- ASEAN 2026
- Annex B
Data appendix
The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.
Contents
- ·Edition home
- ·Executive summary
- 1ASEAN’s risk travels through shared seas, rivers and smoke
- 2Key findings
- 3Systems and sectors at baseline
- 4Risks and capability
- 5Strong dry season: fire haze across the southern archipelago and the Malacca Strait
- 6Readings from the other desks
- 7The 2027 agenda
- 8Systems in depth
- AMethodology
- BData appendix
- CReferences and record
- ·Complete edition, for print
B.1The indicator set
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Year | State | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleven-state population | 700.3 | million | 2025 | Estimated | 1 |
| Indonesia Human Development Index | 0.728 | index | 2023 | Reported | 4 |
| Singapore Human Development Index | 0.946 | index | 2023 | Reported | 4 |
| Indonesia population | 285.7 | million | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Singapore population | 6.1 | million | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Eleven-state output, current prices | 4.27 | US$ trillion | 2025 | Estimated | 2 |
| Indonesia output, current prices | 1.45 | US$ trillion | 2025 | Reported | 2 |
| Viet Nam real growth, projection | 8.4 | % | 2026 | Reported | 3 |
| Eleven-state emissions excluding land use | 3,228.3 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Estimated | 5 |
| Indonesia emissions excluding land use | 1,323.8 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 5 |
| Indonesia fossil share of electricity | 85.1 | % | 2024 | Reported | 8 |
| Renewables in regional primary energy | 15.6 | % | 2022 | Reported | 18 |
| Fine-particle exposure, Myanmar | 35.1 | µg/m³ | 2023 | Reported | 6 |
| Earthquake deaths in Myanmar, at least | 3,791 | deaths | 2025 | Reported | 17 |
| Viet Nam flood deaths, at least | 200 | deaths | 2025 | Reported | 16 |
| Indonesia forest area | 50.7 | % of land | 2024 | Reported | 9 |
| Ten-state cereal production | 234.2 | Mt | 2024 | Estimated | 11 |
| Land-use emissions | Not bound | Mt CO₂e | n/a | NOT BOUND | 5 |
| Cross-border power flows | Not bound | GWh | n/a | NOT BOUND | 20 |
| Intra-ASEAN trade | Not bound | US$ | n/a | NOT BOUND | 30 |
| Final toll of the Senyar floods | Not bound | deaths | n/a | NOT BOUND | 25 |
| Mekong dry-season flow indicator | Not bound | m³/s | n/a | NOT BOUND | 35 |
B.2Regional source register
The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.
Domains bound by the register
- WAT
- ENE
- FOO
- HLT
- BIO
- CLI
- INF
- FIN
- TRD
- MIN
| Source | Category | Coverage | Period | Cadence | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population and output123 | international statistics | eleven states | 2025 | annual | profile |
| Human development4 | UN agency | eleven states | 2023 | annual | profile |
| Greenhouse gases5 | international statistics | eleven states | 2024 | annual | CLI |
| Electricity and renewables7818 | statistics and regional body | eleven states | 2021–2024 | annual | ENE |
| Asia climate assessment16 | agency assessment | region | 2025 | annual | CLI |
| Earthquake record17 | agency record | Myanmar, Thailand | 2025 | event | CLI, INF |
| Haze alerts482324 | regional meteorological centre | region | 2025–2026 | continuous | CLI, HLT |
| Water, land and health69101213 | international statistics | eleven states | 2019–2025 | annual | WAT, BIO, HLT |
| Agriculture and poverty1115 | international statistics | eleven states | 2023–2025 | annual | FOO |
| Disaster coordination21 | regional body | region | 2025–2026 | continuous | capacity |
B.3Regional reading: ASEAN by member country
Map plates for every member country follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form for the 2 member countries named in the series registry.
Selected populations, emissions and output125
Indonesia
Singapore
eleven-state emissions
eleven-state output
| Member | Principal hazards | Systems most exposed | Baseline evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indonesia | floods and landslides in Aceh, North Sumatra and West Sumatra in November 202525; peat and forest fire haze, with Sumatra at its highest July hotspot count in five years in 202523 | water, health, energy | population 285.7 million; output US$1.45 trillion; emissions 1,323.8 Mt; fossil 85.1% of electricity1258 |
| Singapore | not bound here · see the national edition47 | not bound | population 6.1 million; 8,329 people per km²; 106 m³ of renewable freshwater per person; fossil 94.3% of electricity181014 |
| Reference group: other member states | earthquake in Myanmar and Thailand in March 202517; flooding in Viet Nam in 202516; no registry edition | health, infrastructure, water | nine states without a registry edition; eleven-state totals in125 |
B.4Atlas card: Southern ASEAN haze airshed
- airshed
- shared atmosphere
- fire and smoke
- members: Indonesia and Singapore
- Systems in view
- health, energy and water
- Defining instruments
- ASEAN haze agreement31; regional alert scale48
- Couplings
- CLI → HLT; CLI → ENE
- Capability evidence
- a regional meteorological centre issues alert levels48; performance not bound
- Gaps
- hotspot counts, daily smoke readings and hospital admissions by member
- Agenda items
- A-01 · A-04
The alert for southern ASEAN rose to Level 2 on 19 July 2025 [23]. It was issued at Level 3 on 26 August 2026 [48]. Smoke drifted from central Sumatra into Peninsular Malaysia and from western Kalimantan into Sarawak in July 2025 [23].
