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The 2027 agenda

Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due at the Q1 2027 cut.

5 min read0 figures6 tables3 notesNR-COUNTRY-KOR-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1Korea’s risk is demographic, climatic and import-dependent at once
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Heat and heavy-rain sequence over the capital region
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
    1. 7.1 Questions for the operational series
    2. 7.2 Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment
    3. 7.3 The pathway
    4. 7.4 Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission
    5. 7.5 Handoffs and routing
    6. 7.6 Feeds and signal register
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

7.1Questions for the operational series

  1. A-01

    How would a heat and heavy-rain sequence over the capital region load power, water, transport and care together?

    INI-KOR-CLI-01 · capital region lifelines; first output: dependency graph for the capital region.

  2. A-02

    How deep are fuel and gas stocks against a prolonged shipping disruption?

    INI-KOR-ENE-02 · import resilience; first output: stock-and-route register.

  3. A-03

    How exposed are food and feed supply to concurrent import and domestic shocks?

    INI-KOR-FOO-03 · food import exposure; first output: commodity dependence table.

  4. A-04

    How does a low and uneven fertility rate change service demand across regions?

    INI-KOR-HLT-04 · demographic change; first output: regional demand baseline.

  5. A-05

    Where do flood, typhoon and wildfire losses fall on the uninsured and on public budgets?

    INI-KOR-FIN-05 · protection gap; first output: peril-by-region loss table.

  6. A-06

    How do river basins and dams perform under more intense rainfall and drought?

    INI-KOR-WAT-01 · workstream; first output: basin performance note.

  7. A-07

    How resilient are semiconductor and data-centre supply chains to power and water shocks?

    To be admitted in Q1 2027; first output: scoping note.

  8. A-08

    Which capabilities have been tested in real disasters, and which are only planned?

    National capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.

7.2Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment

Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for admission at the Q1 2027 alignment. They are programme objects, no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.

Table 7.1Objects proposed for the first operational quarter
IDObjectKindQuestionState
INI-KOR-CLI-01Capital region lifelines under heat and rainInitiativeA-01PROPOSED
INI-KOR-ENE-02Fuel and gas import resilienceInitiativeA-02PROPOSED
INI-KOR-FOO-03Food and feed import exposureInitiativeA-03PROPOSED
INI-KOR-HLT-04Demographic change and service demandInitiativeA-04PROPOSED
INI-KOR-FIN-05Disaster protection gapInitiativeA-05PROPOSED
PRJ-KOR-CLI-01aCapital region lifeline dependency graphProjectA-01PROPOSED
MSN-KOR-2027-01Heat and rain compound Universe missionMissionA-01Candidate

7.3The pathway

Korea is the national pathway through which the Nexus operating system will run in Republic of Korea from 2027. At baseline the pathway is designed and its records are prepared; its councils and working groups are constituted from Q1 2027. This page states what exists today and what comes next, nothing more.

