GCRI · Systems Science and Modelling

Optimisation methods

Optimisation and operations research is a method this platform stewards. It provides formulations and solvers for allocating resources, designing systems and scheduling actions, with methods for uncertainty that other platforms apply to their own problems.

02Application

What optimisation and operations research does here.

Optimisation and operations research develop mathematical methods for allocating resources and making decisions under constraints. They support planning and logistics in complex, interconnected systems. In methods and modelling, risk management and systemic risk and research and evidence, optimisation supports prepositioning of supplies, network investment and recovery sequencing. Robust formulations help choose options that perform acceptably across many scenarios. The canonical description is on the STEM Commons.

Problem formulation guidance

Decision problems from other platforms are formulated with clear objectives, constraints and uncertain parameters before a method is chosen.

Robust and stochastic comparisons

Deterministic, stochastic and robust formulations are solved for the same problem to show what each gains and costs.

Solver benchmarking

Open-source and commercial solvers are benchmarked on representative problems so platforms can choose tools that fit.

03Monitor

Optimisation run.

The screen a team would use to follow this method: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Optimisation run

Systems science · Optimisation methods · Run R-1320

Feasible, gap closingGCRI · Systems Science and Modelling

Convergence

Method card

Method
Optimisation and operations research
Variables
34,656
Optimality gap
1.3 pct
Label
MODELLED

Binding constraints

Capacity05Binding
Budget01.4Binding
Service level70Slack
Optimisation run: the screen’s structure, terms and states for Systems science.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
04Data

What the method consumes.

Datasets and records used by optimisation and operations research on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in the source register.

DataRoleLabel
Benchmark problem librariesTestingREPORTED
Platform decision problemsApplicationsDECLARED
Scenario setsUncertaintyMODELLED
05Methods and evidence

How optimisation methods is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

Model, equations and assumptions

The model structure used for optimisation methods, the assumptions it makes and how each is tested.

Risk of element iRi = f(Hi, Ei, Vi, Ci)hazard, exposure, vulnerability and coping capacity
Expected annual lossEAL = ∑k pk · Lkover events k with annual probability pk
Coupled systemsxt+1 = A xt + B ut + εtA carries the couplings, u the shock, ε the error
AssumptionWhy it is madeHow it is tested
Hazard and exposure are independent within an eventKeeps the loss integral tractableCompare with a copula fit on joint records
Couplings are linear near the operating pointLets shocks propagate through APerturb beyond the linear range and compare
Vulnerability curves transfer between placesLocal curves are rarely availableValidate against observed losses where they exist
Inputs
versioned datasets with provenance
Outputs
distributions, never single numbers
Code
released with the model card and tests
Reproduction
same data, code, environment and seed
Standard risk and state-space formulations; the assumptions listed are typical of the method, stated for review, not results.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
06Validation

How results are checked.

Solutions are checked for feasibility, tested through simulation and compared with historical decisions. Sensitivity analysis examines how results change with parameters.

CheckHow it is done
Formulation reviewFormulations are reviewed with domain experts
Solution verificationSolutions are checked for feasibility and optimality gaps
Out-of-sample testingPlans are tested on scenarios not used to choose them

Optimal solutions can be fragile when assumptions are wrong. Objectives may omit values that are hard to quantify.

07Process

How the process runs.

Process

Optimisation methods: N-1 contingency assessment

The EU System Operation Guideline names contingency lists, analysis and handling; Nexus describes no N-1 process, so only these steps are shown.

  1. 01 Inputs

    1. 01Network state and modelRecord · The system operatorThe analysis starts from the operating state and network model of the system operator. Their content is set by that operator.
  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 02Contingency listRecord · The system operatorThe System Operation Guideline lists contingency lists as a named step. The list contents are set by the operator and are not stated here.
    2. 03Contingency analysisModel · The system operatorThe System Operation Guideline lists contingency analysis as a named step. The method, tools and limits are not stated here.
    3. 04Contingency handlingStep · The system operatorThe System Operation Guideline lists contingency handling as a named step. What it requires is not stated here.
  3. 03 Operator

    1. 05Operators decide; the programme controls no gridActor · The operatorWater and power operators decide any real-world change to their systems. Exercises give the programme no control of operational technology.

A national mission · Decision rightsOutline of an externally published process, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. The published Nexus documents describe no N-1 assessment. No programme runs one and every programme is at service level R0.

08Connections

Topics that rely on this method.

09Stewardship

Who maintains the method.

Systems Science and Modelling stewards optimisation and operations research for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.

10Questions

Questions and answers.

What are the limits of optimisation and operations research in this field?
Optimal solutions can be fragile when assumptions are wrong. Objectives may omit values that are hard to quantify.
How are results checked?
Solutions are checked for feasibility, tested through simulation and compared with historical decisions. Sensitivity analysis examines how results change with parameters.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Where else is this method applied?
The canonical method page lists every platform that applies it.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRISystems Science and ModellingMethods and TechnicalScenario and Stress-Test
Systems Science and Modelling

Bring a method, a dataset or a question.

Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

Science · evidence · measurement

Not for profit

Our articles, maps and twins are free to read and free to republish. Readers and partners keep it that way.

Partner with us

Who funds us

GCRI is a not-for-profit institution. To ask who funds a piece of work, use the funding questions form.

Independence

Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.

Licence

Articles: CC BY 4.0. Figures, maps, twins and data: CC BY 4.0. Other uses: ask through the permissions form.