- North America 2026
- Annex B
Data appendix
The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.
Contents
- ·Edition home
- ·Executive summary
- 1North America’s risk travels through shared rivers, grids and pipelines
- 2Key findings
- 3Systems and sectors at baseline
- 4Risks and capability
- 5Dry, hot summer across the Colorado and Rio Grande basins and the southern grids
- 6Readings from the other desks
- 7The 2027 agenda
- 8Systems in depth
- AMethodology
- BData appendix
- CReferences and record
- ·Complete edition, for print
B.1The indicator set
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Year | State | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada population | 41.65 | million | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| United States population | 341.78 | million | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Mexico population | 131.95 | million | 2025 | Reported | 1 |
| Canada emissions, national inventory | 685 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 14 |
| United States emissions excluding land use | 5,912.6 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | Reported | 6 |
| Share of three-member emissions, United States | 80.3 | % | 2024 | Estimated | 6 |
| Canada hydropower share of electricity | 54.0 | % | 2025 | Reported | 5 |
| Mexico oil, gas and coal share of electricity | 75.4 | % | 2025 | Reported | 5 |
| US pipeline gas exports to Mexico | 2,422,839 | million ft³ | 2025 | Reported | 25 |
| Canada area burnt by wildfire | 14.6 | million ha | 2023 | Reported | 21 |
| Forest area, Canada | 42.0 | % of land | 2024 | Reported | 11 |
| Energy use per capita, Canada | 7,119 | kg oil equivalent | 2024 | Reported | 12 |
| Mexican freshwater withdrawal share | 44.9 | % | 2022 | Reported | 8 |
| Mexico marine protected area | 22.6 | % | 2025 | Reported | 7 |
| Cereal production, United States | 455.0 | Mt | 2024 | Reported | 10 |
| US greenhouse gas emissions after 2022 | Not bound | Mt CO₂e | n/a | NOT BOUND | 16 |
| Mexican emissions after 2015 | Not bound | Mt CO₂e | n/a | NOT BOUND | 29 |
| Cross-border electricity flows | Not bound | GWh | n/a | NOT BOUND | 18 |
| Insured disaster losses | Not bound | currency | n/a | NOT BOUND | 31 |
B.2Regional source register
The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.
Domains bound by the register
- WAT
- ENE
- FOO
- HLT
- BIO
- CLI
- INF
- FIN
- TRD
- MIN
| Source | Category | Coverage | Period | Cadence | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population, output, electricity, water, protected areas145789 | international statistics | three members | 2022–2025 | annual | profile |
| Canadian inventory1415 | national agency | Canada | 2024 | annual | CLI |
| US inventory page16 | national agency | United States | 2022 | annual | CLI |
| Gas exports25 | national statistics | US to Mexico, Canada | 2025 | annual | ENE |
| Reservoir records and decision19 | federal agency | Colorado basin | 2026 | daily | WAT |
| Drought extent (post-close, context only)26 | monitor consortium | contiguous US | 2026 | weekly | WAT |
| Wildfire record2122 | federal agency | Canada | 2023–2025 | annual | CLI |
| Treaty bodies2327 | commissions | Rio Grande, boundary waters | 2025 | various | WAT |
| Mexican inventory29 | national institute | Mexico | 2015 | irregular | CLI |
B.3Regional reading: North America by member country
Map plates for every member country follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form for the 3 member countries named in the series registry.
Population, 20251
United States
Mexico
Canada
| Member | Principal hazards | Systems most exposed | Baseline evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | wildfire seasons of 2023 and 20252122 | climate, health, energy | population 41.65 million; emissions 685 Mt (national inventory); hydropower 54.0% of electricity1514 |
| United States | Colorado River decision record19; drought extent at the close not bound | water, energy, food | population 341.78 million; emissions 5,913 Mt excluding land use; oil, gas and coal 57.6% of electricity156 |
| Mexico | Rio Grande deliveries24; high water stress8 | water, energy | population 131.95 million; emissions 687 Mt excluding land use; oil, gas and coal 75.4% of electricity156 |
B.4Atlas card: Colorado River basin
- basin
- shared river system
- reservoirs and irrigation
- members: United States, Mexico
- Systems in view
- water, energy and food
- Defining instruments
- the 1944 treaty35; IBWC Minute 32339; the 2026 decision record19
- Couplings
- CLI → WAT → ENE; WAT → FOO
- Capability evidence
- federal operating guidelines for 2027 and 2028 issued19; performance not bound
- Gaps
- Mexican deliveries under the new cycle, snowpack and basin-state positions
- Agenda items
- A-03
Reservoir levels at the close are not bound. The decision record of 21 August 2026 governs operations from 2027 [19].
