Data appendix

The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.

10 min read0 figures7 tables29 notesNR-COUNTRY-KEN-2026-BASELINE

Contents

B.1The indicator set

Table B.1Baseline indicator set
Indicator	Value	Unit	Year	State	Source
Total GHG emissions (technical review basis)	113.36	Mt CO₂e	2022	Reported	²⁷
2030 target level	97.24	Mt CO₂e	2030	Reported	²⁷
2035 level at 35% below BAU of 215 Mt	139.75	Mt CO₂e	2035	Estimated	²⁹
GHG emissions excl. land use, World Bank series	102.8	Mt CO₂e	2024	Reported	²²
Electricity generation	15,692.81	GWh	FY2025/26	Reported	²⁵
Geothermal share of generation	40.91	%	FY2025/26	Reported	²⁵
Imports share of generation	12.19	%	FY2025/26	Reported	²⁵
Peak demand	2,514.28	MW	FY2025/26	Reported	²⁵
System losses	21.38	%	FY2025/26	Reported	²⁵
People with at least basic drinking water	65.6	%	2024	Reported	⁹
People with at least basic sanitation	40.9	%	2024	Reported	¹⁰
Renewable internal freshwater per person	381.5	m³	2022	Reported	¹¹
People in IPC Phase 3 or worse, arid counties	3.7	million	Apr to Jun 2026	Reported	³²
Maize output	45.8	million bags	2025	Reported	³⁴
Population	57.5	million	2025	Reported	¹
Life expectancy at birth	63.8	years	2024	Reported	²
Adult HIV prevalence	3.0	%	2024	Reported	⁴
Deaths in the 2024 long-rains floods	478	deaths	2024	Reported	³⁵
Terrestrial protected areas	13.9	% of land	2025	Reported	¹⁶
Ecosystem threat status	Not bound	%	n/a	NOT BOUND	⁴⁶
Flood and drought losses	Not bound	KES	n/a	NOT BOUND	³⁵
National census count	Not bound	people	n/a	NOT BOUND	³⁹
Emissions by sector, energy and waste	Not bound	Mt CO₂e	n/a	NOT BOUND	²⁷

Indicators, CSV Indicators, JSON

B.2National source register

The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.

Domains bound by the register

Table B.3National source register
Source	Category	Coverage	Period	Cadence	Role
World Bank indicator series¹ to²³	international body	national	2021–2025	annual	profile · services
Energy statistics²⁵²⁶	regulator	national	FY2021/22 · FY2025/26	annual	ENE
Technical expert review²⁷	UN review body	national	2010–2022	periodic	CLI
Climate Action Tracker²⁸²⁹	independent assessment	national	2022–2035	periodic	CLI
IMF and World Bank country pages²⁴³⁰³¹	international body	national	2025–2026	annual	FIN
Crop monitoring³²	UN agency	national and arid counties	2026	periodic	FOO
Weekly situation report³³	UN agency with ministry data	national	2026	weekly	HLT · FOO
Agriculture survey³⁴	central bank quoting national statistics	national	2023–2025	periodic	FOO
Network annual report³⁵	Red Cross network	national	2024	annual	CLI
Energy profile and SDG 6 data³⁶³⁷	international body	national	2022–2024	annual	ENE · WAT
Legal and policy texts³⁸⁴² to⁴⁶	government via records	national	2013–2025	per amendment	standards
Series records⁵³⁵⁴	Reports series	series	2026	per edition	method and peers

B.3Regional reading, Kenya by county

Map plates for every county follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form.

Table B.4Regional reading, Kenya by county
Region	Principal hazards	Systems most exposed	Baseline evidence
Nairobi region	urban demand, outbreak spread	power, water, health services	largest share of consumption, 43.92%²⁵
Arid north-east (Garissa, Wajir, Mandera)	drought, outbreaks, displacement	food, water, health, rangeland	IPC and WHO 2026³²³³
Tana River and coast	floods, drought, outbreak spread	food, ports, health	IPC 2026³² · mpox share³³
Nakuru and the Rift Valley fields	geothermal expansion, floods	power, farming, water	70 MW added at Menengai in FY2025/26²⁵
Counties hit by the 2024 floods	heavy rain, river flooding	homes, roads, water sources, farmland	46 of 47 counties³⁵