HAZARD
A seasonal fire cycle
Fine-particle exposure was 20.8 µg/m³ in Indonesia in 2023 [6]. Daily smoke readings by member are not bound; the monthly reviews show hotspot counts in charts only [23] [24].
HEALTH
Fine particles
A regional haze agreement and a regional meteorological centre exist [31] [48]. How far members act on alerts is not bound.
INSTITUTION
A shared agreement
B.5ASEAN system card
The card through which ASEAN appears in the global edition and in the sector series. It summarises; it does not rank.
| System | Baseline state | Coupling to watch | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water | renewable freshwater 106 m³ per person in Singapore, 25,190 m³ in Lao PDR10 | shared rivers into hydropower and farming | PARTIAL |
| Energy | fossil fuels 85.1% of Indonesia’s electricity8 | coal dependence and grid stress | PARTIAL |
| Food | about 234.2 Mt of cereals in 202411 | drought, flood and smoke | THIN |
| Health | fine particles 35.1 µg/m³ in Myanmar6 | smoke and heat load | PARTIAL |
| Biodiversity | forest 50.7% of Indonesia’s land9 | condition not bound | THIN |
Context
- Archetype
- two registry members within an association of eleven states sharing seas, rivers and an airshed28
- Population
- 700.3 million in the eleven states (2025)1; Indonesia 285.7 million; Singapore 6.1 million
- Output
- US$4.27 trillion at current prices in the eleven states (2025)2
- Hazard
- earthquake of March 2025 killed at least 3,791 people in Myanmar17
The member editions (Indonesia, Singapore) and this regional edition share finding identifiers where they read the same evidence, so a correction travels to every edition at once.
MEMBER EDITIONS
Same findings, same IDs
ASEAN evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers.
GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES
Regional evidence, sector reports
In the global edition ASEAN is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.
GLOBAL FLAGSHIP
Peers, not ranks
B.6Licences
| Material | Licence |
|---|---|
| Text | CC BY 4.0 |
| Data | on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0 |
| Figures | Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited |
| Maps | boundary source and licence printed on each plate |
| Metadata | CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it |
| Third-party data, figures and text | The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed |
| Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence. | |
B.7Formats and provenance
| Format | Kind | State | What it is | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Web edition | HTML | On this site | Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. | NR-REGIONAL-ASN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Print edition | At release | A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. | NR-REGIONAL-ASN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | |
| Indicator data | CSV · JSON | On this site | 22 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. | NR-REGIONAL-ASN-2026-BASELINE data release v1 |
| Figures | SVG · PNG | On this site | 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. | FIG-REGIONAL-ASN-2026-BASELINE-* |
| Slides | Not recorded | No slide deck is recorded for this edition. | ||
| Evidence brief | HTML · PDF | Not recorded | No evidence brief is recorded for this edition. | |
| Dataset with DOI | DataCite | At release | Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet. |
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-REG-ASN-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
- Publisher of record
- The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 1DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: Population, total (SP.POP.TOTL), Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Timor-Leste and Viet Nam (data service, source updated 8 October 2026). World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4United Nations Development Programme (ed.), Human Development Report 2025: composite indices time series (Human Development Index, life expectancy, schooling, gross national income per capita, 2023 values for the ASEAN states). UNDP, New York. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 2DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: GDP at current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), GDP growth (NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG) and GDP per capita (NY.GDP.PCAP.CD), eleven ASEAN states (source updated 8 October 2026). World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: International Monetary Fund (ed.), World Economic Outlook, October 2026: real GDP growth, consumer price inflation, GDP in US dollars and current account balance, DataMapper series for the ASEAN states (2025 estimates and 2026 and 2027 projections). IMF, Washington DC. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: total greenhouse gas emissions excluding LULUCF, AR5 basis (EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5), eleven ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: electricity production from fossil fuels (EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS), coal (EG.ELC.COAL.ZS) and hydroelectric sources (EG.ELC.HYRO.ZS), access to electricity (EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS) and electric power consumption per capita, ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024 (2021 for Brunei Darussalam, Singapore and Timor-Leste hydropower and Timor-Leste fossil and coal). Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18ASEAN Centre for Energy (ed.), The 8th ASEAN Energy Outlook (publication page, 26 September 2024). ACE, Jakarta. Observation year 2022 (base year) with projections to 2050. