- South America 2026
- Annex B
Data appendix
The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.
Contents
- ·Edition home
- ·Executive summary
- 1South America’s risk travels through shared rivers, grids and gas
- 2Key findings
- 3Systems and sectors at baseline
- 4Risks and capability
- 5Basin drought across the Paraná corridor and the Amazon
- 6Readings from the other desks
- 7The 2027 agenda
- 8Systems in depth
- AMethodology
- BData appendix
- CReferences and record
- ·Complete edition, for print
B.1The indicator set
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Year | State | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil population | 212.8 | million | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Argentina population | 45.9 | million | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Brazil GDP | 2,279.9 | USD billion | 2025 | Reported | 2 |
| Argentina GDP | 683.1 | USD billion | 2025 | Reported | 2 |
| Brazil emissions excluding land use | 1,299.2 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 6 |
| Argentina emissions excluding land use | 374.3 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 6 |
| Share of two-member emissions, Brazil | 77.6 | % | 2024 | Estimated | 6 |
| Brazil low-carbon share of electricity | 89 | % | 2025 | Reported | 13 |
| Argentina low-carbon share of electricity | 42 | % | 2025 | Reported | 14 |
| Brazil renewable share of final energy | 46.5 | % | 2021 | Reported | 4 |
| Argentina renewable share of final energy | 9.2 | % | 2021 | Reported | 4 |
| Brazil forest area | 58.5 | % of land | 2024 | Reported | 3 |
| Argentina forest area | 17.1 | % of land | 2024 | Reported | 3 |
| Brazil protected area | 29.4 | % of territory | 2025 | Reported | 7 |
| Argentina protected area | 9.7 | % of territory | 2025 | Reported | 7 |
| Rio Grande do Sul damage and loss | 88.9 | BRL billion | 2024 | Reported | 16 |
| Brazil safely managed drinking water | 88.6 | % | 2024 | Reported | 8 |
| Argentina safely managed drinking water | Not bound | % | n/a | NOT BOUND | 8 |
| Paraná low-water days | Not bound | days | n/a | NOT BOUND | 25 |
| Binational hydropower output | Not bound | GWh | n/a | NOT BOUND | 41 |
| Dengue cases, 2025 | Not bound | cases | n/a | NOT BOUND | 26 |
B.2Regional source register
The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.
Domains bound by the register
- WAT
- ENE
- FOO
- HLT
- BIO
- CLI
- INF
- FIN
- TRD
- MIN
| Source | Category | Coverage | Period | Cadence | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population and output121012 | international statistics | Brazil, Argentina | 2023–2025 | annual | profile |
| Renewable energy and electricity451314 | statistics and think tank | members | 2021–2025 | annual | ENE |
| Greenhouse gases6 | international statistics | members | 2024 | annual | CLI |
| Forest and protected areas37 | international statistics | members | 2024–2025 | annual | BIO |
| Regional climate report15 | agency assessment | region | 2025 | annual | CLI |
| Flood assessment16 | joint assessment | Brazil | 2024 | one-off | CLI |
| Storm imagery17 | agency imagery | Argentina | 2025 | one-off | CLI |
| Dengue1826 | agency reporting | region | 2024 | weekly | HLT |
| Water89 | international statistics | members | 2022–2024 | annual | WAT |
| Pledges1920 | government and tracker | members | 2024–2025 | five-yearly | CLI |
B.3Regional reading: South America by member country
Map plates for every member country follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form for the 2 member countries named in the series registry.
Selected indicators16
Brazil
Argentina
Brazil emissions
Argentina emissions
| Member | Principal hazards | Systems most exposed | Baseline evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | river flooding in Rio Grande do Sul in 202416; Amazon river lows in 202424; dengue in 202418 | water, energy, health, biodiversity | population 212.8 million; emissions 1,299.2 Mt; low-carbon 89% of electricity; forest 58.5%13613 |
| Argentina | rainfall record at Bahía Blanca in 202517; low Paraná in 202125 | water, energy, food | population 45.9 million; emissions 374.3 Mt; low-carbon 42% of electricity; forest 17.1%13614 |
B.4Atlas card: Paraná–La Plata basin
- basin
- shared river system
- navigation and hydropower
- members: Brazil, Argentina
- Systems in view
- water, energy and freight
- Defining instruments
- River Plate Basin treaty39; Itaipú Treaty41; Guarani Aquifer Agreement21
- Couplings
- CLI → WAT → ENE; WAT → FOO
- Capability evidence
- treaty bodies and binational plant operators exist; performance not bound
- Gaps
- low-water days, plant output, basin area by country
- Agenda items
- A-03
The basin reaches Brazil and Argentina and other countries outside the member set. Basin area and population by country are not bound. The Paraná fell to its lowest level in nearly 80 years in 2021 by press accounts [25].
