GCRI · Biotechnology and Biosecurity
Reviewed models and scenarios
Model descriptions for Biotechnology and Biosecurity are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.
The workspace for reviewed models and scenarios.
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Biotechnology and biosecurity · Reviewed models · Run R-4698 · Example interface, not a record
Runs
same inputs, versioned
| R-4105 | Molecular and life | v5.7 | 0.76 | Running |
| R-5805 | Biotechnology platforms | v7.6 | 0.71 | Passed |
| R-2912 | Epidemiology and public | v4.6 | 0.71 | Passed |
| R-2128 | Probability | v8.5 | 0.57 | Drift |
Model card
- Method
- Molecular and life sciences
- Inputs
- Institution survey, Training records
- Validation
- held-out period, skill reported
- Label
- MODELLED
Run log
- 00:00:15InfoIngest institution survey
- 00:02:12InfoSchema and licence checks passed
- 00:07:40WarnGap filled by interpolation, flagged
- 00:14:03DoneCalibration complete
- 00:22:55GateIndependent test queued
Biotechnology and Biosecurity · Build workspace. Build workspace: example names and illustrative values, not a record.
Released, referenced and rights-cleared.
- Time and space reference for every view.
- Sources and licence.
- Uncertainty and known limits.
- Version and date of release.
The kinds of model biosecurity work relies on.
| Model class | Open examples | Question it answers | Validation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capacity gap analysis | IHR monitoring framework | Where capacity is missing | External evaluation |
| Countermeasure supply models | Network supply models | Manufacturing concentration | Past shortages |
How the process runs.
Process explorer · Process
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
10 steps·4 stages
Process
Reviewed models and scenarios: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability
In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.
01 Drivers
- 01HazardDataset · Biosafety officerThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
- 02ExposureDataset · Biosafety officerThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
- 03SensitivityDataset · Biosafety officerThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
- 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Biosafety officerThe ability of systems, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.
02 Assessment
- 05Risk from responsesComponent · Biosafety officerRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
- 06VulnerabilityComponent · Biosafety officerThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
- 07RiskModel · Biotechnology and BiosecurityRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.
03 Response
- 08Risk management and responseStep · Biosafety officerRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
- 09Residual riskRecord · Biosafety officerThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.
04 Decision
- 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Biosafety officerThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.
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