- Senegal 2026
- Annex B
Data appendix
The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.
Contents
- ·Edition home
- ·Executive summary
- 1Senegal’s risk runs through its rivers, its coast and its fuel
- 2Key findings
- 3Systems and sectors at baseline
- 4Risks and capability
- 5Urban flood with a water, power and clinic interruption
- 6Readings from the other desks
- 7The 2027 agenda
- 8Systems in depth
- AMethodology
- BData appendix
- CReferences and record
- ·Complete edition, for print
B.1The indicator set
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Year | State | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GHG emissions excl. land use | 31.7 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 7 |
| Carbon dioxide emissions excl. land use | 14.2 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 7 |
| Methane emissions excl. land use | 12.3 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 7 |
| Agricultural methane | 9.4 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 7 |
| Net CO₂ flux from land use | −13 | Mt CO₂e | 2023 | Reported | 7 |
| 2030 level, 7% below business as usual | 35.1 | Mt CO₂e | 2030 | Estimated | 16 |
| 2030 level, 29.5% below business as usual | 26.6 | Mt CO₂e | 2030 | Estimated | 16 |
| Access to electricity | 82.9 | % | 2024 | Reported | 6 |
| Installed capacity | 1,901 | MW | 2024 | Reported | 14 |
| Renewable share of 2023 generation | 15 | % | 2023 | Reported | 14 |
| Crude oil output | 36.1 | million barrels | 2025 | Reported | 26 |
| Basic drinking water | 88.0 | % | 2024 | Reported | 5 |
| Safely managed drinking water | 27.2 | % | 2024 | Reported | 5 |
| Safely managed sanitation | 30.1 | % | 2024 | Reported | 5 |
| People in Crisis or worse, projected | 836,786 | people | Jun–Aug 2026 | Reported | 21 |
| Confirmed Rift Valley fever cases | 358 | cases | 2025 | Reported | 22 |
| Deaths in 2025 floods | 20 | deaths | 2025 | Reported | 24 |
| Population | 18,126,390 | people | 2023 | Reported | 1 |
| Forest area | 45.0 | % of land | 2024 | Reported | 8 |
| Official national GHG inventory total | Not bound | Mt CO₂e | n/a | NOT BOUND | 7 |
| Dakar drinking-water supply deficit | Not bound | m³ per day | n/a | NOT BOUND | 50 |
| Mangrove extent | Not bound | ha | n/a | NOT BOUND | 51 |
B.2National source register
The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.
Domains bound by the register
- WAT
- ENE
- FOO
- HLT
- BIO
- CLI
- INF
- FIN
- TRD
- MIN
| Source | Category | Coverage | Period | Cadence | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Census report and projections12 | national statistics | national | 2023–2073 | decennial | profile |
| World Development Indicators345678910 | international body database | national | 2021–2025 | annual | cross-domain |
| IMF releases and series111213 | international body | national | 2025–2026 | periodic | FIN |
| IRENA profile and Ember series1415 | agency and think tank | national | 2022–2024 | annual | ENE |
| Contribution texts and reports16171832 | government and press | national | 2020–2026 | periodic | CLI |
| World Bank climate report19 | international body | national | 2024 | periodic | CLI · WAT |
| Food-security analyses2021 | UN agency and regional body | national | 2024–2026 | twice a year | FOO |
| Outbreak and malaria records2223 | UN agency and press | national | 2024–2025 | per event | HLT |
| Flood evaluation2425 | ministry via press | national | 2025 | annual | CLI |
| Oil, gas and rice reports262728 | ministry via press | national | 2023–2025 | monthly | ENE · FOO |
| Legal texts29303133343536 | government | national | 2018–2023 | per amendment | standards |
| Cross-checks and context38394041515253 | press, UN agencies and international bodies | national | 2023–2025 | per release | listed as fill sources |
| Series records5455 | Reports series | series | 2026 | per edition | method and peers |
B.3Regional reading, Senegal by region
Map plates for every region follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form.