B.4Atlas card, Garissa County

county
arid
outbreaks
refugee camps

Systems in view: water, food, health and camps
Defining events: cholera cluster in Dagahaley camp, dengue in Garissa Township, measles³³
Couplings: FOO → HLT; WAT → HLT; CLI → FOO
Capability evidence: not bound
Gaps: water-point functionality; clinic continuity; food prices by market
Agenda items: A-01 · A-04

By early June 2026 the WHO report listed a cholera cluster of 32 cases with no deaths in Dagahaley camp, 1,269 dengue cases (52 PCR-confirmed) in Garissa Township and measles in Dadaab [33].

HEALTH

Concurrent outbreaks

Wajir, Mandera and Tana River held about 65% of people in IPC Phase 4. Garissa is not named in the brief, so county figures are not bound [32].

FOOD

Arid-county food insecurity

Water-point functionality is not bound. Source: national drought management authority and county water records. Blocker: not retrieved.

WATER

Water-point condition

B.5Kenya system card

The card through which Kenya appears in the Africa regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.

Table B.5Kenya system card
System	Baseline state	Coupling to watch	Coverage
Water	basic services reach two in three people	power loss into pumping and treatment	THIN
Energy	geothermal-led grid; losses 21.38%	hydro swings and import dependence	PARTIAL
Food	maize up; arid counties in crisis	failed rains and prices	PARTIAL
Health	concurrent outbreaks in 2026	sanitation gaps and outbreak load	PARTIAL
Biodiversity	threat status not bound	catchment and rangeland condition	THIN

Context

Archetype: lower-middle-income economy with a geothermal and hydro grid and large arid counties
Population: 57.5 million (2025)¹
Trade: imports electricity and petroleum products; wider trade not bound²⁵
Hazard: floods and drought; 478 flood deaths in 2024³⁵

Kenya’s card sits beside its neighbours’; shared basins, grids, corridors and supply chains are read as one regional system.

AFRICA REGIONAL EDITION

One regional system

Kenyan evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers, so a correction travels everywhere at once.

GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES

Same findings, same IDs

In the global edition Kenya is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.

GLOBAL FLAGSHIP

Peers, not ranks

B.6Licences

Table B.6Licences of each kind of material
Material	Licence
Text	CC BY 4.0
Data	on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0
Figures	Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited
Maps	boundary source and licence printed on each plate
Metadata	CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it
Third-party data, figures and text	The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed
Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.

B.7Formats and provenance

Table B.7This edition in every format
Format	Kind	State	What it is	Identifier
Web edition	HTML	On this site	Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.	NR-COUNTRY-KEN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Print edition	PDF	At release	A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.	NR-COUNTRY-KEN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Indicator data	CSV · JSON	On this site	23 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.	NR-COUNTRY-KEN-2026-BASELINE data release v1
Figures	SVG · PNG	On this site	4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.	FIG-COUNTRY-KEN-2026-BASELINE-*
Slides	PDF	Not recorded	No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
Evidence brief	HTML · PDF	Not recorded	No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
Dataset with DOI	DataCite	At release	Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

Provenance

Edition pack: The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
Evidence cut: NQ-KEN-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
Reproducibility: sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
Self-check: 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
Review: five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
Publisher of record: The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
Corrections: Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

