Warning response surveys
Households in warned areas are surveyed after events about whether they received warnings, understood them and acted, with sampling designed to reach marginalised groups.
GCRI · Disaster Resilience and Recovery
Social science of disasters
Social and behavioural science explains why people and institutions prepare or do not, act on warnings or ignore them, and recover unequally. In this field it supplies the survey, qualitative and participatory methods that bring people’s experience into disaster evidence.
01Register
Social science of disasters on the record.
Method recordSTEM method
- MethodSocial and behavioural science
- Applied inDisaster Resilience and Recovery
- Data4 inputs
- Checks3 validation steps
- Canonical pageSTEM Commons
02Application
What social and behavioural science does here.
Social and behavioural science studies how individuals, groups and institutions think, act and organise. It explains vulnerability, risk perception, compliance and collective response to shocks. In disaster and crisis and climate and hazards, social science identifies who is exposed and less able to cope, and why warnings are or are not acted upon. It informs equitable design of policies and interventions across interconnected risks. The canonical description is on the STEM Commons.
Participatory risk assessment
Communities map their own hazards, assets and vulnerable people in facilitated sessions, and the results are recorded with consent and returned to participants.
Social vulnerability analysis
Census and survey variables describing income, age, disability, housing and access are combined to show who is most likely to be harmed and least able to recover.
03Monitor
Survey analysis.
The screen a team would use to follow this method: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.
Survey analysis
Disaster resilience · Social science of disasters · Run R-5078
Estimates stableGCRI · Disaster Resilience and Recovery
Estimates
robust standard errors
| Deaths per 100,000 (Sendai A) | −0.34 | 0.09 | [−0.3, 0.4] | Yes |
| Affected people (Sendai B) | 0.50 | 0.11 | [−0.4, 0.9] | Yes |
| Direct economic loss (Sendai C) | −0.27 | 0.19 | [−0.5, 0.7] | No |
| Damage to critical infrastructure (Sendai D) | −0.25 | 0.14 | [0.1, 0.8] | No |
Method card
- Method
- Social and behavioural science
- Sample
- 1755 obs
- Design
- stratified, weighted
- Label
- MODELLED
Residuals by group
04Data
What the method consumes.
Datasets and records used by social and behavioural science on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in the source register.
| Data | Role | Label |
|---|---|---|
| Post-event household surveys | Warning and response behaviour | REPORTED |
| Census microdata | Population characteristics | Published statistics |
| Participatory mapping records | Local hazards and capacities | DECLARED |
| Key informant interviews | Institutional practice | REPORTED |
05Methods and evidence
How social science of disasters is modelled, measured and tested.
The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.
Uncertainty bands
How far the outlook for social science of disasters could spread, shown as ranges rather than a single line.
- Central estimate
- median of the ensemble
- Ranges
- likely and very likely, in IPCC calibrated language
- Ensemble
- members, scenarios and initial conditions stated
- Read with
- the sensitivity of the result to each input
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
06Validation
How results are checked.
Findings are tested through replication, triangulation of methods and pre-registered designs. Measurement instruments are checked for reliability and validity.
| Check | How it is done |
|---|---|
| Sampling design review | Survey samples are checked for coverage of hard-to-reach groups |
| Ethics and consent | Research follows ethics review and informed consent procedures |
| Triangulation | Survey, interview and administrative evidence are compared before conclusions are drawn |
Behaviour is context dependent and may change under stress. Self-reported data carry recall and social desirability biases.
07Process
How the process runs.
Process
Social science of disasters: PRISMA 2020 review reporting
PRISMA 2020 is a reporting guideline for systematic reviews; the steps follow its checklist, not a mandated sequence, and no Nexus document adopts it.
01 Plan
- 01Registration and protocolRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for registration details, access to the protocol and any amendments.
- 02Eligibility criteriaRecord · The review teamThe guideline asks for the inclusion and exclusion criteria and how studies were grouped.
02 Find and select
- 03Search: sources and strategiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the information sources and the full search strategies. It does not fix which sources are used.
- 04Selection of studiesStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how studies were judged eligible, including how many reviewers screened. It does not fix the number of reviewers.
- 05Flow diagramRecordThe flow diagram shows the number of records found, the number of studies included and the reasons for exclusion.
03 Analyse
- 06Data collectionStep · The review teamThe guideline asks how data were collected from reports and which data items were sought.
- 07Risk of biasStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods and tools used to assess risk of bias.
- 08SynthesisModel · The review teamThe guideline asks for the effect measures and the synthesis methods. It does not prescribe meta-analysis.
- 09Certainty of evidenceStep · The review teamThe guideline asks for the methods used to assess certainty, and reports the result per outcome. It does not name a grading scale.
04 Report
- 10Review reportRecordThe guideline helps authors report why the review was done, what they did and what they found.
ReportsOutline of an externally published reporting guideline, not a Nexus process and not a record of operation. PRISMA 2020 mainly covers reviews of intervention effects. No Nexus page names it. Every programme is at service level R0.
08Connections
Topics that rely on this method.
09Stewardship
Who maintains the method.
Society and Human Development stewards social and behavioural science for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
10Connected
Where this page leads across the Consortium.
11Questions
Questions and answers.
What are the limits of social and behavioural science in this field?
Behaviour is context dependent and may change under stress. Self-reported data carry recall and social desirability biases.
How are results checked?
Findings are tested through replication, triangulation of methods and pre-registered designs. Measurement instruments are checked for reliability and validity.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Where else is this method applied?
The canonical method page lists every platform that applies it.
ReportsContribute
Contribute evidence from this page.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
GCRIDisaster Resilience and RecoveryCountry Systems Risk and ResilienceEvidence Brief
- EmailGateway GW-GCRISend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsGCRISee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.
Disaster Resilience and Recovery
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Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
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Maps, data and figures on this site are shown for context and general information. They are not advice, forecasts or warnings; the limits of the information are set out in the Disclaimers and Data Notices.