Density and urbanisation, 20231
7,485per km²
Dakar density
92per km²
national density
15per km²
Kédougou density
54.7%
urban share
| Region | Principal hazards | Systems most exposed | Baseline evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dakar | urban and coastal flooding; water supply dependence; energy demand | port, finance, industry, water supply | density 7,485 per km²1; high-risk area in 202525 |
| Saint-Louis and the river valley | river floods; Rift Valley fever; coastal erosion; irrigated rice | rice farms, river towns, coast | fever cases22; floods 202420 |
| Touba (Diourbel region) | flooding of a dense pilgrim city | housing, roads, services | 70,000 people exposed24 |
| Centre and groundnut basin | fever cases; rain-dependent farming | farms, livestock | Kaolack 13 and Fatick 12 cases22 |
| Casamance and the south | rainfall variability; coast and mangroves | farms, coast, ecosystems | mangrove extent not bound51 |
| Tambacounda and Kédougou | floods that cut roads; low density | roads, remote clinics | Kédougou density 15 per km²1; roads cut24 |
B.4Atlas card, Saint-Louis
- region
- river
- coast
- one health
- Systems in view
- river, coast, rice farms, health and homes
- Defining events
- Rift Valley fever outbreak of 2025; river floods of October 20242220
- Couplings
- CLI → HLT; CLI → INF; CLI → FOO
- Capability evidence
- not bound
- Gaps
- coastal erosion rates; clinic continuity; irrigation water quality
- Agenda items
- A-05 · A-06
The Saint-Louis region held 78% of Senegal’s confirmed Rift Valley fever cases to 30 October 2025; Richard-Toll counted 133 and Saint-Louis 73 [22].
HEALTH
Share of fever cases
The World Bank places 75% of the coastline at risk at term and erosion losses at 3.3% of GDP [19]. Local erosion rates are not bound. Source: coastal resilience project records [52]. Blocker: page not opened.
COAST
Erosion on a low coast
The October 2024 river floods disrupted livelihoods of an estimated 103,000 people on the GIEWS count [20]. A government count of 55,600 people was read only through a press mirror [38].
FLOOD
River floods in 2024
B.5Senegal system card
The card through which Senegal appears in the Africa regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.
| System | Baseline state | Coupling to watch | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water | basic access high, safe access low | power loss into water works | PARTIAL |
| Energy | access 82.9%; mostly fuel-oil generation | fuel and supply shocks | PARTIAL |
| Food | cereals above average in 2024; projected Crisis phase in 2026 | rainfall and import shocks | PARTIAL |
| Health | recent outbreak in the river valley | service continuity in floods | PARTIAL |
| Biodiversity | forest 45.0% of land; mangroves not bound | coastal ecosystem loss | THIN |
Context
- Archetype
- young, urbanising coastal Sahel economy beginning offshore oil and gas output
- Population
- 18.1 million (2023 census)1
- Trade
- rice importer; wider trade not bound28
- Hazard
- river and urban floods; coastal erosion1924
Senegal’s card sits beside its neighbours’; shared basins, grids, corridors and supply chains are read as one regional system.
AFRICA REGIONAL EDITION
One regional system
Senegalese evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers, so a correction travels everywhere at once.
GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES
Same findings, same IDs
In the global edition Senegal is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.
GLOBAL FLAGSHIP
Peers, not ranks
B.6Licences
| Material | Licence |
|---|---|
| Text | CC BY 4.0 |
| Data | on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0 |
| Figures | Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited |
| Maps | boundary source and licence printed on each plate |
| Metadata | CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it |
| Third-party data, figures and text | The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed |
| Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence. | |
B.7Formats and provenance
| Format | Kind | State | What it is | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Web edition | HTML | On this site | Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. | NR-COUNTRY-SEN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Print edition | At release | A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. | NR-COUNTRY-SEN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | |
| Indicator data | CSV · JSON | On this site | 22 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. | NR-COUNTRY-SEN-2026-BASELINE data release v1 |
| Figures | SVG · PNG | On this site | 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. | FIG-COUNTRY-SEN-2026-BASELINE-* |
| Slides | Not recorded | No slide deck is recorded for this edition. | ||
| Evidence brief | HTML · PDF | Not recorded | No evidence brief is recorded for this edition. | |
| Dataset with DOI | DataCite | At release | Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet. |
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-SEN-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
- Publisher of record
