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GCRI · زیرساخت‌های حیاتی

روش‌ها و عدم قطعیت

The methods زیرساخت‌های حیاتی relies on: their equations and assumptions, the data they need, how they are validated and the limits of what they can show.

01توالی

ترتیبی که رویدادها در آن رخ می‌دهند.

  1. 01پیش‌نویسsources cited, labels attached
  2. 02Evidence checkevery value traced
  3. 03Independent reviewconflicts declared
  4. 04ویراستpublished with its limits
  5. 05اصلاحیهa new version, never a silent edit
02روش‌ها

The methods in use.

  1. مهندسی قابلیت اطمینان و تاب‌آوریResilience metrics for lifelines · Reliability analysis of networks · Restoration planningApplied here
  2. مهندسی سامانه‌هاResilience requirements · Interface mapping · Verification across the life cycleApplied here
  3. علم شبکه و سرایتCritical node and link analysis · Interdependent network models · Redundancy assessmentApplied here
  4. حسگرها، اینترنت اشیا و شبکه‌های مشاهدهStructural health monitoring · Leak and pressure monitoring · Grid sensingApplied here
  5. فناوری ارتباطات و شبکهMission-critical communications · Backhaul diversity · Communication dependencies of operatorsApplied here
  6. بهینه‌سازی و پژوهش عملیاتResilience investment portfolios · Restoration scheduling · Network design under uncertaintyApplied here
  7. سامانه‌های فضایی و خدمات ماهواره‌ایTiming dependency review · Satellite backup communications · Asset monitoring from spaceApplied here
  8. تولید انرژی، ذخیره‌سازی و فناوری شبکهBackup power options · Microgrids for critical services · Fuel supply in emergenciesApplied here
  9. مهندسی سامانه‌های قدرتContingency analysis · Hardening distribution networks · Black-start and restoration plansApplied here
  10. مهندسی سازه و زلزلهFragility of infrastructure components · Retrofit of critical structures · Post-event inspectionApplied here
  11. مهندسی شهری و حمل‌ونقلNetwork criticality · Climate-resilient design · Disruption operationsApplied here
  12. مهندسی ایمنی فرایند و صنعتNatech risk assessment · Layers of protection · Learning from incidentsApplied here
03Method register

Each method, its role in this field and how it is checked.

04فرایند

نحوهٔ اجرای فرایند.

Process explorer · Process

Methods and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

10 steps4 مرحله

فرایند

Methods and uncertainty: PRISMA 2020 review reporting

PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.

  1. 01 Plan

    1. 01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
    2. 02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.
  2. 02 Find and select

    1. 03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
    2. 04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
    3. 05Flow diagramسابقهThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.
  3. 03 Analyse

    1. 06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
    2. 07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
    3. 08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
    4. 09Certainty of evidenceStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.
  4. 04 Report

    1. 10Review reportسابقهThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.

گزارش‌هاOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.

05عدم قطعیت

Where uncertainty in infrastructure analysis comes from, and how it is shown.

منبعWhy it matters hereHow it is reported
Network dataOperators rarely share full topologyData coverage stated; synthetic networks labelled
FragilityAsset response to hazards varies by age and designFragility ranges
Restoration timesDepend on crews, spares and accessDistributions from past events
DependenciesOften undocumentedElicited and labelled as expert judgement

Cascade results are reported as scenarios with the dependency assumptions listed.

06How uncertainty is reported

How uncertainty is reported.

  1. 01

    State assumptions

    Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.

  2. 02

    Quantify where possible

    Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.

  3. 03

    Validate and compare

    Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.

  4. 04

    Publish limits

    What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.

07منابع

Where this page’s references lead.

نهادها و اسنادی که این صفحه بر پایهٔ آن‌ها خوانده می‌شود. وضعیت و ویراست‌ها تغییر می‌کنند؛ هر پیوند به نهاد صادرکننده می‌رود.

08پرسش‌ها

پرسش و پاسخ.

Are the methods open?
Method descriptions are public on the STEM Commons. Code and data follow their own licences and access terms, listed in the source register.
گزارش‌هامشارکت

شواهد را از همین صفحه ارسال کنید.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIزیرساخت‌های حیاتیسامانه‌های راهبردیسناریو و آزمون تنش
زیرساخت‌های حیاتی

یک روش، یک مجموعه‌داده یا یک پرسش بیاورید.

اطلاعات و درخواست‌ها امروز باز است. هر درخواست یک شمارهٔ پیگیری می‌گیرد و گام بعدی را مشخص می‌کند؛ درخواست‌های عضویت، پرداخت‌ها، تخصیص رایانش و ثبت‌نام‌ها تنها زمانی باز می‌شوند که تیم، شرایط و ظرفیت داوری آن‌ها فراهم باشد.