Draft, not yet released. In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.

Data appendix

The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.

11 min read0 figures7 tables26 notesNR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1Africa’s risk travels through rivers, rains and power systems
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Failed rainy season with power and food stress across eastern and southern Africa
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
    1. B.1 The indicator set
    2. B.2 Regional source register
    3. B.3 Regional reading: Africa by member country
    4. B.4 Atlas card: Senegal River basin
    5. B.5 Africa system card
    6. B.6 Licences
    7. B.7 Formats and provenance
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

B.1The indicator set

Table B.1Baseline indicator set
IndicatorValueUnitYearStateSource
South Africa population64.0million2024Reported3
Kenya population56.4million2024Reported3
Senegal population18.5million2024Reported3
Sub-Saharan Africa population1,289.9million2024Reported3
South Africa GDP401.1USD billion2024Reported5
South Africa electricity access87.7%2023Reported4
Kenya electricity access76.2%2023Reported4
Senegal electricity access74.2%2023Reported4
South Africa carbon dioxide excluding land use427.3Mt CO₂e2023Reported6
Share of sub-Saharan Africa carbon dioxide, South Africa49.1%2023Estimated6
South Africa freshwater withdrawal47.1% of internal resources2022Reported11
Prevalence of undernourishment, Kenya36.4%2023Reported10
Hunger in Africa307million2024Reported2
People affected by East African floods700,000people2024Reported1
Under-five mortality, sub-Saharan Africa73.2per 1,0002023Reported13
Terrestrial protected area, Senegal26.3%2024Reported12
Cereal production after 2023Not boundtonnesn/aNOT BOUND18
Electricity mix after 2021Not bound%n/aNOT BOUND40
Continental electricity access countNot boundpeoplen/aNOT BOUND36
Heat-linked deathsNot bounddeathsn/aNOT BOUND1
Indicators, CSVIndicators, JSON

B.2Regional source register

The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.

Domains bound by the register

  • WAT
  • ENE
  • FOO
  • HLT
  • BIO
  • CLI
  • INF
  • FIN
  • TRD
  • MIN
Table B.3Regional source register
SourceCategoryCoveragePeriodCadenceRole
Population3343538international and national statisticsmembers, group2024–2025annualprofile
Electricity access and use420international statisticsmembers, group2023annualENE
Emissions6international statisticsmembers, group2023annualCLI
State of the Climate in Africa1agency assessmentregion2024annualCLI, WAT, FOO
Hunger210agency assessmentregion, members2023–2024annualFOO
Eskom statements2829utility statementSouth Africa2025–2026weeklyENE
Water withdrawal11international statisticsmembers, group2022annualWAT
Floods2739provincial and humanitarian statementsSouth Africa, Kenya2024–2025event-basedCLI
Health131726international statisticsmembers, group2023–2025annualHLT
Protected areas12international statisticsmembers, group2024annualBIO

B.3Regional reading: Africa by member country

Map plates for every member country follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form for the 3 member countries named in the series registry.

Population, 20243

64.0million

South Africa

56.4million

Kenya

18.5million

Senegal

Table B.4Regional reading: Africa by member country
MemberPrincipal hazardsSystems most exposedBaseline evidence
South Africafloods in the Eastern Cape, June 202527; drought in southern Africa, 20241energy, water, infrastructurepopulation 64.0 million; access 87.7%; carbon dioxide 427.3 Mt346
Kenyafloods in East Africa, 20241; flood deaths from the situation report not bound39water, health, foodpopulation 56.4 million; access 76.2%; undernourishment 36.4%3410
Senegalfirst gas at Greater Tortue Ahmeyim, December 202431; flood deaths for 2025 not boundenergy, waterpopulation 18.5 million; access 74.2%; protected land 26.3%; forest 45.1% of land341214

B.4Atlas card: Senegal River basin

  • basin
  • shared river system
  • hydropower and irrigation
  • members: Senegal
Systems in view
water, energy and food
Defining instruments
basin organisation framework30
Couplings
CLI → WAT → ENE; WAT → FOO
Capability evidence
a basin organisation of four states operates 400 MW of hydropower30; performance not bound
Gaps
basin area, member shares, flow series and irrigation withdrawals
Agenda items
A-03

The basin organisation covers Guinea, Mali, Mauritania and Senegal [30]. Basin area differs across secondary sources and is not bound. Mali, Mauritania and Guinea are not members of this series.

WATER

A shared river system

The organisation reports 200 MW at Manantali, 60 MW at Félou and 140 MW at Gouina, 400 MW in all [30].

ENERGY

Hydropower capacity

Source: basin organisation and national agriculture records. Blocker: not retrieved at evidence close.

FOOD

Irrigation and flow

B.5Africa system card

The card through which Africa appears in the global edition and in the sector series. It summarises; it does not rank.

Table B.5Africa system card
SystemBaseline stateCoupling to watchCoverage
WaterSouth Africa withdrew 47.1% of internal resources11drought into energy and foodTHIN
Energyaccess 53.3% in sub-Saharan Africa; 87.7% in South Africa4reliability and reachPARTIAL
Food307 million in hunger2drought and price shocksPARTIAL
Healthunder-five mortality 73.2 per 1,000 in sub-Saharan Africa13disease and flood riskTHIN
Biodiversityprotected: 17.0% of sub-Saharan land12condition not boundTHIN

Context

Archetype
three members inside a continent of shared basins and power systems
Population
1.29 billion in sub-Saharan Africa, 20243; United Nations projections give a larger figure for the whole continent38
Trade
first gas from a shared offshore field, December 202431
Hazard
floods in East Africa affected more than 700,000 people in 20241

The member editions (South Africa, Senegal, Kenya) and this regional edition share finding identifiers where they read the same evidence, so a correction travels to every edition at once.

