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GCRI · Systems Science and Modelling

STEM foundation of Systems Science and Modelling

The science, technology, engineering and mathematics Systems Science and Modelling rests on. Each method has a canonical page in the STEM Commons, hosted by the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), and a page here on how it is applied in this field.

02Methods

The methods behind the field.

  1. Systems engineeringRequirements for decision models · Interface control for coupled modelsSteward · Systems Science and ModellingApplied here
  2. Probability and statisticsBayesian calibration · Proper scoring of predictions · Ensemble statisticsSteward · Systems Science and ModellingApplied here
  3. Uncertainty quantification and model validationUncertainty budgets · Surrogate models for expensive simulations · Credibility assessmentSteward · Systems Science and ModellingApplied here
  4. Network science and contagionCommon network representations · Contagion model comparison · Multilayer analysisSteward · Systems Science and ModellingApplied here
  5. Complex systems and agent-based modellingAgent-based model standards · Feedback and tipping point analysis · Early warning indicatorsSteward · Systems Science and ModellingApplied here
  6. Optimisation and operations researchProblem formulation guidance · Robust and stochastic comparisons · Solver benchmarkingSteward · Systems Science and ModellingApplied here
  7. Decision analysis under uncertaintyFraming the decision before the model · Value of information for modelsSteward · Systemic Risk ManagementApplied here
  8. High-performance, cloud and edge computingEnsemble design within budgets · Workflow orchestration · Reproducible environmentsSteward · Data and ComputeApplied here
03Method mix

Why systems modelling needs this combination of methods.

Systems modelling combines systems engineering, probability, uncertainty quantification, network science, complex systems, optimisation, decision analysis and computing. The test of any combination is whether its coupled output can be validated against something observed, which is why uncertainty quantification sits at the centre.

Systems modelling combines systems engineering, probability, uncertainty quantification, network science, complex systems, optimisation, decision analysis and computing.

04Why it matters

Grounding makes claims checkable.

When a finding names the methods it depends on, a reader can see its assumptions and limits, and an expert in that method can challenge it.

07Questions

Questions and answers.

What is a steward platform?
The platform that maintains the canonical description of a method and reviews how it is applied across the Consortium.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRISystems Science and ModellingMethods and TechnicalScenario and Stress-Test
Systems Science and Modelling

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