Draft, not yet released. In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.

Data appendix

The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.

9 min read0 figures8 tables13 notesNR-XTECH-ROBOTICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1Robots are infrastructure and a test of institutions
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Humanoid pilots meet a missing safety standard
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
    1. B.1 The indicator set
    2. B.2 Global source register
    3. B.3 Regional reading, robotics across ten clusters
    4. B.4 Cluster card: actuator and magnet supply chain
    5. B.5 How countries appear in the robotics edition
    6. B.6 Licences
    7. B.7 Formats and provenance
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

B.1The indicator set

Table B.1Global baseline indicator set
IndicatorValueUnitYearStateSource
Industrial robots installed>600thousand2025Reported1
Growth in installations11%2025Reported1
Operational stock of industrial robots5million2025Reported1
Installations in China354thousand2025Reported1
China share of installations59%2025Reported1
Installations in the United States38.5thousand2025Reported1
Installations in Japan36.2thousand2025Reported1
Installations in 2024542thousand2024Reported2
IFR forecast for 2026655thousand2026 planScenario1
Robot density, South Korea1,220per 10,000 employees2024Reported3
Robot density, global average132per 10,000 employees2024Reported3
Robot types in Open X-Embodiment22robot types2023Reported8
Humanoid installations, analyst estimate≈16thousand2025Reported13
Amazon robots deployed, company statement1million2025Reported14
Injury crashes per mile against human drivers−81%2021 to 2024Reported5
UN votes in favour of A/RES/80/57164votes2025Reported18

B.2Global source register

The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.

Domains bound by the register

  • INF
  • AIC
  • TRD
  • MIN
  • GOV
  • FIN
  • DAT
  • ENE
  • HLT
  • WAT
Table B.3Global source register
SourceCategoryCoveragePeriodCadenceRole
IFR World Robotics 2026 release1industry federationworld2025annualinstallations
IFR World Robotics 2025 release2industry federationworld2024annualinstallations
IFR robot density release3industry federationworld2024annualdensity
Waymo safety hub4operatorfour US cities2026quarterlyroad vehicle safety
IIHS study5insurance-institute researchfour US cities2021 to 2024one-offroad vehicle safety
Open X-Embodiment8preprint serverresearch2023one-offrobot data
Counterpoint release13analystworld2025annualhumanoids
EU-OSHA machinery page17EU agencyEU2025continuousrules
UN vote record18intergovernmental bodyworld2025annualweapons policy
NBER working paper20research instituteUnited States1990 to 2007one-offlabour

B.3Regional reading, robotics across ten clusters

Regional plates follow with the regional editions. This page gives the regional reading of robot infrastructure and exposure in table form and ranks no region.

Table B.4Regional reading, robotics across ten clusters
RegionPrincipal hazardsSystems most exposedBaseline evidence
North Americadriverless services; warehouse fleets; humanoid pilotsroad safety, labourIIHS5; IFR1
South Americaearly national programmeslabourregional evidence (not bound)
Europemachinery regulation; AI Actsafety rulesEU-OSHA17; European Commission16
Eurasiaresearch programmes; export controlsresearch, supplyregional evidence (not bound)
Middle East and North Africaearly deploymentslogisticsregional evidence (not bound)
Africaskills and accessworkforceregional evidence (not bound)
South Asiagrowing industrial marketslabour, skillsregional evidence (not bound)
East Asiamost installations; humanoid production; magnet supplysupply, fleetsIFR1; Counterpoint13
ASEANhigh density in one city-statefleets, skillsIFR3
Oceania-Pacificresearch programmesresearch, workforceregional evidence (not bound)

B.4Cluster card: actuator and magnet supply chain

  • supply chain
  • actuators
  • rare earth magnets
  • single point
Systems in view
actuators, motors, humanoid and legged platforms
Defining events
rare earth export licensing from April 202521
Couplings
MIN → INF magnets; TRD → MIN export controls
Capability evidence
alternative designs mentioned in trade press; none documented at scale here
Gaps
magnet volumes by platform; stocks; alternatives
Agenda items
R-02 · R-03

A company chief executive said that arm actuators of a humanoid robot use permanent magnets [21].

SUPPLY

Permanent magnets in actuators

China required export licences for seven rare earth elements and magnets from April 2025 [21] [41].

POLICY

Licensing of seven elements

Whether other platforms avoid these magnets is not documented in the sources read [39] [40].

RESPONSE

Alternatives

B.5How countries appear in the robotics edition

Countries enter the robotics edition through the readiness chapters of their own national editions, on one card grammar. They are read against peer distributions and thresholds, never ranked.