- The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 7World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: greenhouse-gas emissions by gas and sector and land-use fluxes, Senegal (observation years 2023–2024). World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16Government of Senegal (ed.), Contribution déterminée au niveau national du Sénégal, document dated December 2020. Submission document hosted by the UNFCCC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: access to electricity, electric power consumption and transmission losses, Senegal (observation years 2022–2024). World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14International Renewable Energy Agency (ed.), Energy Profile: Senegal (capacity 2024, generation 2023, energy supply 2022; PDF created September 2025). IRENA, Abu Dhabi. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 26Africanews (ed.), “Senegal’s 2025 oil output exceeds predictions to reach 36.1 million barrels,” 8 January 2026, reporting the Ministry of Energy, Oil and Mines (observation year 2025). Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: drinking-water, sanitation and freshwater series, Senegal (observation years 2022–2024), drawn from the WHO and UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme and FAO. World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21CILSS, AGRHYMET and partners (eds.), Cadre Harmonisé: results of the updated projected situation of acute food and nutritional insecurity, Sahel, West Africa and Cameroon, June to August 2026, published 2 July 2026. AGRHYMET, Niamey. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 22World Health Organization (ed.), “Rift Valley fever: Mauritania and Senegal,” Disease Outbreak News 2025-DON584, 5 November 2025 (observation period 20 September to 30 October 2025). WHO, Geneva. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 24Ministry of Hydraulics and Sanitation (ed.), national evaluation workshop on the 2025 rainy season, 16 December 2025, as reported by allAfrica, “Inondations: plus de 10 millions de m³ d’eau pompés en 2025” (observation year 2025). Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 1Agence nationale de la statistique et de la démographie (ed.), “État et structure, urbanisation et caractéristiques socioculturelles de la population,” Rapport définitif, RGPH-5 2023 (observation year 2023, published 1 July 2025). ANSD, Dakar. Read on the Vie-Publique.sn record page, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: forest area, agricultural land and protected areas, Senegal (observation years 2024–2025). World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 50UNVERIFIED, not opened: Organisation pour la mise en valeur du fleuve Sénégal (OMVS), Manantali and Diama dams and the Senegal River basin. OMVS, Dakar. Cited from search-result descriptions only; no figure is taken from it.back
- 51UNVERIFIED, not opened: Food and Agriculture Organization (ed.), Global Forest Resources Assessment 2025: Senegal country report. FAO, Rome, 2025. The country report was searched for and not reached.back
- 2Agence nationale de la statistique et de la démographie (ed.), Projections démographiques 2023–2073 du Sénégal (observation year 2023, published October 2024). ANSD, Dakar. Read on the Vie-Publique.sn record page, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: population, urban share, age structure, GDP and growth, Senegal (observation year 2025; database update 8 October 2026). World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03 through the public indicator interface.back
- 4World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: poverty headcount at national lines and at US$3.00 a day, Gini index, Senegal (observation year 2021). World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: life expectancy, child and maternal mortality, malaria and tuberculosis incidence, health expenditure, Senegal (observation years 2023–2024). World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: cereal production, food production index, undernourishment, food insecurity, stunting, agriculture share, Senegal (observation years 2023–2025). World Bank, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11International Monetary Fund (ed.), World Economic Outlook database via the DataMapper interface: real GDP growth and general government gross debt, Senegal (observation years 1980–2025). IMF, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03; the database vintage was not stated on the page read.back
