Rainfall-runoff modelling of a basin
A conceptual or process-based model is built for each sub-catchment, calibrated on gauged flows and run with observed and forecast rainfall to give flow at the points where decisions are taken.
GCRI · Water Nexus
Hydrology is the core science of this platform: it turns rainfall, snow, soil, vegetation and geology into the river flows, groundwater levels and storage that every water decision depends on.
Hydrology studies the movement, distribution and quality of water across the land surface, subsurface and atmosphere. It underpins the assessment of floods, droughts and water supply, which affect food, energy, health and infrastructure together. In water, climate and hazards and infrastrutture critiche, hydrological estimates set design standards for dams, levees and drainage and inform water allocation between competing users. They link climate hazards to downstream effects on power generation, crops and public health. The canonical description is on gli STEM Commons.
A conceptual or process-based model is built for each sub-catchment, calibrated on gauged flows and run with observed and forecast rainfall to give flow at the points where decisions are taken.
Inflows, abstractions, evaporation, returns and storage change are reconciled by season and by user, so allocation decisions start from a closed account rather than competing estimates.
Annual maxima and peaks over threshold are fitted to give return-period flows for levee, culvert and reservoir design, with confidence bands that widen as the record shortens.
Flood water, rain and root-zone soil moisture over the Nile Basin, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.
La mappa interattiva richiede JavaScript; l'elenco dei livelli e le fonti sono riportati sotto.
Livelli 3
Acqua adesso, per questa pagina
Tastiera, con la mappa attiva
Tieni premuto Ctrl o ⌘ e scorri per ingrandire
Ultimo disponibile
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © contributori di OpenStreetMap (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Caricamento delle immagini NASA più recenti.
Trascina per spostare. Ctrl o ⌘ e scorrimento, pizzico o i pulsanti per lo zoom; passa il puntatore per i valori sottostanti; il ripristino riporta alla regione.
Acqua ora, inquadrata sul bacino del Nilo.Prodotti satellitari e di modelli così come li pubblica la NASA, ciascuno con la propria data. Sono indicatori, non valutazioni di alcun luogo.
Livelli e date
Datasets and records used by hydrology and water science on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in registro delle fonti.
| Dati | Ruolo | Etichetta |
|---|---|---|
| Stream gauge records | Calibration and validation of flow | OSSERVATO |
| Gauge and radar rainfall | Model forcing | OSSERVATO |
| Reservoir operation records | Storage and release terms of the balance | Statistiche pubblicate |
| Digital elevation model | Catchment delineation and routing | MODELLATO |
| Land cover and soil maps | Runoff and infiltration parameters | STIMATO |
Rain becomes runoff by the curve number method, drains each sub-catchment through a linear reservoir and travels down the main stem by Muskingum routing; play it to watch the flood wave move and flatten. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction. The map on this page shows The Nile Basin; the model itself is not tied to a place.
Comandi
Letture
| Hour | Outlet (m³/s) | Unrouted (m³/s) | Upper reach (m³/s) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4 | 0.0 | 678.9 | 0.0 |
| 12.0 | 308.3 | 1,151.4 | 181.8 |
| 21.6 | 452.4 | 35.1 | 73.7 |
| 31.2 | 363.3 | 1.1 | 11.1 |
| 40.8 | 198.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| 50.4 | 79.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 60.0 | 25.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 69.6 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 79.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 88.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 98.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 108.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 117.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 127.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 136.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page’s map can draw:
Nei sei pilastri, sotto la guida di Nexus Consortium
Models are calibrated on one period of observed flows and tested on an independent period or neighbouring catchment. Skill scores and comparison with surveyed flood extents are used to judge performance.
| Verifica | Come si fa |
|---|---|
| Split-sample calibration | Fit on one period of flows, test on an independent period or a neighbouring catchment, report skill on the test period only |
| Mass balance closure | Every run reconciles inflow, outflow and storage change; an open balance is a finding, not a tolerance |
| Flood extent comparison | Modelled inundation is compared with surveyed or satellite extents of past events |
| Stationarity check | Trends in the record are tested before a periodo di ritorno is quoted from it |
Assumptions of stationarity weaken as climate and land use change. Ungauged basins, karst aquifers and rapid urbanisation are poorly represented by parameters fitted elsewhere.
Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Norme sul rischio idrico: the hazards it names, the sistemi and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full Costruttore di sistemi.
Pericoli
Sistemi e accoppiamenti
Comandi
NS-0 Costituzione e principiNS-1 Il UNI e il catalogo di artefatti (grammatica v0.2: segmenti di dominio, settore, regione e ambiente)NS-3 UNI dei record di rischio (grammatica, corrispondenza legacy, autorità di assegnazione)NS-3b Profilo di metadati di dataset e prodotti (STAC, DCAT, PROV-O)NS-9 UNI contestuali (distribuzioni, istanze, istanze di programma)NS-10 Politiche e clausole (obblighi leggibili dalle macchine: definizione, vincolo, valutazione e applicazione)NS-11 Verifica e monitoraggio (evidenze, attestazioni, osservazione della conformità zero trust)NRS-U28 Universo platform profile: Water NexusNRS-H61 Famiglia di pericoli: guasto a cascata (NHS-1 sys.cascade)NRS-K42 Profilo del pacchetto di dominio: bacini transfrontalieri (DOMAIN-042)NRS-N1 Rischio idrico e resilienzaNRS-N7 Accoppiamento del nesso acqua-energia-cibo-salute-biodiversità-infrastruttureNRS-H62 Famiglia di pericoli: eventi composti e multipericolo (NHS-1 sys.compound)Osservazione
Geografia di esempio
The sectors hydrology for water risk touches and how strongly they depend on each other: what a study has to observe and model together.
Firma
L'acqua e i suoi partner
L'acqua fornisce irrigazione al cibo (0,8), acqua di raffreddamento e idroelettrico all'energia (0,6) e deflussi ecologici alla biodiversità (0,6).
W · E · I · F · H · B
Water Nexus stewards hydrology and water science for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
Il modello, le sue ipotesi, i suoi dati e la sua incertezza, nella forma in cui uno scienziato o un ingegnere li verificherebbe. Le strutture seguono metodi pubblicati. I valori rappresentati sono illustrativi, non risultati.
The couplings between the systems in hydrology for water risk: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.
Rapporti is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
Non inviare mai dati personali, dettagli su infrastrutture sensibili o qualsiasi cosa che tu non abbia il diritto di condividere. Un contributo viene sottoposto a revisione prima dell'uso; inviarlo non conferisce diritti di paternità né editoriali, e la sponsorizzazione non compra mai un risultato.
Informazioni e richieste sono aperte oggi. Una richiesta riceve un riferimento e indica il passo successivo; candidature, pagamenti, assegnazioni di calcolo e registrazioni si aprono solo quando esistono il team, le condizioni e la capacità di revisione.
Le mappe, i dati e le cifre di questo sito sono mostrati a titolo di contesto e di informazione generale. Non costituiscono consigli, previsioni né allerte; i limiti dell'informazione sono esposti nelle Dichiarazioni di esclusione di responsabilità e nelle Note sui dati.
This site uses only strictly necessary cookies to work and to remember your privacy choices. Nothing loads from other companies, and we never sell or share your personal information.
This site uses only strictly necessary cookies to work and to remember your privacy choices. Nothing loads from other companies, and we never sell or share your personal information. We run no advertising. You can review your choices at any time through Privacy choices at the foot of every page.