MEMBER EDITIONS

Same findings, same IDs

Africa evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers.

GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES

Regional evidence, sector reports

In the global edition Africa is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.

GLOBAL FLAGSHIP

Peers, not ranks

B.6Licences

Table B.6Licences of each kind of material
MaterialLicence
TextCC BY 4.0
Dataon the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0
FiguresNexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited
Mapsboundary source and licence printed on each plate
MetadataCC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it
Third-party data, figures and textThe source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed
Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.

B.7Formats and provenance

Table B.7This edition in every format
FormatKindStateWhat it isIdentifier
Web editionHTMLOn this siteDraft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Print editionPDFAt releaseA4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site20 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE data release v1
FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.FIG-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE-*
SlidesPDFNot recordedNo slide deck is recorded for this edition.
Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recordedNo evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt releaseConcept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

Provenance

Edition pack
The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
Evidence cut
NQ-REG-AFR-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
Reproducibility
sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
Self-check
14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
Review
five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
Publisher of record
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
Corrections
Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 3World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Population, total (SP.POP.TOTL), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  2. 5World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, GDP, current US dollars (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  3. 4World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Access to electricity, % of population (EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  4. 6World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Carbon dioxide emissions excluding LULUCF, Mt CO2e (EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  5. 11World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Annual freshwater withdrawals, total, % of internal resources (ER.H2O.FWTL.ZS), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa (Kenya and Senegal values repeat across years), as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  6. 10World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Prevalence of undernourishment, % of population (SN.ITK.DEFC.ZS), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  7. 2FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP and WHO (eds.), The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025 (joint release page, 28 July 2025: Africa 307 million in hunger, above 20%). WHO, Geneva, for the partner agencies. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  8. 1WMO (ed.), State of the Climate in Africa 2024 (press release and report page, published 12 May 2025: temperature, drought, cereal yields, floods, marine heatwaves). WMO, Geneva. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  9. 13World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Mortality rate, under-5, per 1,000 live births (SH.DYN.MORT), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  10. 12World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Terrestrial protected areas, % of total land area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  11. 18World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Cereal production, metric tons (AG.PRD.CREL.MT), South Africa (19.0 Mt), Kenya (5.1 Mt), Senegal (4.0 Mt) and Sub-Saharan Africa (187.2 Mt), as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  12. 40UNVERIFIED, not opened: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (ed.), Economic Survey 2025 and 2026 (electricity generation by source; figures seen only in press summaries and not used). KNBS, Nairobi. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  13. 36UNVERIFIED, not opened: International Energy Agency (ed.), Electricity access commentary, October 2025 (about 730 million people without electricity worldwide in 2024, sub-Saharan Africa about eight in ten, from search summaries; the page returned an access error). IEA, Paris. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  14. 34UNVERIFIED, not opened: Statistics South Africa (ed.), Mid-year population estimates 2025 (release of 28 July 2025: 63,100,945 people, from search summaries; differs from the World Bank 2024 value of 64,007,187). Stats SA, Pretoria. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  15. 35UNVERIFIED, not opened: Agence nationale de la statistique et de la démographie (ed.), Rapport sur la population du Sénégal 2025 (19,075,959 people, from search summaries; the page returned an error; the United Nations projection of about 18.9 million differs). ANSD, Dakar. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  16. 38UNVERIFIED, not opened: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (ed.), World Population Prospects 2024 (Africa about 1.55 billion in mid-2025, from aggregator summaries). UN DESA, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  17. 20World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Electric power consumption, kWh per capita (EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  18. 28Eskom Holdings (ed.), Power system remains stable with 105 consecutive days without loadshedding (media statement, 29 August 2025). Eskom, Johannesburg. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  19. 29South African Government News Agency (ed.), Eskom continues to record progress (20 September 2026: 490 consecutive days without load shedding; year-to-date EAF 67.96%). SAnews, Pretoria. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  20. 27Eastern Cape Provincial Government, as reported by the South African Government News Agency (ed.), Death toll in Eastern Cape floods rises to 90 (16 June 2025; about 2,686 residents in shelters). SAnews, Pretoria. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  21. 39UNVERIFIED, not opened: UN OCHA (ed.), Kenya heavy rains and flooding, flash update 7 (19 June 2024; about 315 killed and 293,200 displaced between 1 March and 18 June 2024, from search summaries; the page returned an access error). OCHA, New York. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  22. 17World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Life expectancy at birth, years (SP.DYN.LE00.IN), South Africa, Kenya, Senegal and Sub-Saharan Africa, as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  23. 26WHO (ed.), Cholera fact sheet (2025 global totals: 451,499 cases and 7,870 deaths reported by 47 countries; no African subtotal on the page). WHO, Geneva. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  24. 31World Oil (ed.), First gas achieved at Greater Tortue Ahmeyim LNG project, offshore West Africa (2 January 2025; first gas 31 December 2024; Phase 1 about 2.3 million tonnes a year). World Oil, Houston. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  25. 14World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, Forest area, % of land area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), South Africa (18.7), Kenya (6.5), Senegal (45.1) and Sub-Saharan Africa (25.7), as served by the World Bank indicators interface on the access date. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  26. 30African Manager (ed.), OMVS: une capacité hydroélectrique de 400 MW (statement of the OMVS High Commissioner: Manantali 200 MW, Félou 60 MW, Gouina 140 MW; members Guinea, Mali, Mauritania, Senegal). African Manager, Casablanca. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex B: Data appendix. In Africa Regional Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition, The State of Africa’s Interdependent Systems. (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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