- 12International Monetary Fund (ed.), “IMF Staff Concludes Visit to Senegal,” Press Release No. 26/216, 22 June 2026 (observation year 2025). IMF, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 13International Monetary Fund (ed.), “IMF Reaches Staff-Level Agreement on an Extended Credit Facility Arrangement with Senegal,” Press Release No. 26/282, 1 September 2026 (observation year 2025). IMF, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Ember (ed.), Yearly electricity data, share of electricity by source, Senegal (observation years 2022–2024), read through the Our World in Data grapher files. Ember, London. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17allAfrica (ed.), “Sénégal: Lutte contre le changement climatique – Le Sénégal valide sa troisième Contribution déterminée,” 6 April 2026 (observation year 2026). allAfrica, Dakar desk. Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18Le Soleil (ed.), “Lutte contre le changement climatique: le Sénégal valide sa troisième contribution déterminée,” 6 April 2026 (observation year 2026). Le Soleil, Dakar. Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 32Agence de Presse Sénégalaise (ed.), “Défis climatiques: le Sénégal engage la révision du 3e cycle de sa Contribution déterminée au niveau national (CDN 3.0),” 7 July 2025. APS, Dakar. Opened; only the headline and metadata were readable, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19World Bank (ed.), Senegal Country Climate and Development Report, Executive Summary (observation year 2024, published October 2024). World Bank Group, Washington DC. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 20Food and Agriculture Organization (ed.), GIEWS Country Brief: The Republic of Senegal, reference date 3 December 2024 (observation year 2024). FAO, Rome. Latest version served at access, 2026-11-03.back
- 23Seneweb (ed.), “Paludisme au Sénégal: nette baisse des cas et des décès,” 25 March 2026, reporting the national malaria control programme (observation years 2024–2025). Seneweb, Dakar. Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 25Sud Quotidien (ed.), report on the 2025 rainy-season evaluation, 17 December 2025, distributed by allAfrica (observation year 2025). Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27Seneweb (ed.), “Oil and gas production figures for October 2025,” 6 November 2025, reporting the Minister of Energy, Petroleum and Mines (observation period to 31 October 2025). Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Seneweb (ed.), “Rice self-sufficiency: Senegal continues to import 1.3 million tons of white rice per year, minister,” 22 September 2025, reporting the Minister of Agriculture (observation year 2023–2025). Press report, accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29Government of Senegal (ed.), Loi n° 2018-25 du 12 novembre 2018 portant Code forestier. Dakar, 2018. Read on the Vie-Publique.sn record page (description only), accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30Government of Senegal (ed.), Loi n° 2019-03 du 1er février 2019 portant Code pétrolier. Dakar, 2019. Read on the Vie-Publique.sn record page (description only), accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31Government of Senegal (ed.), Loi n° 2023-15 du 2 août 2023 portant Code de l’environnement. Dakar, 2023. Read on the Vie-Publique.sn record page (description only; repeal of the 2001 Code not confirmed), accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 33UNVERIFIED, not opened: Government of Senegal (ed.), Loi n° 2021-31 du 9 juillet 2021 portant Code de l’électricité. Dakar, 2021. Cited from search-result listings of Journal Officiel n° 7446 of 5 August 2021; access to the text was refused.back
- 34UNVERIFIED, not opened: Government of Senegal (ed.), Loi n° 2021-32 du 9 juillet 2021 portant création, organisation et attributions de la Commission de régulation du secteur de l’énergie. Dakar, 2021. Cited from search-result listings only.back
- 35UNVERIFIED, not opened: Government of Senegal (ed.), Loi n° 2019-04 du 1er février 2019 relative au contenu local dans le secteur des hydrocarbures. Dakar, 2019. Cited from search-result listings only; one source gave 24 January 2019, the date of adoption.back
- 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: Government of Senegal (ed.), Gas Code, Law No. 2020-06. Dakar, 2020. Named in the IRENA energy profile [14]; the text was not opened and the exact date was not read.back
- 38UNVERIFIED, not opened: Agence de Presse Africaine (ed.), report of 55,600 people affected by the October 2024 Senegal River floods, citing the government. APA News, 2024. Search-result snippet only; the page was not opened.back
- 39UNVERIFIED, not opened: UNICEF (ed.), UNICEF Senegal Flash Update No. 01: Floods, October 2024. UNICEF, Dakar, 2024. Listed on ReliefWeb; access to the page was refused.back
- 40UNVERIFIED, not opened: UNICEF (ed.), UNICEF Senegal Humanitarian Situation Report: Floods, 17 August to 17 September 2025. UNICEF, Dakar, 2025. Listed on ReliefWeb; the contents were not read.back
- 41UNVERIFIED, not opened: World Health Organization (ed.), World Malaria Report 2025. WHO, Geneva, December 2025. Cited from search-result summaries; the Senegal country profile was not read.back
- 52UNVERIFIED, not opened: Agence de Presse Sénégalaise or allAfrica (eds.), report on the World Bank-backed Saint-Louis coastal resilience project, June 2025. Search-result listing only; access to the page was refused and no figure is taken from it.back
- 53UNVERIFIED, not opened: International Energy Agency (ed.), Senegal 2023 energy policy review. IEA, Paris, 2023. Listed in search results; access to the page was refused. Exact title to be confirmed.back
- 54S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports: The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026–2030, V1.0. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.back
- 55S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.back