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: PM2.5 air pollution, mean annual exposure (EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 17United States Geological Survey (ed.), M 7.7 2025 Mandalay, Burma (Myanmar) Earthquake: event record and impact summary (28 March 2025, PAGER alert red). USGS, Reston. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16World Meteorological Organization (ed.), Extreme heat and rainfall, glacier loss and record ocean heat impact Asia in 2025 (media release on the State of the Climate in Asia 2025, 17 June 2026). WMO, Geneva. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: forest area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), terrestrial protected areas (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS) and total protected areas (ER.PTD.TOTL.ZS), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024 (forest) and 2025 (protected areas). Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: cereal production (AG.PRD.CREL.MT), cereal yield, agricultural land, agriculture value added and employment in agriculture (SL.AGR.EMPL.ZS), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024 (production) and 2025 (employment). Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 20POST-CLOSE, context only: ASEAN Centre for Energy (ed.), Home page and publications list (9th ASEAN Energy Outlook listed for October 2026; contents not read). ACE, Jakarta. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 30UNVERIFIED, not opened: ASEAN Secretariat (ed.), ASEAN Statistical Yearbook 2023 (the statistics page returned no content; named only as the series that would hold trade and investment values). ASEAN Secretariat, Jakarta. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 25Sentinel Asia (ed.), Flood and Landslide in North Sumatra, Indonesia on 28 November 2025 (emergency observation record). Sentinel Asia secretariat. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 35UNVERIFIED, not opened: Mekong River Commission (ed.), Mekong River Basin State of the Basin Report 2023 (dry-season share of flow at Chiang Saen taken from a search summary). MRC Secretariat, Vientiane. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29POST-CLOSE, context only: Reports series (ed.), Editorial programme, 3 November 2026 (evidence rules and copy standard). GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: renewable energy consumption share of final energy (EG.FEC.RNEW.ZS) and renewable electricity output share (EG.ELC.RNEW.ZS), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2021 (2022 for Lao PDR and Timor-Leste final energy). Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 48ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ed.), Alert20260826: Activation of Alert Level 3 for the Southern ASEAN Region (alert page; NOAA-20 hotspot counts for 24 and 25 August 2026). ASMC, Singapore. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 23ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ed.), Review of Regional Haze Situation for July 2025. ASMC, Singapore. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 24ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ed.), Review of Regional Haze Situation for December 2025. ASMC, Singapore. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: renewable internal freshwater resources per capita (ER.H2O.INTR.PC) and freshwater withdrawals as a share of internal resources (ER.H2O.FWTL.ZS), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: prevalence of stunting (SH.STA.STNT.ZS), under-five mortality (SH.DYN.MORT), tuberculosis incidence (SH.TBS.INCD), current health expenditure (SH.XPD.CHEX.GD.ZS) and mortality attributed to air pollution (SH.STA.AIRP.P5), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2019 (air pollution), 2023 (health expenditure) and 2024 (mortality, tuberculosis); stunting years differ by state, 2000 to 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 13World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: people using safely managed drinking water services (SH.H2O.SMDW.ZS) and safely managed sanitation services (SH.STA.SMSS.ZS), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: poverty headcount at the international line (SI.POV.DDAY) and prevalence of undernourishment (SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS), ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024 (undernourishment) and 2017 to 2025 (poverty, varies by state). Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21POST-CLOSE, context only: ASEAN Coordinating Centre for Humanitarian Assistance on disaster management (ed.), AHA Centre home page and events list (mandate, ARDEX-25 of 22 to 24 July 2025, Lower Mekong transboundary flooding workshop of 12 to 15 October 2026). AHA Centre, Jakarta. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 47UNVERIFIED, not opened: S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Baseline Editions 2026 for Indonesia and Singapore (draft packs in preparation; no value taken from them). GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: urban population share (SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS), population aged 65 and above, population density, population growth and urban population living in slums, ASEAN states. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025 (2022 for slums, 2024 for density). Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31UNVERIFIED, not opened: ASEAN (ed.), ASEAN Agreement on Transboundary Haze Pollution, 2002. ASEAN Secretariat, Jakarta. Observation year 2002. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 28Reports series (ed.), Series registry of subjects (federation registry; entries for REG-ASN, IDN and SGP read). GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
