Reports · GCRI · Country profile
Indonesia 2026
인도네시아
Indonesia (Republik Indonesia) enters 2027 as an economy of 285.7 million people and about US$1.45 trillion of output in 2025, growing 5.1% that year. Greenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use reached 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 in 2023.
- 조사 결과
- 12
- each with its status and source
- Sectors with findings
- 5 of 6
- Infrastructure not assessed
- Risk objects
- 4
- order carries no rank
- 출처
- 57
- Evidence close 30 September 2026
01 · Readings
Indonesia in six readings.
Six readings that frame the Indonesia baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.
02 · Sectors
Six sectors, one hexagon.
Water first, then Energy, Infrastructure, Food, Health and Biodiversity. Each count is the findings of this edition in that sector: coverage of the evidence, never a score. Infrastructure is not assessed: the edition holds no Infrastructure finding and its coupling matrix does not assess it.
- WAT물1 finding
Not bound Safely managed drinking water, none. ·Not bound
Supply, loss and flood indicators not bound; withdrawals 11.0% of internal resources in the 2022 series.
- ENE에너지2 findings
82% Fossil share of electricity, 2024. □보고값
Fossil fuels 82% of electricity in 2024; net energy exporter.
- INF인프라not assessed
Island networks; condition not bound at public-safe resolution.
- FOO식량2 findings
59 million t Paddy production, officially estimated, 2025. □보고값
Paddy 59 million tonnes in 2025; wheat imports near a record.
- HLT보건2 findings
22.0% Stunting among children under five, 2023. □보고값
Stunting 22.0% in 2023; young population; surveillance series not bound.
- BIO생물다양성1 finding
12.0% Land in protected areas, 2025. □보고값
Forest 50.7% of land; protected land 12.0%; deforestation records not bound.
Outside the six sectors: Climate forcing 3, Systemic 1.
03 · Hazard exposure
The hazards this edition reads.
The edition’s own risk objects, in its order, each read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and horizon. The hexagon marks the sectors the cascade reaches; the domain beside each is an editorial reading of its hazard words.
RSK-IDN-CLI-001
Heavy rain, flood and landslide
□보고값EQL 3
- 동인
- intense rainfall on steep and flat terrain
- 노출
- floodplains, hill settlements, rice land
- 취약성
- not bound at public-safe resolution
- 역량
- not bound
- 캐스케이드
- CLI → WAT → INF, FOO, HLT
- 예측 시계
- 연간
RSK-IDN-FOO-002
Harvest loss and import shock
□보고값EQL 3
- 동인
- crop losses and grain price spikes
- 노출
- rice and maize growers; wheat-based foods
- 취약성
- self-sufficiency not bound [22]
- 역량
- reserve stocks not bound [22]
- 캐스케이드
- TRD → FOO → HLT, FIN
- 예측 시계
- 1–5 years
No domain reading
RSK-IDN-ENE-003
Fossil dependence and supply disruption
□보고값EQL 3
- 동인
- fuel price spike or plant outage
- 노출
- power, industry, households
- 취약성
- generation by fuel not bound [20]
- 역량
- reserve margins not bound [21]
- 캐스케이드
- ENE → HLT, FOO, FIN
- 예측 시계
- 1–5 years
No domain reading
RSK-IDN-SEI-004
Geophysical hazards and subsidence near dense settlement
◎Expert inputEQL 2
- 동인
- 지진, volcanic or subsidence processes
- 노출
- cities, ports, coasts
- 취약성
- not bound; land subsidence in Jakarta documented [51]
- 역량
- not bound
- 캐스케이드
- SEI → INF, WAT, HLT
- 예측 시계
- 30 years
Scenario · SCN-IDN-FLD-01
Flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands
Under this scenario, results describe a conditional season under stated assumptions. It is not a forecast, and no intervention described here has been carried out.
3 of 12 findings name a hazard in their text. Show them
- 1CLI → WATheavy rain floods fields and settlements
- 2WAT → INFlandslides cut roads and power lines
- 3WAT → FOOstanding crops are lost and planting is delayed
- 4INF → HLTaccess to clinics and supplies falls
- 5TRD → FOOimport needs rise as domestic supply tightens
- 6FOO → FINprice pressure reaches household budgets
04 · Couplings
How the sectors carry risk into each other.
The Indonesia matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core 시스템. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.
| 출발 | WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAT | · | Strong | Strong | 중간 규모 손실 | Strong |
| ENE | 중간 규모 손실 | · | Strong | Strong | 중간 규모 손실 |
| FOO | 중간 규모 손실 | Weak | · | Strong | Strong |
| HLT | Weak | Weak | 중간 규모 손실 | · | Weak |
| BIO | Strong | 중간 규모 손실 | Strong | 중간 규모 손실 | · |
Water: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Energy: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Food: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Health: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Biodiversity: 4 couplings out, 4 in. Infrastructure is not in the coupling matrix: none of the edition matrices types it, so it carries no value.
Cascade paths, in the edition’s order
- CLI → WAT → INFheavy rain floods and triggers landslides, cutting roads and power□보고값
- CLI → WAT → FOOfloods destroy standing crops and delay planting□보고값
- TRD → FOOa wheat price or shipping shock reaches food prices◎Expert input
- ENE → HLTa power outage interrupts clinics and cold chains◎Expert input
- CLI → BIO → HLTfire and haze affect forests, air and health□보고값
05 · Findings
Every finding of Indonesia.
Search, filter by sector, system or status, and sort. The address bar keeps the view, so a filtered list can be shared. Every row opens the finding at its source.
