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GCRI · 인공지능과 자율 시스템

노동과 사회적 영향

AI changes which tasks people do, how work is organised, which skills are valued and how information spreads. Effects differ by occupation, country, gender and age, and depend on how firms and governments choose to deploy it. This page sets out how AI affects work and society, how exposure and impacts are measured, and what evidence serves the labour ministries, employers, unions and educators involved.

01등록

Labour and social effects on the record.

02질문

Labour and social effects: how the risk develops.

Work, education, public trust and inclusion. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

메커니즘

Tasks change before jobs do

AI automates or assists specific tasks within occupations. Jobs are reorganised around remaining tasks before they disappear or new ones form.

메커니즘

Exposure is uneven

Clerical and some professional tasks are highly exposed to generative AI, while manual and interpersonal work is less exposed. Women are over-represented in some highly exposed clerical jobs.

메커니즘

Skills and training lag

Workers need new skills to use AI well, and those displaced need retraining. Training 시스템 often respond more slowly than technology adoption.

메커니즘

Information ecosystems shift

Generated content, recommendation systems and synthetic media change how people find and judge information, with effects on trust and public debate.

03방법과 근거

How labour and social effects is modelled, measured and tested.

모형, 그 가정, 데이터, 불확실성을 과학자나 엔지니어가 확인할 형태로 제시합니다. 구조는 발행된 방법을 따릅니다. 제시된 값은 예시이며 결과가 아닙니다.

시스템 모형

The couplings between the systems in labour and social effects: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−+인공지능데이터지역사회경제R 강화B 균형
Causal loop diagram from the page’s systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
FAIR 지침 원칙 · GO FAIR와 FORCE11W3C PROV · 월드 와이드 웹 컨소시엄불확실성의 일관된 처리에 관한 지침 · IPCCCEOS 분석 준비 데이터(Analysis Ready Data) · 지구관측위성위원회
04영역 전반

AI’s effects on work vary across domains.

05지표

측정되는 것과 그 정확도.

각 지표에는 단위, 주기, 그 뒤의 출처 종류, 값에 붙을 근거 표시가 있습니다. 값은 표시하지 않습니다. 값은 프로그램이 자체 권한으로 제공합니다.

지표단위주기출처 유형라벨
Employment in occupations highly exposed to AIpercent of employment평가별Exposure studies using occupational data추정
Firms using AIpercent of firms연간Business surveys보고됨
Workers using AI tools at workpercent of workersper surveyLabour force and worker surveys보고됨
AI-related job postingsshare of postings월별Online job posting data관측
Participation in AI skills trainingpercent of workforce연간Training surveys보고됨
Wage changes in exposed occupationspercent change연간Wage statistics공표 통계
06출처

근거의 출처.

이름이 명시된 공개 데이터셋과 기관 기록으로, 각각 라이선스 등급이 있습니다. 협약에 따른 출처는 그 조건에 따라서만 사용하며 결코 재게시하지 않습니다.

출처제공하는 것라이선스 등급
ILO studies on generative AI exposure of occupationsOccupational exposure estimates by country and genderPublic, ILO terms
OECD Employment Outlook and AI in work studiesEvidence on AI adoption and labour effectsPublic, OECD terms
Eurostat ICT usage in enterprises surveyShare of enterprises using AIOpen, Eurostat reuse policy
Online job posting data such as Lightcast summariesDemand for AI skillsCommercial; public summaries (to check)
Stanford AI IndexCompiled indicators on AI adoption, investment and labourPublic, licence to check
07결정

누가 결정하며 근거는 무엇에 쓰이는지.

인공지능과 자율 시스템 prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

결정 주체질문이 페이지가 제공하는 근거
Labour ministriesWhich workers and sectors need transition supportExposure analyses; adoption tracking
Employers and unionsHow to introduce AI at work and share its gainsAdoption and wage evidence
교육 and training bodiesWhich skills to teach and to whomSkills demand evidence

이 주제가 생산하는 산출물

  • Occupational exposure analyses by sector, gender and region
  • Adoption tracking from business and worker surveys
  • Evaluation designs for AI training programmes
  • Evidence notes for social dialogue on AI at work
08핵심 질문

What researchers ask about social effects.

  • Which tasks can current AI perform well, and how does that map onto occupations?
  • Does AI substitute for workers, complement them or change what their jobs consist of?
  • How does AI change learning and assessment in education?
  • How do errors, opacity and misuse affect trust, and who is excluded?
09메커니즘

Tasks, not jobs.

Jobs are bundles of tasks. AI tends to automate or assist specific tasks, such as drafting, summarising, coding or classifying images, which changes the content of jobs rather than simply removing them. Whether that raises productivity and wages or displaces workers depends on how organisations redesign work and how gains are shared.

In education, AI can personalise support but also undermine assessment and the learning that comes from effort. Trust depends on experience: visible errors, unexplained decisions and synthetic content erode it, while accountable use can build it. People with limited digital access, skills or language support risk exclusion.

10방법과 데이터

Evidence on social effects.

  1. 01

    Task exposure analysis

    Mapping AI capabilities onto occupational task data. Exposure is not the same as displacement.

  2. 02

    Field and natural experiments

    Studying workplaces and classrooms that adopt AI, using 사회 및 행동 과학. Early studies may not generalise.

  3. 03

    Surveys of trust and use

    Measuring how people use and perceive AI. Attitudes change quickly and vary by context.

  4. 04

    역량 평가

    Linking what 시스템 can actually do, from AI 평가 및 보증 공학, to claims about social effects.

11방법

연구되는 방식과 방법이 말할 수 없는 것.

12Where this page’s references

Where this page’s references lead.

이 페이지를 읽을 때 기준이 되는 기구와 문서. 상태와 판은 바뀌며, 각 링크는 발행 기구로 연결됩니다.

13질문

질문과 답변.

Will AI take jobs?
Evidence so far suggests AI changes tasks within jobs more often than it eliminates whole jobs, but effects differ by occupation and depend on how it is deployed. Long-term effects are uncertain.
What is occupational exposure to AI?
A measure of how many of an occupation’s tasks AI could perform or assist, based on task descriptions, which indicates potential, not realised, change.
Who is most exposed to generative AI?
Studies by the ILO and others find clerical and some professional occupations most exposed, with women over-represented in highly exposed clerical work.
Will AI cause mass unemployment?
The evidence does not support confident predictions either way. Effects depend on adoption, work redesign, policy and how gains are shared, and they differ by occupation and place.
Which workers are most exposed?
Exposure analyses suggest many office and knowledge tasks are exposed to current AI, unlike earlier automation that mainly affected routine manual work. Exposure does not mean those jobs disappear.
How does this topic relate to Future of Work and Skills?
This topic connects AI capabilities to social effects; Future of Work and Skills studies labour markets, skills and institutions in depth. The two share evidence.
Does the platform advise employers?
No. It publishes research that employers, unions and public bodies can use.
보고서기여하기

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보고서 is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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