Reports · GCRI · Country profile
Indonesia 2026
ئیندۆنیزیا
Indonesia (Republik Indonesia) enters 2027 as an economy of 285.7 million people and about US$1.45 trillion of output in 2025, growing 5.1% that year. Greenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use reached 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 in 2023.
- دۆزینەوەکان
- 12
- each with its status and source
- Sectors with findings
- 5 of 6
- Infrastructure not assessed
- Risk objects
- 4
- order carries no rank
- سەرچاوەکان
- 57
- Evidence close 30 September 2026
01 · Readings
Indonesia in six readings.
Six readings that frame the Indonesia baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.
02 · Sectors
Six sectors, one hexagon.
Water first, then Energy, Infrastructure, Food, Health and Biodiversity. Each count is the findings of this edition in that sector: coverage of the evidence, never a score. Infrastructure is not assessed: the edition holds no Infrastructure finding and its coupling matrix does not assess it.
- WATئاو1 finding
Not bound Safely managed drinking water, none. ·Not bound
Supply, loss and flood indicators not bound; withdrawals 11.0% of internal resources in the 2022 series.
- ENEوزە2 findings
82% Fossil share of electricity, 2024. □ڕاپۆرتکراو
Fossil fuels 82% of electricity in 2024; net energy exporter.
- INFژێرخانnot assessed
Island networks; condition not bound at public-safe resolution.
- FOOخۆراک2 findings
59 million t Paddy production, officially estimated, 2025. □ڕاپۆرتکراو
Paddy 59 million tonnes in 2025; wheat imports near a record.
- HLTتەندروستی2 findings
22.0% Stunting among children under five, 2023. □ڕاپۆرتکراو
Stunting 22.0% in 2023; young population; surveillance series not bound.
- BIOفرەجۆریی زیندەوەری1 finding
12.0% Land in protected areas, 2025. □ڕاپۆرتکراو
Forest 50.7% of land; protected land 12.0%; deforestation records not bound.
Outside the six sectors: Climate forcing 3, Systemic 1.
03 · Hazard exposure
The hazards this edition reads.
The edition’s own risk objects, in its order, each read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and horizon. The hexagon marks the sectors the cascade reaches; the domain beside each is an editorial reading of its hazard words.
RSK-IDN-CLI-001
Heavy rain, flood and landslide
□ڕاپۆرتکراوEQL 3
- هێزی بزوێنەر
- intense rainfall on steep and flat terrain
- ڕووبەڕووبوون
- floodplains, hill settlements, rice land
- لاوازی
- not bound at public-safe resolution
- توانا
- not bound
- زنجیرەیی
- CLI → WAT → INF, FOO, HLT
- Horizon
- annual
RSK-IDN-FOO-002
Harvest loss and import shock
□ڕاپۆرتکراوEQL 3
- هێزی بزوێنەر
- crop losses and grain price spikes
- ڕووبەڕووبوون
- rice and maize growers; wheat-based foods
- لاوازی
- self-sufficiency not bound [22]
- توانا
- reserve stocks not bound [22]
- زنجیرەیی
- TRD → FOO → HLT, FIN
- Horizon
- 1–5 years
No domain reading
RSK-IDN-ENE-003
Fossil dependence and supply disruption
□ڕاپۆرتکراوEQL 3
- هێزی بزوێنەر
- fuel price spike or plant outage
- ڕووبەڕووبوون
- power, industry, households
- لاوازی
- generation by fuel not bound [20]
- توانا
- reserve margins not bound [21]
- زنجیرەیی
- ENE → HLT, FOO, FIN
- Horizon
- 1–5 years
No domain reading
RSK-IDN-SEI-004
Geophysical hazards and subsidence near dense settlement
◎Expert inputEQL 2
- هێزی بزوێنەر
- بوومەلەرزە, volcanic or subsidence processes
- ڕووبەڕووبوون
- cities, ports, coasts
- لاوازی
- not bound; land subsidence in Jakarta documented [51]
- توانا
- not bound
- زنجیرەیی
- SEI → INF, WAT, HLT
- Horizon
- 30 years
Scenario · SCN-IDN-FLD-01
Flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands
Under this scenario, results describe a conditional season under stated assumptions. It is not a forecast, and no intervention described here has been carried out.
3 of 12 findings name a hazard in their text. Show them
- 1CLI → WATheavy rain floods fields and settlements
- 2WAT → INFlandslides cut roads and power lines
- 3WAT → FOOstanding crops are lost and planting is delayed
- 4INF → HLTaccess to clinics and supplies falls
- 5TRD → FOOimport needs rise as domestic supply tightens
- 6FOO → FINprice pressure reaches household budgets
04 · Couplings
How the sectors carry risk into each other.
The Indonesia matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core سیستەمە. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.
| From | WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAT | · | Strong | Strong | مامناوەند | Strong |
| ENE | مامناوەند | · | Strong | Strong | مامناوەند |
| FOO | مامناوەند | Weak | · | Strong | Strong |
| HLT | Weak | Weak | مامناوەند | · | Weak |
| BIO | Strong | مامناوەند | Strong | مامناوەند | · |
Water: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Energy: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Food: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Health: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Biodiversity: 4 couplings out, 4 in. Infrastructure is not in the coupling matrix: none of the edition matrices types it, so it carries no value.
