Reports · GCRI · Country profile
Indonesia 2026
Индонезия
Indonesia (Republik Indonesia) enters 2027 as an economy of 285.7 million people and about US$1.45 trillion of output in 2025, growing 5.1% that year. Greenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use reached 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 in 2023.
- Выводы
- 12
- each with its status and source
- Sectors with findings
- 5 of 6
- Infrastructure not assessed
- Risk objects
- 4
- order carries no rank
- Источники
- 57
- Evidence close 30 September 2026
01 · Readings
Indonesia in six readings.
Six readings that frame the Indonesia baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.
02 · Sectors
Six sectors, one hexagon.
Water first, then Energy, Infrastructure, Food, Health and Biodiversity. Each count is the findings of this edition in that sector: coverage of the evidence, never a score. Infrastructure is not assessed: the edition holds no Infrastructure finding and its coupling matrix does not assess it.
- WATВода1 finding
Not bound Safely managed drinking water, none. ·Not bound
Supply, loss and flood indicators not bound; withdrawals 11.0% of internal resources in the 2022 series.
- ENEЭнергетика2 findings
82% Fossil share of electricity, 2024. □Сообщённые данные
Fossil fuels 82% of electricity in 2024; net energy exporter.
- INFИнфраструктураnot assessed
Island networks; condition not bound at public-safe resolution.
- FOOПродовольствие2 findings
59 million t Paddy production, officially estimated, 2025. □Сообщённые данные
Paddy 59 million tonnes in 2025; wheat imports near a record.
- HLTЗдравоохранение2 findings
22.0% Stunting among children under five, 2023. □Сообщённые данные
Stunting 22.0% in 2023; young population; surveillance series not bound.
- BIOБиоразнообразие1 finding
12.0% Land in protected areas, 2025. □Сообщённые данные
Forest 50.7% of land; protected land 12.0%; deforestation records not bound.
Outside the six sectors: Climate forcing 3, Systemic 1.
03 · Hazard exposure
The hazards this edition reads.
The edition’s own risk objects, in its order, each read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and horizon. The hexagon marks the sectors the cascade reaches; the domain beside each is an editorial reading of its hazard words.
RSK-IDN-CLI-001
Heavy rain, flood and landslide
□Сообщённые данныеEQL 3
- Движущая сила
- intense rainfall on steep and flat terrain
- Подверженность
- floodplains, hill settlements, rice land
- Уязвимость
- not bound at public-safe resolution
- Мощность
- not bound
- Каскад
- CLI → WAT → INF, FOO, HLT
- Горизонт
- ежегодно
RSK-IDN-FOO-002
Harvest loss and import shock
□Сообщённые данныеEQL 3
- Движущая сила
- crop losses and grain price spikes
- Подверженность
- rice and maize growers; wheat-based foods
- Уязвимость
- self-sufficiency not bound [22]
- Мощность
- reserve stocks not bound [22]
- Каскад
- TRD → FOO → HLT, FIN
- Горизонт
- 1–5 years
No domain reading
RSK-IDN-ENE-003
Fossil dependence and supply disruption
□Сообщённые данныеEQL 3
- Движущая сила
- fuel price spike or plant outage
- Подверженность
- power, industry, households
- Уязвимость
- generation by fuel not bound [20]
- Мощность
- reserve margins not bound [21]
- Каскад
- ENE → HLT, FOO, FIN
- Горизонт
- 1–5 years
No domain reading
RSK-IDN-SEI-004
Geophysical hazards and subsidence near dense settlement
◎Expert inputEQL 2
- Движущая сила
- Землетрясение, volcanic or subsidence processes
- Подверженность
- cities, ports, coasts
- Уязвимость
- not bound; land subsidence in Jakarta documented [51]
- Мощность
- not bound
- Каскад
- SEI → INF, WAT, HLT
- Горизонт
- 30 years
Scenario · SCN-IDN-FLD-01
Flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands
Under this scenario, results describe a conditional season under stated assumptions. It is not a forecast, and no intervention described here has been carried out.
3 of 12 findings name a hazard in their text. Show them
- 1CLI → WATheavy rain floods fields and settlements
- 2WAT → INFlandslides cut roads and power lines
- 3WAT → FOOstanding crops are lost and planting is delayed
- 4INF → HLTaccess to clinics and supplies falls
- 5TRD → FOOimport needs rise as domestic supply tightens
- 6FOO → FINprice pressure reaches household budgets
04 · Couplings
How the sectors carry risk into each other.
The Indonesia matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core системы. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.
| От | WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAT | · | Strong | Strong | Умеренные | Strong |
| ENE | Умеренные | · | Strong | Strong | Умеренные |
| FOO | Умеренные | Weak | · | Strong | Strong |
| HLT | Weak | Weak | Умеренные | · | Weak |
| BIO | Strong | Умеренные | Strong | Умеренные | · |
Water: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Energy: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Food: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Health: 4 couplings out, 4 in; Biodiversity: 4 couplings out, 4 in. Infrastructure is not in the coupling matrix: none of the edition matrices types it, so it carries no value.
