Draft, not yet released. In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.

The 2027 agenda

Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due at the Q1 2027 cut.

6 min read0 figures6 tables3 notesNR-COUNTRY-CHE-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1Switzerland’s risk starts in the mountains and runs through water
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Dry year with low reservoirs and low river flows
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
    1. 7.1 Questions for the operational series
    2. 7.2 Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment
    3. 7.3 The pathway
    4. 7.4 Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission
    5. 7.5 Handoffs and routing
    6. 7.6 Feeds and signal register
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

7.1Questions for the operational series

  1. A-01

    How would a dry year with low reservoirs and low river flows cut hydropower, raise winter imports and strain farms and forests together?

    INI-CHE-WAT-01 · dry-year, reservoir and winter test; first output: dependency graph for the Rhine and Rhône basins.

  2. A-02

    How does winter electricity supply hold when reservoirs start low and nuclear and import options change?

    INI-CHE-ENE-02 · winter supply; first output: generation, storage and import register.

  3. A-03

    How exposed are farms and pastures to drought and heat, and how much of the food supply is domestic?

    INI-CHE-FOO-03 · farm exposure; first output: self-sufficiency and drought-loss table.

  4. A-04

    How much surge capacity do health services hold for heat, and who among older residents is most exposed?

    INI-CHE-HLT-04 · heat and ageing; first output: surge baseline for five cantons.

  5. A-05

    Where do rock avalanches, floods and storms fall on uninsured losses and public budgets?

    INI-CHE-FIN-05 · protection gap; first output: peril-by-canton loss table.

  6. A-06

    How do glacier loss and permafrost change slope hazard above villages and lifelines?

    INI-CHE-CLI-01 · glaciers and slopes; first output: slope-hazard exposure note.

  7. A-07

    How would the electricity agreement with the European Union or a change to the nuclear ban alter system risk?

    To be admitted in Q1 2027; first output: scoping note.

  8. A-08

    Which capabilities have been tested in real events, and which are only listed?

    National capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.

7.2Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment

Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for admission at the Q1 2027 alignment. They are programme objects, no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.

Table 7.1Objects proposed for the first operational quarter
IDObjectKindQuestionState
INI-CHE-WAT-01Dry-year, reservoir and winter test for the Rhine and Rhône basinsInitiativeA-01PROPOSED
INI-CHE-ENE-02Winter electricity supply and storageInitiativeA-02PROPOSED
INI-CHE-FOO-03Farm exposure to drought and heatInitiativeA-03PROPOSED
INI-CHE-HLT-04Heat and ageing surge baselineInitiativeA-04PROPOSED
INI-CHE-FIN-05Slope, flood and storm protection gapInitiativeA-05PROPOSED
PRJ-CHE-WAT-01aReservoir and river dependency graphProjectA-01PROPOSED
MSN-CHE-2027-01Dry-year and winter supply Universe missionMissionA-01Candidate

7.3The pathway

Switzerland is the national pathway through which the Nexus operating system will run in Switzerland from 2027. At baseline the pathway is designed and its records are prepared. Its councils and working groups are constituted from Q1 2027. This page states what exists today and what comes next, and nothing more.

  1. 01

    One National Agenda

    bounded national questions for the year

    DRAFT 2027 · agenda review at the Q1 alignment

  2. 02

    National Desk

    coordination, records, routing and continuity

    DESIGNED · constituted in Q1 2027

  3. 03

    National Model

    the country as a system of systems

    v0 SPECIFIED · v1 with the first Foundry cut

  4. 04

    National Portfolio

    risks, capabilities, initiatives, projects, missions

    7 PROPOSED · admission at the Q1 alignment

  5. 05

    Foundry

    continuous computational environment

    PREPARED · first sealed cut NQ-CHE-2027-Q1

  6. 06

    Reports

    quarterly and annual publication

    BASELINE ISSUED · Q1 2027 · State & Agenda

  7. 07

    Universe

    annual proving environment

    CANDIDATE MISSION · mandate set in 2027

  8. 08

    Evidence and correction

    after-action, correction and renewal

    OPEN · first correction cycle in Q2 2027

7.4Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission

  1. 01

    Mandate

  2. 02

    Core Build · 1 month

  3. 03

    Action · 1 week

  4. 04

    Evidence seal

  5. 05

    Portfolio correction

  6. 06

    Next mandate

Table 7.2Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission
ItemRecordStateTiming
F1Annual mandate recordPLANNEDafter the Q2 2027 alignment
F2Core Build recordPLANNEDone month before the exercise
F3Exercise evidencePLANNEDduring the Action week
F4Decision packetsPLANNEDexercise state only
F5Proof receiptsPLANNEDscoped to each recorded check
F6After-action reportPLANNEDwithin one quarter
F7Upgrade docketPLANNEDrouted to the Portfolio
F8Portfolio renewalPLANNEDQ4 2027 annual edition
F9Public synthesisPLANNEDpublic-safe extracts only

Mission

ID
MSN-CHE-2027-01 · Dry-year and winter supply Universe mission
Role spine
Leadership sponsor (NLC) · Institutional anchor (NNC) · Mission lead (NWG)
Receiving actors
to be identified with the mandate

7.5Handoffs and routing

Where the baseline’s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.

