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Indonesia 2026

इंडोनेशिया

Indonesia (Republik Indonesia) enters 2027 as an economy of 285.7 million people and about US$1.45 trillion of output in 2025, growing 5.1% that year. Greenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use reached 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 in 2023.

निष्कर्ष
12
each with its status and source
Sectors with findings
5 of 6
Infrastructure not assessed
Risk objects
4
order carries no rank
स्रोत
57
Evidence close 30 September 2026

01 · Readings

Indonesia in six readings.

Six readings that frame the Indonesia baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.

  • 285.7millionpopulation, 2025 [1]
  • 1.45US$ trillionGDP, 2025 [3]
  • 5,120US$GNI per capita, Atlas method, 2025 [3]
  • 59.4%urban population, 2025 [2]
  • 38provincesadministrative units [14]
  • Not boundprovincial population structure [17]

02 · Sectors

Six sectors, one hexagon.

Water first, then Energy, Infrastructure, Food, Health and Biodiversity. Each count is the findings of this edition in that sector: coverage of the evidence, never a score. Infrastructure is not assessed: the edition holds no Infrastructure finding and its coupling matrix does not assess it.

  1. WATजल1 finding

    Not bound Safely managed drinking water, none. Not bound

    Supply, loss and flood indicators not bound; withdrawals 11.0% of internal resources in the 2022 series.

  2. ENEऊर्जा2 findings

    82% Fossil share of electricity, 2024. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    Fossil fuels 82% of electricity in 2024; net energy exporter.

  3. INFअवसंरचनाnot assessed

    Island networks; condition not bound at public-safe resolution.

  4. FOOखाद्य2 findings

    59 million t Paddy production, officially estimated, 2025. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    Paddy 59 million tonnes in 2025; wheat imports near a record.

  5. HLTस्वास्थ्य2 findings

    22.0% Stunting among children under five, 2023. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    Stunting 22.0% in 2023; young population; surveillance series not bound.

  6. BIOजैव विविधता1 finding

    12.0% Land in protected areas, 2025. रिपोर्ट किया गया

    Forest 50.7% of land; protected land 12.0%; deforestation records not bound.

Outside the six sectors: Climate forcing 3, Systemic 1.

03 · Hazard exposure

The hazards this edition reads.

The edition’s own risk objects, in its order, each read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and horizon. The hexagon marks the sectors the cascade reaches; the domain beside each is an editorial reading of its hazard words.

  • RSK-IDN-CLI-001

    Heavy rain, flood and landslide

    रिपोर्ट किया गयाEQL 3

    चालक
    intense rainfall on steep and flat terrain
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    floodplains, hill settlements, rice land
    भेद्यता
    not bound at public-safe resolution
    क्षमता
    not bound
    कैस्केड
    CLI → WAT → INF, FOO, HLT
    क्षितिज
    वार्षिक

    जल प्रणालियाँ

  • RSK-IDN-FOO-002

    Harvest loss and import shock

    रिपोर्ट किया गयाEQL 3

    चालक
    crop losses and grain price spikes
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    rice and maize growers; wheat-based foods
    भेद्यता
    self-sufficiency not bound [22]
    क्षमता
    reserve stocks not bound [22]
    कैस्केड
    TRD → FOO → HLT, FIN
    क्षितिज
    1–5 years

    No domain reading

  • RSK-IDN-ENE-003

    Fossil dependence and supply disruption

    रिपोर्ट किया गयाEQL 3

    चालक
    fuel price spike or plant outage
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    power, industry, households
    भेद्यता
    generation by fuel not bound [20]
    क्षमता
    reserve margins not bound [21]
    कैस्केड
    ENE → HLT, FOO, FIN
    क्षितिज
    1–5 years

    No domain reading

  • RSK-IDN-SEI-004

    Geophysical hazards and subsidence near dense settlement

    Expert inputEQL 2

    चालक
    भूकंप, volcanic or subsidence processes
    जोखिम-अनावरण
    cities, ports, coasts
    भेद्यता
    not bound; land subsidence in Jakarta documented [51]
    क्षमता
    not bound
    कैस्केड
    SEI → INF, WAT, HLT
    क्षितिज
    30 years

    ठोस पृथ्वी

Scenario · SCN-IDN-FLD-01

Flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands

Under this scenario, results describe a conditional season under stated assumptions. It is not a forecast, and no intervention described here has been carried out.

3 of 12 findings name a hazard in their text. Show them

  1. 1CLI → WATheavy rain floods fields and settlements
  2. 2WAT → INFlandslides cut roads and power lines
  3. 3WAT → FOOstanding crops are lost and planting is delayed
  4. 4INF → HLTaccess to clinics and supplies falls
  5. 5TRD → FOOimport needs rise as domestic supply tightens
  6. 6FOO → FINprice pressure reaches household budgets

04 · Couplings

How the sectors carry risk into each other.

The Indonesia matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core प्रणालियाँ. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.

Coupling matrix, from row to column
सेWATENEFOOHLTBIO
WAT·StrongStrongमध्यमStrong
ENEमध्यम·StrongStrongमध्यम
FOOमध्यमWeak·StrongStrong
HLTWeakWeakमध्यम·Weak
BIOStrongमध्यमStrongमध्यम·

Water: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Energy: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Food: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Health: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Biodiversity: 4 couplings out, 4 in. Infrastructure is not in the coupling matrix: none of the edition matrices types it, so it carries no value.

