Reports · GCRI · Established
Work and skills · Society and human development · Artificial intelligence
Reports 中的工作与技能的未来
Work, automation, skill formation and institutional adaptation to fast technological change. This page shows the series it feeds, the evidence behind it and how to contribute.
- 系列
- 2
- 系统
- 2
- 方法
- 5
What this area brings to the editions.
Work, automation, skill formation and institutional adaptation to fast technological change.
Future of Work and Skills on the map.
交互式地图需要JavaScript；图层列表和来源见下文。
图层 3
本页的人口与暴露情况
关于本图层
- 证据
- 估计值
- 来源
- 世界网格化人口 v4.11（NASA SEDAC（哥伦比亚大学 CIESIN））
- 提供方
- NASA SEDAC（哥伦比亚大学 CIESIN）
- 许可协议
- CC BY 4.0
- 年份版本
- 静态产品；基于人口普查的估算，静态（2020 年）
- 处理结果
- 约 1 公里网格
- 不确定性
- 基于人口普查的 2020 年每平方公里人口估算，作为风险暴露背景展示；不是受任何危害影响的人数。
- 经由以下途径到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov，仅在您允许实时地图后访问
关于本图层
- 证据
- 观测
- 来源
- VIIRS Black Marble（VNP46A2）（NASA LAADS DAAC）
- 提供方
- NASA LAADS DAAC
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每日；卫星辐射亮度，已校正月光和大气影响
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-10-12
- 处理结果
- 约 500 米网格
- 不确定性
- 所示日期的卫星夜间辐射亮度；灯光是用电和停电的替代指标，并非对供应或获得电力情况的测量。
- 经由以下途径到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov，仅在您允许实时地图后访问
关于本图层
- 证据
- 观测（持续云层仍会造成缺口）
- 来源
- VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3，8 天（NASA LANCE）
- 提供方
- NASA LANCE
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 8 天；卫星 8 天合成；持续云层仍会造成缺口
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-09-14
- 处理结果
- 约 1 公里网格
- 不确定性
- 截至所示日期的 8 天内地表的卫星皮肤温度，是高温风险暴露指标；不是气温、热指数，也不是高温预警。
- 经由以下途径到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov，仅在您允许实时地图后访问
关于本图层
- 证据
- 观测
- 来源
- VIIRS NOAA-20 校正反射率（NASA LANCE）
- 提供方
- NASA LANCE
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每日；卫星图像
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-10-14
- 处理结果
- 约 250 米网格
- 不确定性
- 卫星图像。卫星或模型栅格数据，按提供方发布的原样呈现。云层、条带缺口和反演误差会造成缺口和噪声；数值是指标，而非某地的测量值。
- 经由以下途径到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov，仅在您允许实时地图后访问
关于本图层
- 证据
- 模型生成（GIBS 发布的最新年份）
- 来源
- MODIS Terra 和 Aqua 土地覆盖（MCD12Q1）（NASA LP DAAC）
- 提供方
- NASA LP DAAC
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每年；卫星分类；GIBS 发布的最新年份
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2024-01-01
- 处理结果
- 约 500 米网格
- 不确定性
- 所示年份的卫星土地覆盖类别，含农田；该分类存在已知误差，并非农场登记册。
- 经由以下途径到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov，仅在您允许实时地图后访问
关于本图层
- 证据
- 观测（云层造成缺口）
- 来源
- OMI Aura（NASA GES DISC）
- 提供方
- NASA GES DISC
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每日；卫星反演；云层造成缺口
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-10-10
- 处理结果
- 约 2 公里网格
- 不确定性
- 所示日期低层大气二氧化氮的卫星柱含量，主要来自燃烧；不是地面浓度，也不是健康预警。
- 经由以下途径到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov，仅在您允许实时地图后访问
键盘操作，地图获得焦点时
按住 Ctrl 或 ⌘ 并滚动以缩放
最新可用
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap贡献者 (ODbL) · Natural Earth
正在加载最新的NASA影像。