WATER
A shared river system
Source: plant operators. Blocker: not retrieved at evidence close [41].
ENERGY
Binational hydropower
Source: national waterway and port agencies. Blocker: not retrieved at evidence close.
FREIGHT
Navigation depth
B.5South America system card
The card through which South America appears in the global edition and in the sector series. It summarises; it does not rank.
| System | Baseline state | Coupling to watch | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water | large freshwater stocks; Negro River record low in 2024924 | low flow into energy and farming | PARTIAL |
| Energy | low-carbon 89% and 42% of electricity1314 | hydro dependence and gas routes | PARTIAL |
| Food | agriculture 6.1% and 5.5% of GDP11 | drought and river logistics | THIN |
| Health | over 3.5 million dengue cases in the Americas to March 202418 | seasonal outbreaks | THIN |
| Biodiversity | forest 58.5% and 17.1% of land3 | clearing and condition at source | THIN |
Context
- Archetype
- two members sharing basins, an aquifer, power links and gas supply
- Population
- 212.8 million in Brazil and 45.9 million in Argentina (2025)1
- Trade
- Argentine gas exports to Brazil through Bolivia began in early 202628
- Hazard
- floods of 2024 caused BRL 88.9 billion of damage and loss16
The member editions (Brazil, Argentina) and this regional edition share finding identifiers where they read the same evidence, so a correction travels to every edition at once.
MEMBER EDITIONS
Same findings, same IDs
South America evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers.
GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES
Regional evidence, sector reports
In the global edition South America is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.
GLOBAL FLAGSHIP
Peers, not ranks
B.6Licences
| Material | Licence |
|---|---|
| Text | CC BY 4.0 |
| Data | on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0 |
| Figures | Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited |
| Maps | boundary source and licence printed on each plate |
| Metadata | CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it |
| Third-party data, figures and text | The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed |
| Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence. | |
B.7Formats and provenance
| Format | Kind | State | What it is | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Web edition | HTML | On this site | Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. | NR-REGIONAL-SAM-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Print edition | At release | A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. | NR-REGIONAL-SAM-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | |
| Indicator data | CSV · JSON | On this site | 21 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. | NR-REGIONAL-SAM-2026-BASELINE data release v1 |
| Figures | SVG · PNG | On this site | 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. | FIG-REGIONAL-SAM-2026-BASELINE-* |
| Slides | Not recorded | No slide deck is recorded for this edition. | ||
| Evidence brief | HTML · PDF | Not recorded | No evidence brief is recorded for this edition. | |
| Dataset with DOI | DataCite | At release | Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet. |
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-REG-SAM-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
- Publisher of record
- The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 1World Bank (ed.), Population, total (SP.POP.TOTL), Brazil, Argentina and Latin America & Caribbean aggregate, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 2World Bank (ed.), GDP, current US$ (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), Brazil, Argentina and Latin America & Caribbean aggregate, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6World Bank (ed.), Total greenhouse gas emissions excluding LULUCF, Mt CO2e, AR5 basis (EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5), Brazil, Argentina and Latin America & Caribbean aggregate, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 13Ember (ed.), Brazil electricity country page (low-carbon share 89%, hydro 52%, wind and solar 27%, fossil 11% of generation in 2025; no generation total on the page). Ember, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Ember (ed.), Argentina electricity country page (low-carbon share 42%, wind and solar 16%, fossil 58% of generation in 2025; no generation total on the page). Ember, London. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4World Bank (ed.), Renewable energy consumption, % of total final energy consumption (EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API (latest value returned is 2021). World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3World Bank (ed.), Forest area, % of land area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7World Bank (ed.), Terrestrial and marine protected areas, % of total territorial area (ER.PTD.TOTL.