GCRI · Reports

Frontier technology series

Technologies such as artificial intelligence, quantum computing, biotechnology and advanced robotics are changing faster than the institutions that govern them. The frontier technology series of Reports, published by The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), examines the science, the opportunities, the uncertainties and the societal implications of these technologies. This page lists editions as each is released. No edition is shown until it is released. Information and enquiries are open today.

02The series

Two series look ahead.

Technology

Exponential Technology

Assessments of frontier technologies and their risks and uses, in the Exponential Technology series.

Foresight

Foresight Outlook

Long-horizon outlooks and horizon scans, in the Foresight Outlook series.

03What an edition covers

Four questions for every technology.

  1. 01

    Science

    What the technology can and cannot do today, on the evidence available, separating demonstrated capability from claims made for it.

  2. 02

    Opportunity

    Where it could reduce risk or strengthen resilience, for whom, and what would have to be true for that benefit to appear.

  3. 03

    Uncertainty

    What is not known, which claims are speculative and how fast the evidence is changing.

  4. 04

    Societal implications

    Effects on work, security, rights, equity and the institutions that must govern the technology, including who bears the risks and who gains the benefits.

04Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Editions draw on the technology platforms of the network, on experiments and evaluations in Labs, and on the methods of GCRI technology assessment. Governance perspectives come from The Global Risks Forum (GRF), at GRF foresight outlooks.

Frontier technology editions describe evidence and uncertainty. They never endorse a product or vendor, and a favourable assessment is not certification.

06Current state

No frontier technology edition is listed yet.

Editions appear here as each is released, with their methods, sources, review disclosures and corrections. Topic discussion is on the frontier technology series topic.

08Questions

Questions and answers.

Do technology reports recommend products?
No. They assess technologies and their implications, never products or vendors.
How is hype kept out?
Claims carry evidence labels, speculative claims are marked as such and uncertainty is stated. Forecasts are labelled as forecasts.
Can technology companies contribute?
Yes, as sources under disclosure. No contributor can shape a finding, and funding is disclosed.
How often are technology editions updated?
Each series sets its cadence in its method. Because evidence on frontier technologies changes quickly, editions state the date of their evidence and are corrected or superseded as it changes.
How do I suggest a technology to assess?
Write to the research collaboration form. The acknowledgement gives a reference and names the next step.
Reports

Bring a method, a dataset or a question.

Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

Science · evidence · measurement

Not for profit

Our articles, maps and twins are free to read and free to republish. Readers and partners keep it that way.

Partner with us

Who funds us

GCRI is a not-for-profit institution. To ask who funds a piece of work, use the funding questions form.

Independence

Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.

Licence

Articles: CC BY 4.0. Figures, maps, twins and data: CC BY 4.0. Other uses: ask through the permissions form.