Where and under what conditions do pathogens move between animals and people?
  • How do land-use change, farming practices and wildlife trade alter spillover risk?
  • How does antimicrobial use in human medicine, livestock and aquaculture drive resistance?
  • Can surveillance in animals and the environment give earlier warning than human case reports?
  • Which institutions must share data and decisions for a One Health approach to work?
14Mechanisms

Mechanisms and drivers.

Many emerging infectious diseases in people originate in animals. Spillover depends on contact between species, which is shaped by habitat loss, agricultural expansion, livestock density and the handling and trade of animals. Once a pathogen reaches people, its spread depends on transmissibility, population mobility and the response.

Antimicrobial resistance follows a different but connected mechanism: every use of an antimicrobial selects for resistant organisms, and resistance genes move between bacteria and between humans, animals and the environment through water, soil, food and waste. The result is a slow-moving threat to the effectiveness of routine medicine.

15Methods and data

How it is studied, and where the methods stop.

Method or dataWhat it showsLimits
Integrated surveillance across human, animal and environmental sectorsEarlier and broader detection of shared threatsSectors use different systems, definitions and reporting incentives
Wastewater and environmental samplingCommunity-level signals of pathogens and resistanceSignals need careful interpretation and do not identify cases
Genomic sequencingPathogen origins, relatedness and resistance genesSampling is uneven across regions and species
Ecological and land-use modellingWhere conditions favour spilloverIdentifies risk, not events; validation is difficult
16Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Epidemiology and public health scienceSurveillance design and evaluation · Nowcasting under reporting delayApplied here
  2. Molecular and life sciencesGenomic surveillance of pathogens · Cross-species linkage in One HealthApplied here
  3. Complex systems and agent-based modellingContact and mobility networks · Cascades across health and infrastructureApplied here
  4. Data engineering, interoperability and stewardshipLinking health information systems · Privacy-preserving publicationApplied here
  5. Probability and statisticsSurvey-weighted and small-area estimation · Expected baselines for excess mortalityApplied here
19Questions

Questions and answers.

What is One Health?
An integrated approach that recognises that the health of people, domestic and wild animals, plants and the wider environment are closely linked and interdependent, and that brings several sectors to work together. The Quadripartite organisations share this definition.
Can spillover be predicted?
Not as individual events. Evidence can identify the conditions and places where contact between people, livestock and wildlife is frequent, which helps authorities target surveillance and prevention.
Why link antimicrobial resistance across sectors?
Because resistant bacteria and resistance genes move through food, water and the environment. Measures in human medicine alone cannot control resistance that is being selected in animals and crops.
Is One Health only about pandemics?
No. It also covers antimicrobial resistance, foodborne illness, neglected zoonoses, vector-borne disease and environmental contamination, many of which cause steady harm rather than sudden crises.
Why is coordination so difficult?
Human, animal and environmental health are usually run by different ministries with separate budgets, legal powers and data systems. One Health asks them to share information and act together without merging their mandates.
Does Health Nexus collect field samples?
No. It works with published and governed data from competent laboratories and agencies, recorded in the source and data register.
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