Cascade paths, in the edition’s order
- CLI → WAT → INFheavy rain floods and triggers landslides, cutting roads and power□Сообщённые данные
- CLI → WAT → FOOfloods destroy standing crops and delay planting□Сообщённые данные
- TRD → FOOa wheat price or shipping shock reaches food prices◎Expert input
- ENE → HLTa power outage interrupts clinics and cold chains◎Expert input
- CLI → BIO → HLTfire and haze affect forests, air and health□Сообщённые данные
05 · Findings
Every finding of Indonesia.
Search, filter by sector, system or status, and sort. The address bar keeps the view, so a filtered list can be shared. Every row opens the finding at its source.
All 12 findings
| ID | Выпуск | Sector or system | Статус | Statement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLI-001 | Индонезия | CLI Climate forcing | □ Сообщённые данные | Greenhouse-gas emissions excluding land use were 1,323.8 Mt CO₂e in 2024, up from 1,261.3 Mt CO₂e in 2023. |
| CLI-002 | Индонезия | CLI Climate forcing | □ Сообщённые данные | Climate Action Tracker rates Indonesia’s overall climate effort critically insufficient and puts the gap to a 1.5 °C pathway at 112% in 2030 and 141% in 2035. |
| ENE-003 | Индонезия | ENE Энергетика | □ Сообщённые данные | Fossil fuels supplied 82% of electricity and clean sources 18% in 2024; hydro supplied 7.4% and wind and solar 0.5%. |
| ENE-004 | Индонезия | ENE Энергетика | □ Сообщённые данные | Indonesia was a net energy exporter in 2024: net energy imports were minus 92.8% of energy use. |
| FOO-005 | Индонезия | FOO Продовольствие | □ Сообщённые данные | The 2025 paddy crop was officially estimated at 59 million tonnes, about 9% above average. |
| FOO-006 | Индонезия | FOO Продовольствие | □ Сообщённые данные | Wheat imports are forecast at a near-record 11.5 million tonnes in the 2025/26 marketing year. |
| CLI-007 | Индонезия | CLI Climate forcing | □ Сообщённые данные | Floods and landslides in Aceh, North Sumatra and West Sumatra in late December 2025 and early January 2026 caused crop losses. |
| HLT-008 | Индонезия | HLT Здравоохранение | □ Сообщённые данные | Stunting affected 22.0% of children under five in 2023, down from 30% in 2018. |
| HLT-009 | Индонезия | HLT Здравоохранение | □ Сообщённые данные | Indonesia had 285.7 million people in 2025; 7.5% were aged 65 or over and 59.4% lived in urban areas. |
| BIO-010 | Индонезия | BIO Биоразнообразие | □ Сообщённые данные | Protected areas covered 12.0% of land in 2025, against a global target of 30% by 2030. |
| WAT-011 | Индонезия | WAT Вода | · Not bound | Safely managed drinking water, water loss and flood records are not bound in this edition. |
| SYS-012 | Индонезия | SYS Системные риски | ◎ Expert input | The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands that cuts roads, power and harvests together while wheat imports are high. |
06 · Editions and calendar
The desks’ editions for Indonesia.
| Бюро | Выпуск | Статус | Идентификатор |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCRI Systems Evidence | Indonesia 2026 | Drafted, in stewardship review | NR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| GRF Public Deliberation | Public Deliberation: Indonesia 2026 | В подготовке | |
| GRA Capital Readiness | Capital Readiness: Indonesia 2026 | В подготовке | |
| Standards Progress | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Academy Capability | No edition in the 2026 Baseline cycle | Not in this cycle | |
| Index Measurement | Measurement: Indonesia 2026 | В подготовке |
Calendar · 2026 Baseline
- 01Call opensset by the editor
- 02Contribution closeset by the editor
- 03Закрытие доказательной базы30 September 2026
- 04Desk review and releaseset by the editor
- 05Collection compilationset by the editor
- 06Collection releaseset by the editor
- 07Исправленияafter release, as needed
Evidence cut NQ-IDN-2026-Q0-1. Next cycles: Q1 2027, Q2 2027, Q3 2027, Q4 2027; their dates are set by the editor.
07 · Take part
Read it, improve it, cite it.
- ИзучениеThe edition, chapter by chapter, with every source.
- Внести вкладSend evidence, a source or a method before the next cut.
- РецензированиеJoin the stewardship review of this edition.
- CiteAPA, Chicago, BibTeX, RIS and the house style, as a draft.
- PDFThe signed PDF is issued at release; print the complete edition today.
Журнал исправлений
| Версия | Дата | Статус | Изменение | Уведомление |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NR-COUNTRY-IDN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | DRAFT | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | нет |
Data gaps3What the repository does not hold yet, and the source proposed for each
| Разрыв | Shown here as | Proposed source |
|---|---|---|
| Exposure values per hazard (people, assets, hectares) | the edition’s own risk objects, without values | the Index country profile once the Index releases values, risksindex.com/idn/ |
| The NHS-1 hazard types and their assignment to this edition’s risk objects | an editorial reading of the hazard words | the NHS-1 type assignment through the Registry |
| Infrastructure in the coupling matrix | Infrastructure marked not assessed | an Infrastructure row and column in the edition matrix at the next cut |
Send evidence or a correction on Indonesia.
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