G-P03 · TOPIC · risk-reduction-policyGCRI dossier · service level R0
GCRIDisaster Resilience and RecoveryIn development
Topic dossier · Disaster Resilience and Recovery

Risk reduction policy

Disaster risk reduction policy decides whether new risk is built into roads, homes and towns, and whether existing risk is reduced before the next event. Strategies, laws, budgets and land-use rules carry that policy into practice. This page sets out how risk reduction policy works and fails, how progress is measured against the Sendai Framework, and what evidence serves the ministries and local governments that set and fund it.

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Layers 3

People and hazards, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

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Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

For risk reduction policy, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on population density, true-colour imagery and night lights with true colour from NASA GIBS, framed on the Philippines; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · GDACS · Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2A · NASA HLS S30Sources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Live: GDACS (EC JRC / UN OCHA) Events are indicative, not official warnings.
  • Observed (EO): Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2A (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026), Microsoft Planetary Computer
  • Observed (EO): NASA HLS S30 (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (35 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Active fires and thermal anomalies, last day: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026

01In brief

The short answer.

Disaster risk reduction policy is the set of strategies, laws, budgets and land-use rules that prevent new disaster risk and reduce existing risk. It succeeds when development stops building risk into hazard-exposed places and when prevention is funded. Progress is tracked against the Sendai Framework targets.

02Console

Recovery and needs tracker, in outline.

The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.

Recovery and needs tracker

Risk reduction policy · Affected area North · Day 113 after event

Housing sector behind planGCRI · Disaster Resilience and Recovery

Damage and loss by sector

local units, millions, estimated

Housing584619119
Transport1584422058
Water and sanitation44295473
Agriculture151309028
Health5164586

Build back better

Standard
raised floor levels, hazard map zoning
Safeguard
no relocation without consent
Owner
Municipality
Label
ESTIMATED

Sendai targets, national

progress vs baseline, illustrative

E · local DRR strategies47 pct · req 100G · early warning coverage80 pct · req 100F · international cooperation51 index · req 60
Recovery and needs tracker: the screen's structure, terms and states for Risk reduction policy.Placeholder names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
03The question

Risk reduction policy: how the risk develops.

Prevention and risk-informed development. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Development creates new risk

Most future disaster risk is being built now, as housing, infrastructure and industry expand into hazard-exposed places without risk-informed rules. Preventing new risk is cheaper than reducing it later.

Mechanism

Prevention is underfunded

Budgets favour response, which is visible, over prevention, whose benefits are avoided losses that never appear. Risk reduction competes with immediate needs and often loses.

Mechanism

Responsibility is spread thin

Risk reduction touches planning, finance, environment, health and infrastructure ministries. When a disaster agency holds the mandate without the budget or authority over other sectors, policy stays on paper.

Mechanism

Local capacity limits delivery

National strategies depend on local governments to enforce building codes, plan land use and maintain drainage. Where local revenue and staff are thin, delivery lags behind policy.

04Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Sendai FrameworkThe United Nations framework, adopted by member states, that sets seven targets and four priorities for reducing disaster risk.
Risk-informed developmentDevelopment planning that takes account of disaster risk so that new investments do not create new risk.
Residual riskThe disaster risk that remains even when effective risk reduction measures are in place.
05Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
National disaster risk reduction strategy in line with Sendaistatus as reportedannualSendai Framework Monitor target EOFFICIAL
Local governments with risk reduction strategiespercent of local governmentsannualSendai Framework Monitor target EOFFICIAL
Public spending on risk reductionshare of public investment tagged to risk reductionannualBudget tagging and expenditure reviewsESTIMATED
Building permits subject to hazard reviewpercent of permitsannualLocal planning recordsREPORTED
Disaster risk reduction law in forcestatus and date of enactmentper changeNational legal databasesOFFICIAL
Development in mapped hazard zoneshectares of new built-up areaannualSatellite built-up area and hazard mapsESTIMATED
06Canvas

From sources to decisions.

The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.

Pipeline canvas · Risk reduction policy as a run graphDesign, not a record
Risk reduction policy: the four Sendai priorities and their targetsUnderstanding risk informs governance and investment in resilience; preparedness and building back better close the loop; the seven global targets (A to G) are monitored against a baseline. Design of the process, not a record of a run.

Fig. 02Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.

07Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
Sendai Framework MonitorNational reporting against the seven targets and indicatorsPublic, UN terms of use
UNDRR Global Assessment ReportGlobal analysis of disaster risk and progress on risk reductionPublic, UN terms of use
IFRC Disaster Law DatabaseDisaster risk management laws and policies by countryPublic, IFRC terms (to check)
Global Human Settlement Layer (European Commission JRC)Built-up area and settlement growth over timeOpen, CC BY 4.0
Public expenditure and financial accountability reviewsAssessments of budget processes, including contingency and risk spendingPublic records, terms per publisher
08Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Disaster Resilience and Recovery prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
National disaster management authoritiesWhich priorities the national strategy should carry, and how progress is trackedPolicy reviews; Sendai indicators; local strategy coverage
Ministries of finance and planningHow much to invest in prevention, and how to tag and protect that spendingBudget tagging evidence; cost of past disasters
Local governmentsWhere to restrict development or require resilient constructionNew development in hazard zones; permit review records
LegislaturesWhether disaster risk management law gives clear mandates and resourcesComparative law and policy evidence

Outputs this topic produces

  • Policy reviews against Sendai Framework priorities and targets
  • Maps of new development in hazard zones
  • Risk reduction budget tagging methods
  • Briefs for ministries comparing prevention and response spending
09Core questions

What experts ask.

Researchers in risk reduction policy ask how prevention can compete with more visible priorities.

  • Which policies reduce exposure and vulnerability most reliably, and in which settings?
  • How is disaster risk built into land-use plans, building codes and public investment decisions?
  • Why does spending tend to favour response over prevention, and what changes that balance?
  • How can the effect of prevention, which is a disaster that did not happen, be measured?
  • How do national strategies translate into action by local governments with limited capacity?
10Mechanisms and drivers

Why prevention is hard to sustain.

Prevention offers benefits that are uncertain, delayed and invisible when they work, while its costs are immediate and certain. Political and budget cycles reward visible response more than avoided losses. Development pressure pushes building into floodplains, unstable slopes and coastal zones where land is available, and enforcement of codes is often weakest where growth is fastest, particularly in informal settlements.

Effective risk reduction tends to share features: clear legal mandates, risk information that is available to planners, screening of public investment, enforcement capacity at local level and attention to the people least able to protect themselves. It also depends on coherence across sectors, so that a road, a school and a housing programme do not each add risk that another agency must later manage.

11Methods and data

How the evidence is built, and where it stops.

  1. 01

    Policy and institutional analysis

    Comparative study of laws, mandates and budgets, drawing on social and behavioural science. Formal rules may differ from practice.

  2. 02

    Risk assessment for planning

    Hazard, exposure and vulnerability mapping with geospatial information systems. Vulnerability data is often coarse or outdated.

  3. 03

    Cost-benefit and decision analysis

    Comparison of options under uncertainty using decision analysis. Results depend on discounting and on which losses are counted.

  4. 04

    Evaluation of avoided losses

    Comparing similar events before and after measures. Few natural experiments exist and attribution is uncertain.

12Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Decision analysis under uncertaintyCost-benefit of risk reduction · Acting on forecasts · Recovery prioritisationApplied here
  2. Social and behavioural scienceWarning response surveys · Participatory risk assessment · Social vulnerability analysisApplied here
  3. Geospatial information systemsExposure mapping · Rapid damage assessment · Common operational dataApplied here
13Questions

Questions and answers.

What is disaster risk reduction?
Policy and practice aimed at preventing new disaster risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all of which strengthen resilience, in UNDRR usage.
What are the Sendai Framework targets?
Seven global targets: four on reducing mortality, people affected, economic loss and infrastructure damage, and three on increasing strategies, international cooperation and early warning.
Why is prevention underfunded?
Its benefits are losses that do not happen, which are hard to see and credit, while response spending is visible and urgent. Evidence on avoided losses helps make the case.
Does prevention pay for itself?
Studies often find that avoided losses exceed costs, but results vary greatly by measure, place and method. The platform reports such estimates with their assumptions rather than as general rules.
Why focus on development decisions?
Because most new disaster risk is created by ordinary development: where homes, roads and businesses are built and how. Changing those decisions is often more effective than adding emergency capacity.
Does the platform advise governments on policy?
It publishes evidence and comparisons. Policy choices belong to governments under their own processes; dialogue on them is convened by GRF.
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