Table B.5How countries appear in the robotics edition
Card fieldWhat it showsSource
WEFH+B stateeach core system against peer distribution bandsnational edition
Couplingsthe national dependency matrixnational edition
Risk objectsthe national risk portfolionational edition
Capability rungsthe national capability laddernational edition
Evidence ageoldest and newest source datesnational source register

Editions in the 2026 Baseline programme

26national

countries and unions

10regional

clusters

16global

flagship and sector

14strategic

systems reports

20frontier

technology reports

How to read a country card

  • Each system is shown against the distribution of its peers, with thresholds where they exist
  • Couplings and risk objects come from the country’s own national edition
  • Capability rungs record evidence, not a judgement of institutions
  • Evidence age is printed, so older national data are visible as such
Table B.6National Baseline Editions in the 2026 programme
WaveCountries and unionsState
W0CanadaISSUED
W1United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, European Union, SwitzerlandPLANNED
W2Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Türkiye, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, South Africa, Senegal, Kenya, African Union, India, China, Republic of Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, AustraliaPLANNED

B.6Licences

Table B.7Licences of each kind of material
MaterialLicence
TextCC BY 4.0
Dataon the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0
FiguresNexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited
Mapsboundary source and licence printed on each plate
MetadataCC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it
Third-party data, figures and textThe source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed
Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.

B.7Formats and provenance

Table B.8This edition in every format
FormatKindStateWhat it isIdentifier
Web editionHTMLOn this siteDraft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.NR-XTECH-ROBOTICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Print editionPDFAt releaseA4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.NR-XTECH-ROBOTICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.NR-XTECH-ROBOTICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1
FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.FIG-XTECH-ROBOTICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-*
SlidesPDFNot recordedNo slide deck is recorded for this edition.
Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recordedNo evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt releaseConcept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

Provenance

Edition pack
The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
Evidence cut
DC-XTECH-ROBOTICS-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
Reproducibility
sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
Self-check
14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
Review
five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
Publisher of record
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
Corrections
Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 1International Federation of Robotics (ed.), Five Million Robots now Operate in Factories Globally (World Robotics 2026 press release, Frankfurt, 24 September 2026; installations of more than 600,000 in 2025, up 11%; China 354,000; stock 5 million; forecast 655,000 in 2026 and 806,000 in 2029). International Federation of Robotics, Frankfurt. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  2. 2International Federation of Robotics (ed.), Global Robot Demand in Factories Doubles Over 10 Years (World Robotics 2025 press release, Frankfurt, 25 September 2025; installations 542,000 in 2024; stock 4,664,000; forecast about 575,000 for 2025). International Federation of Robotics, Frankfurt. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  3. 3International Federation of Robotics (ed.), Robot Density Surges in Europe, Asia and Americas (press release, 8 April 2026; 2024 density: South Korea 1,220, Singapore 818, China 166, global average 132 robots per 10,000 employees). International Federation of Robotics, Frankfurt. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  4. 8Open X-Embodiment Collaboration, Open X-Embodiment: Robotic Learning Datasets and RT-X Models, arXiv:2310.08864, submitted 13 October 2023, revised 14 May 2025 (22 robots, 21 institutions). arXiv, Ithaca. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  5. 13Counterpoint Research (ed.), Global Humanoid Robot Installations Reach 16,000 Units in 2025 as Mass Production Picks Pace (release of 14 January 2026; China above 80%; the page does not describe the method). Analyst estimate, weak evidence. Counterpoint Research, Hong Kong. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  6. 14Amazon (ed.), announcement of its one millionth robot and the DeepFleet coordination model (company page; more than 300 facilities; 10% travel-time improvement stated as a projection; the page gives no date, coverage places it in July 2025). Company statement, weak evidence. Amazon, Seattle. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  7. 5Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (ed.), Waymo’s driverless cars crash less often than people (news release, 23 July 2026; about 50 million driverless miles, 2021 to 2024; 68% lower crash involvement; 81% fewer injury crashes per mile; four cities). IIHS, Arlington. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  8. 18United Nations General Assembly, resolution A/RES/80/57, Lethal autonomous weapons systems, adopted 1 December 2025 (164 in favour, 6 against, 7 abstentions), vote record page. United Nations, New York. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  9. 4Waymo (ed.), Safety Impact hub (page read November 2026; 271.3 million rider-only miles through June 2026; about 95% fewer serious-injury-or-worse crashes than a human benchmark). Company-reported analysis, weak evidence. Waymo, Mountain View. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  10. 17European Agency for Safety and Health at Work (ed.), Regulation (EU) 2023/1230 on machinery, legislation page (applies from 20 January 2027; replaces Directive 2006/42/EC; aims to cover autonomous mobile machinery and artificial-intelligence safety modules). EU-OSHA, Bilbao. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  11. 20Acemoglu, D. and Restrepo, P., Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets, NBER Working Paper 23285, March 2017 (US adoption 1990 to 2007). National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge. Observation year 2017. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  12. 16European Commission (ed.), AI Act, regulatory framework page (entered into force 1 August 2024; high-risk dates revised by an omnibus in force 27 July 2026; AI-based safety components of products such as surgical robots treated as high-risk). Directorate-General for Communications Networks, Content and Technology, Brussels. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
  13. 21Adamas Intelligence (ed.), Musk on rare earth export restrictions: Optimus was affected (article of 24 April 2025; Tesla first-quarter 2025 earnings call; arm actuators use permanent magnets). Trade analysis reporting a company statement, weak evidence. Adamas Intelligence, Toronto. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex B: Data appendix. In Exponential Technology Report 2026: Robotics and Autonomous Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-XTECH-ROBOTICS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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