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The 2027 agenda

Eight bounded questions open the 2027 infrastructure and logistics agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due in the 2027 infrastructure and logistics edition.

5 min read0 figures6 tables4 notesNR-SECTOR-INFRASTRUCTURE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1Infrastructure is what the other systems travel on
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Chokepoint closure with port downtime and a cyber incident
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
    1. 7.1 Questions for the operational series
    2. 7.2 Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment
    3. 7.3 The pathway
    4. 7.4 Universe 2027: evidence pack for the infrastructure and logistics candidate mission
    5. 7.5 Handoffs and routing
    6. 7.6 Feeds and signal register
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

7.1Questions for the operational series

  1. L-01

    How would a chokepoint closure that coincides with port weather downtime and a cyber incident travel through fuel, food and health supply at once?

    INI-GS09-HRM-01 · compound chokepoint test; first output: concurrency analysis for six corridors.

  2. L-02

    What is the current condition and maintenance backlog of roads, bridges and ports outside the United States?

    INI-GS09-CND-02 · condition register; first output: asset condition table by region.

  3. L-03

    Which ports and corridors are single points of failure for island and landlocked economies?

    INI-GS09-PRT-03 · port dependence; first output: dependence map.

  4. L-04

    How reliable is access to all-season roads and rail for rural and remote communities?

    INI-GS09-ACC-04 · access and reliability; first output: rural access table.

  5. L-05

    Where do transport operations depend on a few digital suppliers and networks, and what has failed?

    INI-GS09-CYB-05 · operational technology dependence; first output: incident and dependence register.

  6. L-06

    Which shared corridors lack operational contingency arrangements for diversion?

    To be admitted in 2027; first output: arrangement overlay.

  7. L-07

    How do heat waves and storms change capacity of rail, roads, airports and ports together?

    To be admitted in 2027; first output: scoping note.

  8. L-08

    Which infrastructure capabilities have been tested in real disruptions, and which are only planned?

    Infrastructure capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.

7.2Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment

Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for the 2027 infrastructure portfolio. They are programme objects: no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.

Table 7.1Objects proposed for the first operational quarter
IDObjectKindQuestionState
INI-GS09-HRM-01Compound chokepoint testInitiativeL-01PROPOSED
INI-GS09-CND-02Asset condition registerInitiativeL-02PROPOSED
INI-GS09-PRT-03Port and corridor dependenceInitiativeL-03PROPOSED
INI-GS09-ACC-04Access and reliabilityInitiativeL-04PROPOSED
INI-GS09-CYB-05Operational technology dependenceInitiativeL-05PROPOSED
MSN-GS09-2027-01Compound chokepoint Universe missionMissionL-01Candidate

7.3The pathway

The infrastructure edition reads national infrastructure chapters, regional corridor and port evidence and the global edition through one governed evidence graph. At baseline the federation is designed; the Canada and global chapters are drafted. This page states what exists today and what comes next.

  1. 01

    National infrastructure chapters

    transport and logistics system of each national edition

    DRAFTED · further national baselines

  2. 02

    Corridor and port evidence

    shared sea lanes, canals, rail corridors and hubs

    PLANNED · regional Baseline Editions

  3. 03

    Infrastructure sector model

    the global infrastructure system of systems

    v0 SPECIFIED · v1 with federation evidence

  4. 04

    Global and strategic links

    GLB · SR-02 Critical Infrastructure and Lifeline Systems · SR-03 Global Supply Chains, Trade and Chokepoints

    PLANNED · strategic baselines

  5. 05

    Universe

    annual proving environment

    CANDIDATE MISSION · mandate in 2027

  6. 06

    Global Infrastructure Report

    this series

    BASELINE DRAFT · 2027 annual edition

  7. 07

    Evidence and correction

    one graph, many projections

    OPEN · first correction cycle in 2027

7.4Universe 2027: evidence pack for the infrastructure and logistics candidate mission