Table 7.3Handoffs and routing
FindingRouted toPurposeClass
CLI-001 · emissionspublic recordreference for the 2027 seriesPUBLIC
ENE-003 · power mixINI-CHE-ENE-02winter supplyPUBLIC
ENE-004 · hydropower and reservoirsINI-CHE-ENE-02storage and importsPUBLIC
WAT-005 · drought 2026INI-CHE-WAT-01dry-year testPUBLIC
FOO-006 · drought and farmsINI-CHE-FOO-03farm exposurePUBLIC
CLI-007 · BlattenINI-CHE-FIN-05 · key F reviewprotection gapPUBLIC
HLT-009 · heat deathsINI-CHE-HLT-04heat and ageingPUBLIC
SYS-012 · compound pathwayMSN-CHE-2027-01Universe candidateCONSORTIUM
Table 7.4Routing rules by publication class
ClassWhere it goesWho can see it
PUBLICthe published edition and its evidence bundleanyone
CONSORTIUMgoverned rooms of the national pathwayconsortium members under agreement
CONTROLLEDneed-to-know channelsnamed competent actors only

7.6Feeds and signal register

Table 7.5Feeds watched from Q1 2027
FeedProducerLatencyFeeds into
Weather and climate bulletinsMeteoSwissdaily and monthlyCLI findings
Hydrological and drought platformFederal Office for the EnvironmentdailyWAT-005
Reservoir fillSwiss Federal Office of EnergyweeklyENE-004
Electricity and overall energy statisticsSwiss Federal Office of EnergyannualENE-003
Glacier and snow monitoringGLAMOS and SLFannual and seasonalCLI-008
Heat-mortality monitoringSwiss TPH for the federal governmentseasonalHLT-009
Greenhouse-gas inventoryFederal Office for the Environmentannual in AprilCLI-001
Population and economic seriesFederal Statistical Office and SECOannual and quarterlyFIN-010

Escalation routes

  • none · keep monitoring
  • research question
  • project
  • risk object
  • quarterly publication
  • signal report
Table 7.6Signals at baseline
IDSignalCorroborationSystemsRoute
SIG-CHE-001Record low lake and river levels in 202620CORROBORATEDWAT · ENE · FOOrisk object RSK-CHE-CLI-001
SIG-CHE-002Reservoirs 16.4 points below mean in July 20268CORROBORATEDENE · FINinitiative A-02
SIG-CHE-003Heat deaths 326 in 2024 and 542 in 202317CORROBORATEDHLT · CLIinitiative A-04

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 20L. Jorio (ed.), “Drought in Switzerland: Europe’s water tower runs dry” (Lake Zurich lowest since records began in 1951 on 19 August 2026; Lake Constance 394.97 m on 11 August, 27 cm below the previous 1991–2020 low; Rhine at Basel in July below summer 2003). swissinfo.ch, 21 August 2026. Observation year 2026. https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/climate-adaptation/drought-in-switzerland-europes-water-tower-runs-dry/91913797, accessed 2026-11-03. Press report; FOEN is the cited data source.back
  2. 8SRF and swissinfo.ch (eds.), “Swiss reservoir water levels lowest in 20 years” (46% full, 16.4 points below the 20-year average, per the SFOE weekly report; reservoirs cover about 20% of winter-half demand). swissinfo.ch, 17 July 2026. Observation year 2026. https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/climate-adaptation/swiss-reservoir-water-levels-lowest-in-20-years/91760665, accessed 2026-11-03. Press report of SFOE figures.back
  3. 17Swiss TPH (ed.), HiMOMO: Monitoring heat-related deaths (542 deaths May to September 2023, 95% interval 364 to 715; 326 deaths May to September 2024, 95% interval 171 to 471). Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Allschwil, for the Federal Office for the Environment, 2023–2026. Observation years 2023–2024. https://www.swisstph.ch/en/projects/project-detail/project/monitoring-heat-related-deaths, accessed 2026-11-03.back

Cite this chapter

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Chapter 7: The 2027 agenda. In Switzerland Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of Switzerland’s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-CHE-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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