  1. 01

    One National Agenda

    bounded national questions for the year

    DRAFT 2027 · agenda review at the Q1 alignment

  2. 02

    National Desk

    coordination, records, routing and continuity

    DESIGNED · constituted in Q1 2027

  3. 03

    National Model

    the country as a system of systems

    v0 SPECIFIED · v1 with the first Foundry cut

  4. 04

    National Portfolio

    risks, capabilities, initiatives, projects, missions

    7 PROPOSED · admission at the Q1 alignment

  5. 05

    Foundry

    continuous computational environment

    PREPARED · first sealed cut NQ-KOR-2027-Q1

  6. 06

    Reports

    quarterly and annual publication

    BASELINE ISSUED · Q1 2027 · State & Agenda

  7. 07

    Universe

    annual proving environment

    CANDIDATE MISSION · mandate set in 2027

  8. 08

    Evidence and correction

    after-action, correction and renewal

    OPEN · first correction cycle in Q2 2027

7.4Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission

  1. 01

    Mandate

  2. 02

    Core Build · 1 month

  3. 03

    Action · 1 week

  4. 04

    Evidence seal

  5. 05

    Portfolio correction

  6. 06

    Next mandate

Table 7.2Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission
ItemRecordStateTiming
F1Annual mandate recordPLANNEDafter the Q2 2027 alignment
F2Core Build recordPLANNEDone month before the exercise
F3Exercise evidencePLANNEDduring the Action week
F4Decision packetsPLANNEDexercise state only
F5Proof receiptsPLANNEDscoped to each recorded check
F6After-action reportPLANNEDwithin one quarter
F7Upgrade docketPLANNEDrouted to the Portfolio
F8Portfolio renewalPLANNEDQ4 2027 annual edition
F9Public synthesisPLANNEDpublic-safe extracts only

Mission

ID
MSN-KOR-2027-01 · Heat and rain compound Universe mission
Role spine
Leadership sponsor (NLC) · Institutional anchor (NNC) · Mission lead (NWG)
Receiving actors
to be identified with the mandate

7.5Handoffs and routing

Where the baseline’s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.

Table 7.3Handoffs and routing
FindingRouted toPurposeClass
CLI-001 · 2035 targetpublic recordreference for the 2027 seriesPUBLIC
ENE-003 · power mixINI-KOR-ENE-02import resiliencePUBLIC
FOO-004 · cerealsINI-KOR-FOO-03import exposurePUBLIC
HLT-005 · birthsINI-KOR-HLT-04demographic changePUBLIC
HLT-006 · regional fertilityINI-KOR-HLT-04regional demand baselinePUBLIC
FIN-007 · economyINI-KOR-FIN-05 · key F reviewprotection gapPUBLIC
SEI-008 · induced seismicityINI-KOR-CLI-01lifeline dependency graphPUBLIC
SYS-012 · compound pathwayMSN-KOR-2027-01Universe candidateCONSORTIUM
Table 7.4Routing rules by publication class
ClassWhere it goesWho can see it
PUBLICthe published edition and its evidence bundleanyone
CONSORTIUMgoverned rooms of the national pathwayconsortium members under agreement
CONTROLLEDneed-to-know channelsnamed competent actors only

7.6Feeds and signal register

Table 7.5Feeds watched from Q1 2027
FeedProducerLatencyFeeds into
Weather warnings and climate dataKorea Meteorological Administrationreal timeCLI findings
Heat-illness surveillanceKDCAsummer seasonHLT-007
Wildfire informationKorea Forest Serviceper eventCLI findings
Power supply and demandKorea Power Exchangereal timeENE findings
Dam and water informationK-waterper publisher scheduleWAT-009
Vital statisticsKOSTATmonthlyHLT-005
Crop monitoringFAO GIEWSper briefFOO-004

Escalation routes

  • none · keep monitoring
  • research question
  • project
  • risk object
  • quarterly publication
  • signal report
Table 7.6Signals at baseline
IDSignalCorroborationSystemsRoute
SIG-KOR-001Births rose 6.7% in 20251CORROBORATEDHLTinitiative A-04
SIG-KOR-0022035 target range submitted7CORROBORATEDCLI · ENErisk object RSK-KOR-ENE-004
SIG-KOR-003Induced seismicity analysed after Pohang43CORROBORATEDSEI · INFrisk object RSK-KOR-SEI-001

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 1Statistics Korea (KOSTAT) (ed.), “Birth Statistics in 2025.” KOSTAT, Daejeon, 26 August 2026. Observation year 2025. Accessed 3 November 2026. https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20108010000&bid=11773&act=view&list_no=447264back
  2. 7Climate Action Tracker (ed.), “South Korea: 2035 NDC.” Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, December 2025. Observation year 2025. Accessed 3 November 2026. https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/south-korea/2035-ndc/back
  3. 43F. Grigoli, S. Cesca, E. Priolo et al., “The November 2017 Mw 5.5 Pohang earthquake: a possible case of induced seismicity in South Korea,” Science, vol. 360, pp. 1003–1006, 2018. Observation year 2017.back

Cite this chapter

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Chapter 7: The 2027 agenda. In Republic of Korea Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of Korea’s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-KOR-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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