拖动以移动。按住 Ctrl 或 ⌘ 并滚动、双指缩放或使用按钮缩放；悬停可查看指针下的数值；重置可返回该区域。
人口与风险暴露，以东南亚为取景。NASA 发布的卫星和模型产品，各带自己的日期。它们是指标，而非对任何地点的评估。
数据：NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap 贡献者 · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT
来源与许可
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA 开放数据
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA 开放数据
- Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC)。采用CC BY 4.0许可。颜色依据已发布的色图重绘；在显示处数值按H3单元取平均（已修改）。 doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
- VIIRS Black Marble 夜间灯光，NASA 戈达德太空飞行中心；由 NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System（LAADS DAAC）分发；影像经由 NASA GIBS 提供。颜色依据已发布的色表重绘；所示之处的数值已平均到 H3 单元中（有修改）。 NASA 开放数据
- VIIRS近实时产品（洪水、地表温度、积雪覆盖、校正反射率），NASA LANCE；影像来自NASA GIBS。颜色依据已发布的色图重绘；在显示处数值按H3单元取平均（已修改）。 NASA 开放数据
- MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA 开放数据
- OMI nitrogen dioxide (Aura) and OMPS aerosol index (Suomi NPP), NASA; distributed by the NASA GES DISC; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA 开放数据
- ASTER GDEM 是 METI 和 NASA 的产品（ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003，NASA LP DAAC）；影像经由 NASA GIBS 提供。颜色依据已发布的色表重绘；所示之处的数值已平均到 H3 单元中（有修改）。引用格式：NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA 开放数据
- 使用 Natural Earth 制作。免费矢量和栅格地图数据，见 naturalearthdata.com。 公有领域
- © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL)，经由 NASA GIBS 提供（海岸线、边界、道路和地名）。颜色依据已发布的色表重绘；所示之处的数值已平均到 H3 单元中（有修改）。 ODbL
- Blue Marble，NASA Earth Observatory；影像经由 NASA GIBS 提供。颜色依据已发布的色表重绘；所示之处的数值已平均到 H3 单元中（有修改）。 NASA 开放数据
- 地球仪和平面地图上的背景信息：海岸线、边界、道路和地名来自 NASA GIBS 参考图层（OpenStreetMap 数据，ODbL，© OpenStreetMap contributors）；Blue Marble 影像可作为可选底图；3D 地形和高程读数来自 ASTER GDEM 高程色彩指数（5 m 至 200 m 分级，为便于辨识而作了夸张处理）。边界按已发布的样式绘制，不代表对任何领土的立场。
- 地球仪：MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1，BSD-3-Clause，© MapLibre贡献者。
- 实时事件：NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker（EONET）；事件仅供参考，并保留其原始来源链接。
- 实时：NASA EONET。事件仅供参考，不是主管机构的预警。
- Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- 空气质量预报，5 天，PM2.5（CAMS，经由 Open-Meteo）：包含经修改的 Copernicus 大气监测服务 2026 年信息。
- 天气数据来自 Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), 依据 CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). 授权。
- 可选图层（图层列表中有 9 个来源：实时、预报、观测和背景）开启时会在地图上和此处显示其提供方署名；预报是模型输出，派生指数是估计值。
图层与日期
- 人口密度，2020 年：人口：哥伦比亚大学 CIESIN，世界网格化人口 v4.11（2018），NASA SEDAC， CC BY 4.0 · 静态
- 夜间灯光，每日：VIIRS Black Marble（VNP46A2），NASA LAADS DAAC · 2026年10月12日
- 地表温度，日间，8 天合成：VIIRS NOAA-20 3 级产品，8 天，NASA LANCE · 2026年9月14日
- 真彩色：VIIRS NOAA-20 校正反射率，NASA LANCE · 2026年10月13日
- 土地覆盖类型（IGBP），年度：MODIS Terra 和 Aqua 土地覆盖（MCD12Q1），NASA LP DAAC · 2024
- 二氧化氮，低层大气柱：OMI Aura，NASA GES DISC · 2026年10月10日
9 findings of the drafted editions that bear on Future of Work and Skills.
Drawn from the Baseline Edition 2026 drafts through the 系统 this area reads. Each opens at its anchor in its edition, with its numbered sources.