WATER
A shared river system
Source: utility and reservoir release records. Blocker: not retrieved at evidence close.
ENERGY
Hydropower and cooling water
Source: irrigation district and water authority deliveries. Blocker: not retrieved at evidence close.
FOOD
Irrigation supply
B.5North America system card
The card through which North America appears in the global edition and in the sector series. It summarises; it does not rank.
| System | Baseline state | Coupling to watch | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Water | shared rivers; Colorado River decision record19 | low supply into energy and farming | PARTIAL |
| Energy | electricity mixes differ; gas exports to Mexico 2.42 trillion ft³525 | supply route and grid dependence | PARTIAL |
| Food | cereals 455.0 Mt in the United States10 | drought, heat and trade | THIN |
| Health | population aged 65 or over 8.5% to 20.3%9 | heat and smoke load on services | THIN |
| Biodiversity | terrestrial protection 12.9% to 15.3%7 | condition not bound | THIN |
Context
- Archetype
- three interlinked members sharing basins, grids and pipelines
- Population
- 515.4 million residents in 20251
- Trade
- US gas pipeline exports to Mexico 2.42 trillion ft³ in 202525
- Hazard
- Canadian wildfire 14.6 million ha in 202321
The member editions (Canada, United States, Mexico) and this regional edition share finding identifiers where they read the same evidence, so a correction travels to every edition at once.
MEMBER EDITIONS
Same findings, same IDs
North America evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers.
GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES
Regional evidence, sector reports
In the global edition North America is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.
GLOBAL FLAGSHIP
Peers, not ranks
B.6Licences
| Material | Licence |
|---|---|
| Text | CC BY 4.0 |
| Data | on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0 |
| Figures | Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited |
| Maps | boundary source and licence printed on each plate |
| Metadata | CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it |
| Third-party data, figures and text | The source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed |
| Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence. | |
B.7Formats and provenance
| Format | Kind | State | What it is | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Web edition | HTML | On this site | Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. | NR-REGIONAL-NAM-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Print edition | At release | A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. | NR-REGIONAL-NAM-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | |
| Indicator data | CSV · JSON | On this site | 19 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. | NR-REGIONAL-NAM-2026-BASELINE data release v1 |
| Figures | SVG · PNG | On this site | 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. | FIG-REGIONAL-NAM-2026-BASELINE-* |
| Slides | Not recorded | No slide deck is recorded for this edition. | ||
| Evidence brief | HTML · PDF | Not recorded | No evidence brief is recorded for this edition. | |
| Dataset with DOI | DataCite | At release | Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet. |
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-REG-NAM-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
- Publisher of record
- The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Notes
Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references
- 1DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: Population, total (SP.POP.TOTL), Canada, Mexico and United States, retrieved through the World Bank indicators interface (last updated 2026-10-08). World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 14Environment and Climate Change Canada (ed.), Greenhouse gas emissions (Canadian Environmental Sustainability Indicators): 685 Mt CO2 eq in 2024, 10.3% below 2005 and 0.3% below 2023. Government of Canada, Gatineau. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 6World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: total greenhouse gas emissions excluding LULUCF, Mt CO2e (EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5), Canada, Mexico and United States. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 5World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: electricity production from oil, gas and coal, nuclear and hydroelectric sources, share of total (EG.ELC.FOSL.ZS, EG.ELC.NUCL.ZS, EG.ELC.HYRO.ZS), Canada, Mexico and United States. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 25U.S. Energy Information Administration (ed.), U.S. natural gas pipeline exports by country (Mexico 2,422,839 and Canada 1,033,487 million cubic feet in 2025). EIA, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 21Natural Resources Canada (ed.), Forest fires: the 2023 season (more than 14.6 million hectares, more than 6,800 fires, more than 230,000 evacuations; typical year more than 2.1 million hectares). Government of Canada, Ottawa. Observation year 2023. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 11World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: forest area, share of land area (AG.LND.FRST.ZS), Canada, Mexico and United States. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 12World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: energy use per capita, kg of oil equivalent (EG.USE.PCAP.KG.OE), Canada 7,119, Mexico 1,498 and United States 6,454. