The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Country and regional reports study the portfolio of risks a nation or a shared region carries, from hazards and infrastructure to finance and public health. Their evidence comes from official statistics, national research and international datasets that do not always agree. This page sets out how such studies are sourced, who reviews them, how national data vintages and revisions are tracked, and what the evidence can and cannot support for the institutions that plan and budget.
Country and regional risk reports study the portfolio of risks a nation or shared region carries, from hazards and infrastructure to finance and public health. Their evidence comes from official statistics, national research and international datasets that do not always agree, so each figure cites its vintage and authorship includes people in the country.
The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.
Country and regional series · Annual synthesis · Edition 6
| Annual synthesis | Global | Data check | 78 | W22 |
| Country profile 7 | Country | Peer review | 99 | W17 |
| Water outlook | Sectoral | Drafting | 41 | W40 |
| Methods note 4 | Methods | Released | 100 | done |
National and transboundary portfolio studies. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.
Official statistics are revised, rebased and sometimes discontinued. A report that cites a figure without its vintage can be contradicted by the next release, and readers cannot tell whether the change is in the world or in the data.
Studies written without researchers based in the country risk misreading institutions and local data, and weaken ownership of the result. Contributor roles and affiliations make that balance visible to readers and reviewers.
Neighbouring countries measure with different definitions, classifications and reference periods. Transboundary comparisons that ignore this produce differences that are artefacts of method rather than of risk.
National findings can affect credit, investment and reputation, so review may be pressed to soften them. Recorded review comments and stated editorial independence protect both the authors and the reviewing government.
Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Data vintage | The release of a statistic, identified by date, since figures are revised after first publication. |
| Outside-in authorship | Reports about a country written mostly by authors based elsewhere. |
| Comparability | Whether figures from different countries measure the same thing in the same way. |
Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.
| Indicator | Unit | Cadence | Source type | Label |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Authors with an in-country or in-region affiliation | percent of authors | per report | Contributor metadata matched to institution registry | DECLARED |
| Contributor roles recorded | percent of contributors with CRediT roles | per report | Contributor metadata | DECLARED |
| Official statistics cited with vintage and release date | percent of statistical citations | per version | Editorial audit of references | REPORTED |
| Age of the most recent data used | months since reference period end | per indicator | Source metadata | OBSERVED |
| National and government review comments | count received; percent with recorded response | per review round | Review comment log | OFFICIAL |
| Local-language sources assessed | percent of cited works | per report | Reference list metadata | REPORTED |
| Corrections after publication | count per report version | per version | Version history and correction notices | OFFICIAL |
The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.
Fig. 02Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.
Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.
| Source | What it gives | Licence class |
|---|---|---|
| World Bank Open Data | Development indicators by country with source notes and revision history | CC BY 4.0 |
| UN SDG Global Database | Official indicator series reported by countries and custodian agencies | Free to use, United Nations terms |
| National statistical offices | Official statistics, release calendars and revision policies | Public records, terms per office |
| National research repositories such as HAL and CORE | Theses, reports and articles from national institutions, including local-language work | Licence per deposit |
| Research Organization Registry (ROR) | Persistent identifiers for institutions to attribute affiliations consistently | CC0 |
| IPCC and IPBES regional assessments | Regional chapters and assessments with their review records | Free to read, reuse terms per body |
Nexus Reports prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.
| Who decides | The question | Evidence this page serves |
|---|---|---|
| Planning and finance ministries | Where national risk portfolios need budget, contingency financing or institutional change | Profiles with data vintages, uncertainty and the sources behind each figure |
| National statistical offices | Which gaps or inconsistencies in official series matter most to risk analysis | Comparability notes and the indicators that could not be sourced officially |
| Regional bodies and joint commissions | Whether shared risks are measured on a basis that all members can accept | Transboundary comparisons with differences in definition stated |
| Development finance institutions | Whether a country study is current and independent enough to inform a programme | Version history, review record and declared competing interests |
Risk is experienced in places. National institutions, budgets, infrastructure and communities decide how a global shock lands in a given country, and many hazards, rivers, grids and markets cross borders. Country and regional analysis connects global evidence to the institutions that act on it, while making clear that independent analysis is not an official government position.
Four series cover places at different scales and frequencies.
The annual country report gives the full picture; quarterly editions track change in the systems and portfolios that matter most.
Regional editions cover shared hazards, infrastructure and markets across neighbouring countries.
How national programme portfolios move toward stated next steps, with readiness never presented as approval.
Country editions follow a common structure so that readers can compare editions over time, while leaving room for what matters most in each place. Regional editions are organized around the shared system itself, a river basin, a power pool or a trade corridor, rather than around national borders, because that is the scale at which the risk operates and at which cooperation between countries is needed.
National statistics are the primary source where available and are labelled Officially reported. Revisions and gaps are noted.
Earth observation and monitoring data extend coverage where national data are thin, labelled Observed or Estimated as appropriate.
Reports from operators and agencies are labelled Institution-reported and are not treated as independent verification.
Cross-country comparison is used carefully; differences in definitions and data quality are stated rather than smoothed over.
The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.