- ARE阿拉伯联合酋长国A reading of 51.6 °C was reported at Sweihan on 24 May 2025, and outdoor work stops from 12:30 to 15:00 between 15 June and 15 September; no national heat-illness series is bound.REPORTED · COUNTRY-ARE-HLT-009
- ARG阿根廷The 2025–26 dengue season closed with about 70 confirmed cases against 27,178 suspected, while chikungunya reached 3,730 confirmed or probable cases, mostly in the north-west.REPORTED · COUNTRY-ARG-HLT-009
- AU非洲联盟Under-5 mortality fell from 79.0 to 71.2 per 1,000 live births between 2018 and 2024, and life expectancy reached 62.8 years.REPORTED · COUNTRY-AU-HLT-008
- AUS澳大利亚Smoke from the 2019–20 fires was linked to an estimated 417 deaths in a peer-reviewed study.REPORTED · COUNTRY-AUS-HLT-006
- BRA巴西Dengue caused 6,484,890 probable cases and 5,972 confirmed deaths in 2024; WHO had already counted 6.3 million suspected cases in Brazil by 30 April. Life expectancy reached 76.6 years.REPORTED · COUNTRY-BRA-HLT-010
- CHE瑞士Heat-attributable deaths were 623 in June to August 2022, 542 in May to September 2023 and 326 in May to September 2024.REPORTED · COUNTRY-CHE-HLT-009
- CHN中国The population fell by 3.39 million to 1,404.89 million in 2025; 15.9% were aged 65 or over and births were 7.92 million.REPORTED · COUNTRY-CHN-HLT-010
- EU欧洲联盟A peer-reviewed study models 62,775 heat-related deaths in 32 European countries in summer 2024.REPORTED · COUNTRY-EU-HLT-007
- GS-02全球能源655 million people lacked electricity in 2024 and about 2.0 billion relied mainly on polluting fuels for cooking.REPORTED · SECTOR-ENERGY-GLOBAL-HLT-007
From Foundry evidence to the series.
The evidence, step by step, from the 系统 this area reads to the series it feeds.
How Future of Work and Skills reaches 报告: what it reads, how it reads it, the sealed cut and the series it feeds.
| 步骤 | 发生的事项 | 来源 |
|---|---|---|
| 01 What it reads | Future of Work and Skills reads NXS-HUB（知识、记录与学习） and The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX): governed sources with their releases, never a value without its source. | |
| 02 How it reads them | Economics and development economics and Artificial intelligence and machine learning turn the evidence into findings, with assumptions and limits stated beside each value. | |
| 03 The cut is sealed | Each quarter the evidence is sealed in one cut, so OBSERVED, REPORTED and ESTIMATED values stay apart and every edition can be rebuilt. | |
| 04 The series it feeds | The cut feeds Foresight Outlook and Evidence Brief, from the Baseline Edition 2026 into the quarterly series. | |
| 05 Who decides | Decisions stay with the authorities that hold them, under their own rules; an edition informs a decision and never makes it. |
A teaching model of the evidence path, not a forecast and not a record of any run; the systems, methods and series named come from the registries. Sources: Reports 中的工作与技能的未来 (2026); Future of Work and Skills home (2026).
The series it feeds, and what backs each.
| 系列 | Foundry systems it draws on | Academy disciplines | Series home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 前瞻展望 | NXS-DSS（决策案例与审议） reproducible alternative futures over long horizons NXS-GRX the weak signals fused from heterogeneous observations | 前瞻与未来 情景分析与压力测试 | Foresight Outlook series home |
| 证据简报 | NXS-GRX the evidence behind one question, with its strength and gaps NXS-POR（公共、客户和伙伴交付） the public-safe release of a brief and its corrections NXS-DSS what the evidence settles for the decision in hand | 研究、证据与科学政策衔接 风险沟通 and risk literacy 不确定性与决策 | Evidence Brief series home |
The systems, methods and teaching behind it.
- NXS-HUBNXS-HUBNXS-HUBRooms: Academy, Service Desk.
- NXS-GRXNXS-GRXNXS-GRXNXS-GRX
- STEM 方法STEM 公共资源经济学与发展经济学The canonical method page, with its limits.
- STEM 方法STEM 公共资源人工智能与机器学习The canonical method page, with its limits.
- STEM 方法STEM 公共资源机器人与自动化The canonical method page, with its limits.
- STEM 方法STEM 公共资源社会与行为科学The canonical method page, with its limits.
- STEM 方法STEM 公共资源计量经济学The canonical method page, with its limits.
- Academy disciplineRisk Academy工作、技能与职业安全健康与社会学院
- 领域GCRI工作与技能The field across science, governance and finance.
- 领域GCRI社会与人类发展The field across science, governance and finance.
- 领域GCRI人工智能The field across science, governance and finance.
Where the same subject is reported elsewhere.
- Counterpart · GRF报告Innovation NexusShared: Artificial intelligence.
- Counterpart · GRF报告人工智能与数字治理Shared: Artificial intelligence.
- Counterpart · GRF报告信息完整性与公众信任Shared: Society and human development.
- Counterpart · GRA报告Institutional Funds NexusShared: Society and human development.
- Counterpart · GRA报告人工智能与金融模型风险Shared: Artificial intelligence.
- Standards areaNexus Standards人工智能、模型与代理Digital, cyber and AI. Parts NS-12, NS-10, NS-11.