Cascade paths, in the edition’s order
- CLI → WAT → INFheavy rain floods and triggers landslides, cutting roads and power□ڕاپۆرتکراو
- CLI → WAT → FOOfloods destroy standing crops and delay planting□ڕاپۆرتکراو
- TRD → FOOa wheat price or shipping shock reaches food prices◎Expert input
- ENE → HLTa power outage interrupts clinics and cold chains◎Expert input
- CLI → BIO → HLTfire and haze affect forests, air and health□ڕاپۆرتکراو
05 · Findings
Every finding of Indonesia.
Search, filter by sector, system or status, and sort. The address bar keeps the view, so a filtered list can be shared. Every row opens the finding at its source.
All 12 findings
| ID | وەشان | Sector or system | دۆخ | Statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLI-001 | ئیندۆنیزیا | CLI Climate forcing | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Greenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use were 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 Mt CO₂e in 2023. |
| CLI-002 | ئیندۆنیزیا | CLI Climate forcing | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Climate Action Tracker rates Indonesia’s overall climate effort critically insufficient and puts the gap to a 1.5 °C pathway at 112% in 2030 and 141% in 2035. |
| ENE-003 | ئیندۆنیزیا | ENE وزە | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Fossil fuels supplied 82% of electricity and clean sources 18% in 2024; hydro supplied 7.4% and wind and solar 0.5%. |
| ENE-004 | ئیندۆنیزیا | ENE وزە | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Indonesia was a net energy exporter in 2024: net energy imports were minus 92.8% of energy use. |
| FOO-005 | ئیندۆنیزیا | FOO خۆراک | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | The 2025 paddy crop was officially estimated at 59 million tonnes, about 9% above average. |
| FOO-006 | ئیندۆنیزیا | FOO خۆراک | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Wheat imports are forecast at a near-record 11.5 million tonnes in the 2025/26 marketing year. |
| CLI-007 | ئیندۆنیزیا | CLI Climate forcing | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Floods and landslides in Aceh, North Sumatra and West Sumatra in late December 2025 and early January 2026 caused crop losses. |
| HLT-008 | ئیندۆنیزیا | HLT تەندروستی | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Stunting affected 22.0% of children under five in 2023, down from 30% in 2018. |
| HLT-009 | ئیندۆنیزیا | HLT تەندروستی | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Indonesia had 285.7 million people in 2025; 7.5% were aged 65 or over and 59.4% lived in urban areas. |
| BIO-010 | ئیندۆنیزیا | BIO فرەجۆریی زیندەوەری | □ ڕاپۆرتکراو | Protected areas covered 12.0% of land in 2025, against a global target of 30% by 2030. |
| WAT-011 | ئیندۆنیزیا | WAT ئاو | · Not bound | Safely managed drinking water, water loss and flood records are not bound in this edition. |
| SYS-012 | ئیندۆنیزیا | SYS Systemic | ◎ Expert input | The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands that cuts roads, power and harvests together while wheat imports are high. |
06 · Editions and calendar
The desks’ editions for Indonesia.
| Desk | وەشان | دۆخ | ناسێنەر |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCRI Systems Evidence | Indonesia 2026 | Drafted, in stewardship review | NR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| GRF Public Deliberation | Public Deliberation: Indonesia 2026 | لە ئامادەکردندایە | |
| GRA Capital Readiness | Capital Readiness: Indonesia 2026 | لە ئامادەکردندایە | |
| Standards Progress | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Academy Capability | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Index Measurement | Measurement: Indonesia 2026 | لە ئامادەکردندایە |
Calendar · 2026 Baseline
- 01Call opensset by the editor
- 02Contribution closeset by the editor
- 03Evidence close30 September 2026
- 04Desk review and releaseset by the editor
- 05Collection compilationset by the editor
- 06Collection releaseset by the editor
- 07ڕاستکردنەوەکانafter release, as needed
Evidence cut NQ-IDN-2026-Q0-1. Next cycles: Q1 2027, Q2 2027, Q3 2027, Q4 2027; their dates are set by the editor.
07 · Take part
Read it, improve it, cite it.
- ReadThe edition, chapter by chapter, with every source.
- بەشداربەSend evidence, a source or a method before the next cut.
- پێداچوونەوەJoin the stewardship review of this edition.
- CiteAPA, Chicago, BibTeX, RIS and the house style, as a draft.
- PDFThe signed PDF is issued at release; print the complete edition today.
Corrections log
| وەشان | Date | دۆخ | Change | Notice |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | DRAFT | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | هیچ |
Data gaps3What the repository does not hold yet, and the source proposed for each
| بۆشایی | Shown here as | Proposed source |
|---|---|---|
| Exposure values per hazard (people, assets, hectares) | the edition’s own risk objects, without values | the Index country profile once the Index releases values, risksindex.com/idn/ |
| The NHS-1 hazard types and their assignment to this edition’s risk objects | an editorial reading of the hazard words | the NHS-1 type assignment through the Registry |
| Infrastructure in the coupling matrix | Infrastructure marked not assessed | an Infrastructure row and column in the edition matrix at the next cut |
Send evidence or a correction on Indonesia.
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