Cascade paths, in the edition’s order

  1. CLI → WAT → INFheavy rain floods and triggers landslides, cutting roads and powerरिपोर्ट किया गया
  2. CLI → WAT → FOOfloods destroy standing crops and delay plantingरिपोर्ट किया गया
  3. TRD → FOOa wheat price or shipping shock reaches food pricesExpert input
  4. ENE → HLTa power outage interrupts clinics and cold chainsExpert input
  5. CLI → BIO → HLTfire and haze affect forests, air and healthरिपोर्ट किया गया

05 · Findings

Every finding of Indonesia.

Search, filter by sector, system or status, and sort. The address bar keeps the view, so a filtered list can be shared. Every row opens the finding at its source.

All 12 findings

Findings of Indonesia
IDसंस्करणSector or systemस्थितिStatement
CLI-001इंडोनेशियाCLI Climate forcing रिपोर्ट किया गयाGreenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use were 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 Mt CO₂e in 2023.
CLI-002इंडोनेशियाCLI Climate forcing रिपोर्ट किया गयाClimate Action Tracker rates Indonesia’s overall climate effort critically insufficient and puts the gap to a 1.5 °C pathway at 112% in 2030 and 141% in 2035.
ENE-003इंडोनेशियाENE ऊर्जा रिपोर्ट किया गयाFossil fuels supplied 82% of electricity and clean sources 18% in 2024; hydro supplied 7.4% and wind and solar 0.5%.
ENE-004इंडोनेशियाENE ऊर्जा रिपोर्ट किया गयाIndonesia was a net energy exporter in 2024: net energy imports were minus 92.8% of energy use.
FOO-005इंडोनेशियाFOO खाद्य रिपोर्ट किया गयाThe 2025 paddy crop was officially estimated at 59 million tonnes, about 9% above average.
FOO-006इंडोनेशियाFOO खाद्य रिपोर्ट किया गयाWheat imports are forecast at a near-record 11.5 million tonnes in the 2025/26 marketing year.
CLI-007इंडोनेशियाCLI Climate forcing रिपोर्ट किया गयाFloods and landslides in Aceh, North Sumatra and West Sumatra in late December 2025 and early January 2026 caused crop losses.
HLT-008इंडोनेशियाHLT स्वास्थ्य रिपोर्ट किया गयाStunting affected 22.0% of children under five in 2023, down from 30% in 2018.
HLT-009इंडोनेशियाHLT स्वास्थ्य रिपोर्ट किया गयाIndonesia had 285.7 million people in 2025; 7.5% were aged 65 or over and 59.4% lived in urban areas.
BIO-010इंडोनेशियाBIO जैव विविधता रिपोर्ट किया गयाProtected areas covered 12.0% of land in 2025, against a global target of 30% by 2030.
WAT-011इंडोनेशियाWAT जल Not boundSafely managed drinking water, water loss and flood records are not bound in this edition.
SYS-012इंडोनेशियाSYS प्रणालीगत Expert inputThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands that cuts roads, power and harvests together while wheat imports are high.

06 · Editions and calendar

The desks’ editions for Indonesia.

The desks’ editions for Indonesia
डेस्कसंस्करणस्थितिपहचानकर्ता
GCRI Systems EvidenceIndonesia 2026Drafted, in stewardship reviewNR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
GRF Public DeliberationPublic Deliberation: Indonesia 2026तैयारी में
GRA Capital ReadinessCapital Readiness: Indonesia 2026तैयारी में
Standards ProgressNo edition in the 2026 Baseline cycleNot in this cycle
Academy CapabilityNo edition in the 2026 Baseline cycleNot in this cycle
Index MeasurementMeasurement: Indonesia 2026तैयारी में

Calendar · 2026 Baseline

  1. 01Call opensset by the editor
  2. 02Contribution closeset by the editor
  3. 03साक्ष्य समापन30 September 2026
  4. 04Desk review and releaseset by the editor
  5. 05Collection compilationset by the editor
  6. 06Collection releaseset by the editor
  7. 07सुधारafter release, as needed

Evidence cut NQ-IDN-2026-Q0-1. Next cycles: Q1 2027, Q2 2027, Q3 2027, Q4 2027; their dates are set by the editor.

07 · Take part

Read it, improve it, cite it.

सुधार लॉग

Versions and corrections
संस्करणतिथिस्थितिबदलावसूचना
NR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DRAFTBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,कोई नहीं
Data gaps3What the repository does not hold yet, and the source proposed for each
Data gaps and proposed sources
अंतरालShown here asProposed source
Exposure values per hazard (people, assets, hectares)the edition’s own risk objects, without valuesthe Index country profile once the Index releases values, risksindex.com/idn/
The NHS-1 hazard types and their assignment to this edition’s risk objectsan editorial reading of the hazard wordsthe NHS-1 type assignment through the Registry
Infrastructure in the coupling matrixInfrastructure marked not assessedan Infrastructure row and column in the edition matrix at the next cut
रिपोर्टयोगदान दें

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रिपोर्ट is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) प्रणालियाँ साक्ष्य डेस्क के साथ है। इस विषय पर आप जो जानते हैं, वह अगले संस्करण में साक्ष्य, मामला या सुधार बन सकता है, आपके नाम से श्रेय के साथ, और यदि वह आपका अपना काम है तो CC BY 4.0 के अंतर्गत प्रकाशित। गलत डेस्क पर भेजा गया हो तो उसे अग्रेषित किया जाता है, अस्वीकार नहीं।

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