- Standards areaNexus Standards情景、模型与前瞻Systemic risks. Parts NS-12, NS-3b, NS-11.
- Standards areaNexus Standards与《仙台框架》保持一致Hazards and disaster risk reduction. Parts NS-3, NS-10, NS-11.
- Standards areaNexus Standards与人工智能治理框架保持一致Digital, cyber and AI. Parts NS-10, NS-11, NS-1.
- Standards areaNexus Standards社会与信息风险标准Governance, security and society. Parts NS-0, NS-9, NS-11, NS-12.
- Standards areaNexus Standards人工智能与自主系统风险标准Digital, cyber and AI. Parts NS-0, NS-10, NS-11, NS-12.
Contribute on Future of Work and Skills.
Evidence, a case, a correction, a method or profile input on this subject. The composer tags it with this area and its series.
Write a contribution the editor can act on.
Say what it is, where its record is kept and on which licence. It arrives tagged with this page, its area and its gateway, so it reaches the editor who owns it.
Your email opens with the subject and a template already filled in for GW-GCRI.
- 证据
- 更正
- 案例研究
- Analysis or method
- 同行评审
- 转译
- Profile input
Never send personal data or sensitive infrastructure detail. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights.
Open science for Future of Work and Skills.
How a contribution on this subject is deposited, identified, credited, licensed and found, and the metadata for it prefilled from this page.
Future of Work and Skills’s open record
Credit and identity
- ORCID
- Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record
- ROR
- Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone
- CRediT
- Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing
- 账户
- None needed to contribute; never a password
Find and follow
Search the open indexes for Future of Work and Skills; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.
Mirrors and harvest
The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.
{
"metadata": {
"resource_type": {
"id": "dataset"
},
"title": "Evidence on Future of Work and Skills for Nexus Reports",
"publication_date": "YYYY-MM-DD",
"creators": [
{
"person_or_org": {
"type": "personal",
"family_name": "Your family name",
"given_name": "Your given name",
"identifiers": [
{
"scheme": "orcid",
"identifier": "0000-0000-0000-0000"
}
]
},
"affiliations": [
{
"id": "ROR identifier of your organisation"
}
]
}
],
"description": "What it is, where its record is kept and how it bears on Future of Work and Skills in Nexus Reports.",
"rights": [
{
"id": "cc-by-4.0"
}
],
"subjects": [
{
"subject": "Nexus Reports"
},
{
"subject": "Future of Work and Skills"
},
{
"subject": "Work and skills"
},
{
"subject": "Society and human development"
},
{
"subject": "Artificial intelligence"
}
],
"related_identifiers": [
{
"identifier": "https://therisk.global/nexus-reports/areas/future-work-skills/",
"scheme": "url",
"relation_type": {
"id": "issupplementto"
},
"resource_type": {
"id": "other"
}
}
],
"version": "1.0.0"
},
"custom_fields": {},
"access": {
"record": "public",
"files": "public"
},
"files": {
"enabled": true
},
"parent": {
"communities": {
"default": "nexusreports"
}
}
}Releases for this area.
Releases tagged to this area appear here once released.
Send evidence on Future of Work and Skills.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) 系统 证据编辑部。您对此主题的了解可以成为下一期的证据、案例或更正，署您的名，若为您本人的作品则以 CC BY 4.0 发布。若发送到错误的编辑部，会被转交，不会被拒绝。
- 电子邮件网关 GW-GCRI从本页发送证据、更正、案例、方法、审查、翻译或概况投稿。它会带上本页标签送达，由负责的编辑接收。
- Zenodo开放存缴存缴并提交到社区用您的 ORCID iD 在 Zenodo 上发布您自己的记录，然后提交到那里的 Reports 社区。由策展人审核；DOI 仍归您所有。
- 报告GCRI查看哪个办事处受理您的事项路由表通向投稿页面：您拥有什么、由哪个编辑部受理、每项投稿如何审查和署名，以及许可。
切勿发送个人数据、敏感基础设施细节或您无权分享的任何内容。贡献在使用前会经过审查；发送贡献不赋予署名权或编辑权，赞助也绝不能换取研究结论。
Around the reports at GCRI.
Bring what you know to the next edition.
Every quarter closes on a sealed evidence cut. Contributions received before the cut are reviewed for that edition; later ones wait for the next.
法律文件。
本网站上的地图、数据和图表仅作为背景和一般信息展示。它们不是建议、预测或预警；信息的局限见免责声明和数据说明。
CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by GCRI Canada.