  1. 01

    Mandate

  2. 02

    Core Build · 1 month

  3. 03

    Action · 1 week

  4. 04

    Evidence seal

  5. 05

    Portfolio correction

  6. 06

    Next mandate

Table 7.2Universe 2027: evidence pack for the infrastructure and logistics candidate mission
ItemRecordStateTiming
F1Annual mandate recordPLANNEDafter the Q2 2027 alignment
F2Core Build recordPLANNEDone month before the exercise
F3Exercise evidencePLANNEDduring the Action week
F4Decision packetsPLANNEDexercise state only
F5Proof receiptsPLANNEDscoped to each recorded check
F6After-action reportPLANNEDwithin one quarter
F7Upgrade docketPLANNEDrouted to the Portfolio
F8Portfolio renewalPLANNED2027 global annual edition
F9Public synthesisPLANNEDpublic-safe extracts only

Mission

ID
MSN-GS09-2027-01 · Compound chokepoint Universe mission
Role spine
Leadership sponsor · Institutional anchor · Mission lead: drawn from national pathways
Receiving actors
to be identified with the mandate

7.5Handoffs and routing

Where the baseline’s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.

Table 7.3Handoffs and routing
FindingRouted toPurposeClass
TRD-001 · trade volumespublic recordreference for the 2027 seriesPUBLIC
TRD-002 · chokepoint transitsINI-GS09-HRM-01 · key F reviewcompound chokepoint testPUBLIC
INF-005 · hazard exposureINI-GS09-CND-02asset condition registerPUBLIC
TRD-006 · ports at riskINI-GS09-PRT-03port and corridor dependencePUBLIC
HLT-008 · road deathspublic recordreference for the 2027 seriesPUBLIC
DAT-009 · connectivityINI-GS09-ACC-04access and reliabilityPUBLIC
INF-011 · structure failureINI-GS09-CYB-05operational dependence overlayPUBLIC
SYS-012 · compound pathwayMSN-GS09-2027-01Universe candidateCONSORTIUM
Table 7.4Routing rules by publication class
ClassWhere it goesWho can see it
PUBLICthe published edition and its evidence bundleanyone
CONSORTIUMgoverned rooms of the federationconsortium members under agreement
CONTROLLEDneed-to-know channelsnamed competent actors only

7.6Feeds and signal register

Table 7.5Feeds watched from 2027
FeedProducerLatencyFeeds into
Review of Maritime Transport and the shipping trackingUNCTADannual and ad hocTRD-001
Chokepoint transit seriesIMF PortWatch and UNCTADdailyTRD-002
World Development IndicatorsWorld BankannualTRD-006
Road safety status reportsWHOperiodicHLT-008
Facts and FiguresITUannualDAT-009
SDG 9 indicatorsUN DESA and custodian agenciesannualFIN-007
Transport Threat LandscapeENISAperiodicINF-011

Escalation routes

  • none · keep monitoring
  • research question
  • project
  • risk object
  • annual publication
  • signal report
Table 7.6Signals at baseline
IDSignalCorroborationSystemsRoute
SIG-GS09-001Hormuz transits fell by 97% in early March 20262CORROBORATEDTRD · ENE · FOOresearch question L-01
SIG-GS09-002Suez tonnage stayed 70% below the 2023 average1CORROBORATEDTRD · FINinitiative L-03
SIG-GS09-003Port downtime from climate hazards1617PARTIALINF · TRDresearch question L-03

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 2UNCTAD (ed.), Strait of Hormuz Disruptions: Implications for Global Trade and Development, rapid analysis dated 10 March 2026, from Clarksons Research, EIA, LSEG, Kpler and other data. UN Trade and Development, Geneva. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  2. 1UNCTAD (ed.), Review of Maritime Transport 2025: Staying the course in turbulent waters (full report and overview). UN Trade and Development, Geneva. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  3. 16Verschuur, J., Koks, E.E. and Hall, J.W., Systemic risks from climate-related disruptions at ports, Nature Climate Change 13, 804 to 806, 2023 (abstract and introduction opened). Springer Nature. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  4. 17Verschuur, J., Koks, E.E., Hall, J.W. et al., Multi-hazard risk to global port infrastructure and resulting trade and logistics losses, Communications Earth and Environment 4, 2023 (abstract opened). Springer Nature. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back

Cite this chapter

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Chapter 7: The 2027 agenda. In Global Infrastructure and Logistics Risk and Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition, The State of the World’s Infrastructure, Transport and Logistics. (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-SECTOR-INFRASTRUCTURE-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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