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16Inter-American Development Bank, with ECLAC and the World Bank Group (eds.), Damage and loss assessment of the April and May 2024 floods in Rio Grande do Sul (BRL 88.9 billion), as reported by Agência Brasil on 29 November 2024; the assessment itself was not opened. IDB, Washington, DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8World Bank (ed.), People using safely managed drinking water services, % of population (SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API (no value returned for Argentina). World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 25UNVERIFIED, not opened: Associated Press and trade press (eds.), Drought hits South America river, threatening vast ecosystem (Paraná at its lowest level in nearly 80 years, 2021; reports of 77 and 80 years differ; Itaipú output). AP, New York, August 2021. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 41UNVERIFIED, not opened: Treaty of Itaipú between Brazil and Paraguay on the hydroelectric use of the Paraná river, signed in 1973. Observation year 1973. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 26UNVERIFIED, not opened: Pan American Health Organization (ed.), Epidemiological alert: increase in dengue cases in the Americas region, 7 October 2024 (11,732,921 cases to epidemiological week 36; Brazil 5,303 deaths, Argentina 408; taken from search summaries because the PDF text could not be read). PAHO, Washington, DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19Climate Action Tracker (ed.), Brazil: targets (second NDC, 59% to 67% below 2005 by 2035, 850 to 1,050 Mt CO2e including land use, submitted 13 November 2024; page updated 30 June 2026). Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 20Subsecretaría de Ambiente, Presidencia de la Nación (ed.), Argentina presentó la tercera contribución determinada a nivel nacional (net emissions not above 375 Mt CO2e for 2030 and 2035, 3 November 2025). Government of Argentina, Buenos Aires. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10World Bank (ed.), Population ages 65 and above, % of total population (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API (Brazil 11.5%, Argentina 12.6% in 2025; consulted for the profile, not used in a finding). World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12World Bank (ed.), Urban population, % of total population (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5World Bank (ed.), Renewable electricity output, % of total electricity output (EG.ELC.RNEW.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API (latest value returned is 2021). World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15World Meteorological Organization (ed.), State of the Climate in Latin America and the Caribbean 2025 (series page, published 18 May 2026, updated 12 June 2026; key messages only, the full report was not opened). WMO, Geneva. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17NASA Earth Observatory (ed.), Bahía Blanca inundated (image of the day, 17 March 2025; about 400 mm in 8 hours on 7 March 2025, previous daily record 175 mm in 1930; page updated 31 January 2026). NASA, Washington, DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18Pan American Health Organization (ed.), PAHO calls for collective action in response to record increase in dengue cases in the Americas (news release, 28 March 2024; data as of 26 March 2024). PAHO, Washington, DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9World Bank (ed.), Renewable internal freshwater resources per capita, cubic metres (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 24UNVERIFIED, not opened: Associated Press (ed.), Drought has dried a major Amazon River tributary to its lowest level in over 122 years (Negro River at the port of Manaus 12.66 m, October 2024; the page opened returned not found). AP, New York. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 39UNVERIFIED, not opened: Treaty of the River Plate Basin (Tratado da Bacia do Prata), signed by the basin states in 1969. Observation year 1969. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21F. Sindico, in M. Fitzmaurice, A. Tanzi and A. Papantoniou (eds.), The Guarani Aquifer Agreement 2010, in Multilateral Environmental Treaties, Elgar Encyclopedia of Environmental Law. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, 2017, pp. 299–310 (catalogue page opened; parties Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay). Observation year 2017. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11World Bank (ed.), Agriculture, forestry and fishing, value added, % of GDP (NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS), Brazil and Argentina, World Development Indicators API. World Bank, Washington, DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28UNVERIFIED, not opened: Energy Intelligence (ed.), Argentina’s piped gas exports to Brazil take step forward (first Vaca Muerta gas to Brazil through Bolivian pipelines, early 2026; 3 million m3 a day transit offer; taken from search summaries). Energy Intelligence, London. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