All 12 findings
| ID | 판 | Sector or system | 상태 | Statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLI-001 | 인도네시아 | CLI Climate forcing | □ 보고값 | Greenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use were 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 Mt CO₂e in 2023. |
| CLI-002 | 인도네시아 | CLI Climate forcing | □ 보고값 | Climate Action Tracker rates Indonesia’s overall climate effort critically insufficient and puts the gap to a 1.5 °C pathway at 112% in 2030 and 141% in 2035. |
| ENE-003 | 인도네시아 | ENE 에너지 | □ 보고값 | Fossil fuels supplied 82% of electricity and clean sources 18% in 2024; hydro supplied 7.4% and wind and solar 0.5%. |
| ENE-004 | 인도네시아 | ENE 에너지 | □ 보고값 | Indonesia was a net energy exporter in 2024: net energy imports were minus 92.8% of energy use. |
| FOO-005 | 인도네시아 | FOO 식량 | □ 보고값 | The 2025 paddy crop was officially estimated at 59 million tonnes, about 9% above average. |
| FOO-006 | 인도네시아 | FOO 식량 | □ 보고값 | Wheat imports are forecast at a near-record 11.5 million tonnes in the 2025/26 marketing year. |
| CLI-007 | 인도네시아 | CLI Climate forcing | □ 보고값 | Floods and landslides in Aceh, North Sumatra and West Sumatra in late December 2025 and early January 2026 caused crop losses. |
| HLT-008 | 인도네시아 | HLT 보건 | □ 보고값 | Stunting affected 22.0% of children under five in 2023, down from 30% in 2018. |
| HLT-009 | 인도네시아 | HLT 보건 | □ 보고값 | Indonesia had 285.7 million people in 2025; 7.5% were aged 65 or over and 59.4% lived in urban areas. |
| BIO-010 | 인도네시아 | BIO 생물다양성 | □ 보고값 | Protected areas covered 12.0% of land in 2025, against a global target of 30% by 2030. |
| WAT-011 | 인도네시아 | WAT 물 | · Not bound | Safely managed drinking water, water loss and flood records are not bound in this edition. |
| SYS-012 | 인도네시아 | SYS 시스템 | ◎ Expert input | The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands that cuts roads, power and harvests together while wheat imports are high. |
06 · Editions and calendar
The desks’ editions for Indonesia.
| 데스크 | 판 | 상태 | 식별자 |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCRI Systems Evidence | Indonesia 2026 | Drafted, in stewardship review | NR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| GRF Public Deliberation | Public Deliberation: Indonesia 2026 | 준비 중 | |
| GRA Capital Readiness | Capital Readiness: Indonesia 2026 | 준비 중 | |
| Standards Progress | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Academy Capability | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Index Measurement | Measurement: Indonesia 2026 | 준비 중 |
Calendar · 2026 Baseline
- 01Call opensset by the editor
- 02Contribution closeset by the editor
- 03근거 마감30 September 2026
- 04Desk review and releaseset by the editor
- 05Collection compilationset by the editor
- 06Collection releaseset by the editor
- 07정정after release, as needed
Evidence cut NQ-IDN-2026-Q0-1. Next cycles: Q1 2027, Q2 2027, Q3 2027, Q4 2027; their dates are set by the editor.
07 · Take part
Read it, improve it, cite it.
- 읽기The edition, chapter by chapter, with every source.
- 기여하기Send evidence, a source or a method before the next cut.
- 검토Join the stewardship review of this edition.
- CiteAPA, Chicago, BibTeX, RIS and the house style, as a draft.
- PDFThe signed PDF is issued at release; print the complete edition today.
정정 기록
| 버전 | 날짜 | 상태 | 변화 | 공지 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | DRAFT | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | 없음 |
Data gaps3What the repository does not hold yet, and the source proposed for each
| 격차 | Shown here as | Proposed source |
|---|---|---|
| Exposure values per hazard (people, assets, hectares) | the edition’s own risk objects, without values | the Index country profile once the Index releases values, risksindex.com/idn/ |
| The NHS-1 hazard types and their assignment to this edition’s risk objects | an editorial reading of the hazard words | the NHS-1 type assignment through the Registry |
| Infrastructure in the coupling matrix | Infrastructure marked not assessed | an Infrastructure row and column in the edition matrix at the next cut |
Send evidence or a correction on Indonesia.
보고서 is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) 시스템 증거 담당 부서에 속합니다. 이 주제에 대해 아시는 내용은 다음 판에서 증거, 사례 또는 정정이 될 수 있으며, 귀하의 이름으로 표기되고 직접 작성한 저작물인 경우 CC BY 4.0으로 발행됩니다. 잘못된 부서에 보내더라도 거절되지 않고 전달됩니다.
- 이메일게이트웨이 GW-GCRI이 페이지에서 보내기증거, 정정, 사례, 방법, 검토, 번역 또는 프로필 입력 자료. 이 페이지의 태그가 붙어 도착하므로, 이를 담당하는 편집자가 받게 됩니다.
- Zenodo개방형 예치기탁하고 커뮤니티에 제출하기ORCID iD로 Zenodo에 직접 기록을 게시한 뒤, 그곳의 Reports 커뮤니티에 제출하십시오. 큐레이터가 검토하며, DOI는 귀하의 것으로 남습니다.
- 보고서GCRI어느 담당 부서가 귀하의 내용을 받는지 확인하기안내표를 열면 기여 페이지로 연결되며, 무엇을 가지고 있는지, 어느 담당 부서가 받는지, 각 기여를 어떻게 검토하고 표기하는지, 그리고 라이선스를 확인할 수 있습니다.
개인정보, 민감한 인프라 세부 정보, 공유할 권리가 없는 자료는 절대 보내지 마십시오. 기여물은 사용 전에 검토됩니다. 기여물을 보낸다고 해서 저작자 지위나 편집 권한이 부여되지 않으며, 후원으로 조사 결과를 얻을 수 없습니다.
CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.