27UNFCCC (ed.), Report on the technical expert review of the first biennial transparency report of Kenya, FCCC/ETF/TERR.1/2024/KEN. UNFCCC, Bonn, 13 February 2026, observation year 2022, accessed 2026-11-03.back
29Climate Action Tracker (ed.), “Kenya: targets, 2035 NDC.” Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, update of 31 March 2026, observation year 2035, accessed 2026-11-03.back
22World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “Total greenhouse gas emissions excluding LULUCF (Mt CO2e)” (EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5), Kenya, observation year 2024. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
25Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (ed.), Energy and Petroleum Statistics Report for the year ended 30th June 2026. EPRA, Nairobi, September 2026, observation year FY2025/26, accessed 2026-11-03.back
9World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “People using at least basic drinking water services (% of population)” (SH.H2O.BASW.ZS), Kenya, observation year 2024. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
10World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “People using at least basic sanitation services (% of population)” (SH.STA.BASS.ZS), Kenya, observation year 2024. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
11World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “Renewable internal freshwater resources per capita (cubic meters)” (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), Kenya, observation year 2022. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
32Food and Agriculture Organization (ed.), GIEWS Country Brief: Kenya, reference date 4 May 2026. FAO, Rome, 2026, accessed 2026-11-03.back
34Central Bank of Kenya (ed.), Agriculture Survey, May 2026, quoting the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics Economic Survey 2026. CBK, Nairobi, May 2026, observation year 2025, accessed 2026-11-03.back
1World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “Population, total” (SP.POP.TOTL), Kenya, observation year 2025. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
2World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “Life expectancy at birth, total (years)” (SP.DYN.LE00.IN), Kenya, observation year 2024. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
4World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “Prevalence of HIV, total (% of population ages 15-49)” (SH.DYN.AIDS.ZS), Kenya, observation year 2024. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
35International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (ed.), Kenya: 2024 IFRC network annual report, January to December, in support of the Kenya Red Cross Society. IFRC, Geneva, 8 August 2025, observation year 2024, accessed 2026-11-03.back
16World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “Terrestrial protected areas (% of total land area)” (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS), Kenya, observation year 2025. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
46UNVERIFIED, not opened: Government of Kenya (ed.), Kenya’s Second Nationally Determined Contribution (2031–2035). Submission to the UNFCCC, 30 April 2025. Title from a database record; target figures are read through [27] and [29].back
39UNVERIFIED, not opened: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (ed.), 2019 Kenya Population and Housing Census. KNBS, Nairobi, 2019. The site did not respond at evidence close; no census figure is used in this edition.back
23World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators, “PM2.5 air pollution, mean annual exposure (micrograms per cubic meter)” (EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3), Kenya, observation year 2023. World Bank, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
26Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (ed.), Energy and Petroleum Statistics Report for the Financial Year ended 30th June 2022. EPRA, Nairobi, 2022, observation year FY2021/22, accessed 2026-11-03.back
28Climate Action Tracker (ed.), “Kenya: country assessment.” Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, update of 31 March 2026, observation year 2022, accessed 2026-11-03.back
24World Bank (ed.), Kenya: Overview, country page (poverty 43.3% at $3.00 a day in 2025, public debt 70.6% of GDP, high risk of debt distress). World Bank, Washington DC, observation year 2025, accessed 2026-11-03.back
30International Monetary Fund (ed.), World Economic Outlook DataMapper series NGDP_RPCH, PCPIPCH and GGXWDG_NGDP, Kenya, observation years 2023–2027. IMF, Washington DC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
31International Monetary Fund (ed.), Kenya and the IMF, country page (last Article IV Executive Board consultation 17 January 2024; outstanding purchases and loans SDR 2,803.76 million at 31 March 2026). IMF, Washington DC, observation year 2026, accessed 2026-11-03.back
33World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa (ed.), Weekly Situation Report, Kenya, Week 22: 31 May to 7 June 2026. WHO AFRO, Brazzaville, 2026, accessed 2026-11-03.back
36International Renewable Energy Agency (ed.), Energy Profile: Kenya. IRENA, Abu Dhabi, September 2025, observation years 2017–2024, accessed 2026-11-03.back
37UN-Water (ed.), SDG 6 Data Portal, Kenya country snapshot (6.2.1a safely managed sanitation 2024; 6.4.2 water stress 2023; 6.5.1 IWRM implementation 2023). UN-Water, Geneva, accessed 2026-11-03.back
38Government of Kenya (ed.), National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP) III 2023–2027, read through the summary record of the Climate Change Laws of the World database (Grantham Research Institute); the plan itself was not opened. Nairobi, 2023, accessed 2026-11-03.back
42UNVERIFIED, not opened: Government of Kenya (ed.), Climate Change Act, 2016, as amended in 2023. Nairobi. Title and status from memory and search summaries; check the text and the Kenya Gazette.back
53S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports: The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026–2030, V1.0. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.back
54S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.back

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex B: Data appendix. In Kenya Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of Kenya’s Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-KEN-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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