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 8World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: level of water stress, freshwater withdrawal as a share of available resources (ER.H2O.FWST.ZS), and renewable internal freshwater resources per capita (ER.H2O.INTR.PC), Canada, Mexico and United States. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 7World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: terrestrial protected areas, share of land area (ER.LND.PTLD.ZS), and marine protected areas, share of territorial waters (ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS), Canada, Mexico and United States. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 10World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: cereal production, metric tons (AG.PRD.CREL.MT), Canada, Mexico and United States. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 16United States Environmental Protection Agency (ed.), Inventory of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions and sinks (page opened reports 1990 to 2022: gross 6,343 and net 5,489 million metric tons CO2e, net 17% below 2005). EPA, Washington DC. Observation year 2022. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 29Instituto Nacional de Ecología y Cambio Climático (ed.), Inventario nacional de emisiones de gases y compuestos de efecto invernadero (page opened reports the 2015 inventory, 683 Mt CO2e, and is dated May 2018). INECC, Mexico City. Observation year 2015. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 18Canada Energy Regulator (ed.), Provincial and territorial energy profiles: Canada (hydro 60% of 625.7 TWh in 2021, wind and solar 7%, grid intensity from 220 to 100 g CO2e per kWh between 2005 and 2022). CER, Calgary. Observation year 2021. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 31NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. billion-dollar weather and climate disasters (page opened returned no figures). NOAA NCEI, Asheville. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 3UNVERIFIED, not opened: Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (ed.), Encuesta Intercensal 2025 (130,911,314 inhabitants at 15 October 2025, from search summaries; the page opened showed only its title). INEGI, Aguascalientes. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 4DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: GDP, current US$ (NY.GDP.MKTP.CD), Canada, Mexico and United States (last updated 2026-10-08). World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 9World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: population aged 65 and above, share of total (SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS), and life expectancy at birth (SP.DYN.LE00.IN), Canada, Mexico and United States. World Bank, Washington DC. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 15Environment and Climate Change Canada (ed.), Greenhouse gas emissions inventory page: National Inventory Report 1990 to 2024, submitted in 2026 (page opened gave no totals). Government of Canada, Gatineau. Observation year 2024. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 19U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), Post-2026 Colorado River reservoir operations (page updated 3 September 2026: draft EIS 9 January 2026, final EIS 31 July 2026, record of decision 21 August 2026, 2007 interim guidelines and 2019 drought contingency plans expiring at the end of 2026). Reclamation, Washington DC. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 26POST-CLOSE, context only: National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA (eds.), U.S. Drought Monitor statistics for the contiguous United States, map valid 27 October to 2 November 2026 (D0 72.66%, D1 49.49%, D2 26.74%, D3 9.36%, D4 1.65%; cumulative). University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 22UNVERIFIED, not opened: Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre (ed.), 2025 national season statistics (more than 7.5 million hectares by mid-August, second-largest area in the federal record; taken from search summaries because the statistics page was refused). CIFFC, Winnipeg. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 23International Boundary and Water Commission (ed.), Mexico deliveries of Rio Grande water (page opened states the 350,000 acre-feet a year minimum, 1,750,000 acre-feet per five-year cycle and a cycle start of 25 October 2020; delivery graphs not readable). IBWC, El Paso. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 27International Joint Commission (ed.), Mission: prevents and resolves disputes between Canada and the United States under the Boundary Waters Treaty of 1909; three commissioners from each country. IJC, Ottawa and Washington DC. Observation year 2026. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 24UNVERIFIED, not opened: International Boundary and Water Commission (ed.), release on the cycle of 25 October 2020 to 24 October 2025 (884,861 acre-feet delivered, from search summaries). IBWC, El Paso. Observation year 2025. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 35UNVERIFIED, not opened: Governments of Mexico and the United States (eds.), Treaty on the utilisation of waters of the Colorado and Tijuana Rivers and of the Rio Grande, 1944 (taken from memory). Treaty text, 1944. Observation year 1944. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
- 39UNVERIFIED, not opened: International Boundary and Water Commission (ed.), Minute 323 on Colorado River arrangements (taken from memory). IBWC, El Paso. Observation year 2017. Accessed 2026-11-03.back
