GCRI · Specialist network

Spatial intelligenceObservations, models and their uncertainty in one view

Society and development

The platforms of The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) that study economies, cities and people: economic development, society and human development, the future of work and skills, cities and the built environment, and trade and strategic resources. All five are in development. Their pages are real; they claim no activity, members or publications yet. Part of the GCRI specialist network.

01Workspace

The working screen for society and development.

Country programme console

Society and development · Country programme A · Month 4 · Example interface, not a record

National Model in buildGCRI · GCRI

Programme

  1. Formationdossier
  2. National Deskstaffed
  3. National Modelbuild
  4. Portfoliooptions
  5. Annual missiontest
  6. Reportedition

System coupling

dependency strength, 0 to 100

Placeholder strengths a National Model replaces with estimates.

Evidence ledger

Reservoir storageOBSERVEDNational Desk
Hydropower outputMODELLEDTechnical office
Grid stressSCENARIOTechnical office
Hospital continuityESTIMATEDHealth ministry

GCRI · Country programme consoleCountry programme console, in outline: domain structure with placeholder names and illustrative values, not a record.

03Geography

People and exposure worldwide.

Night lights, population density, flood water and true-colour imagery across the world, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 4

People and exposure, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

People and exposure, framed on World. Layers as NASA publishes them, each with its own date.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA HLS S30Sources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA HLS S30 (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Air quality forecast, 5 days, PM2.5 (CAMS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information 2026.
  • Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
  • Optional layers (9 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026

04Chapters

Sub-communities inside these platforms.

Chapters are named sub-communities with their own routes inside a home platform.

05Twin and cascade simulator

Model society and development as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Cities and the built environment: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification.

Hazards

  • Ice-jam flood
  • Earthquake
  • Dam failure
  • Aftershock sequence (set off downstream)
  • Fault surface rupture (set off downstream)
  • Soil liquefaction (set off downstream)
  • Slope slide (set off downstream)
  • Rockfall (set off downstream)
  • Tsunami (set off downstream)
  • Building collapse (set off downstream)
  • Widespread power outage (set off downstream)
  • Water supply failure (set off downstream)
  • Mass displacement (set off downstream)
  • Disaster and conflict debris (set off downstream)
  • River flood (set off downstream)
  • Flash flood (set off downstream)
  • Turbidity current (set off downstream)
  • Seismically and structurally vulnerable stock (set off downstream)

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-3 Risk record UNIs (grammar, legacy crosswalk, allocation authority)
  • NS-5 Figure, map and visualization standard (with the UI/UX kit)
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-10 Policies and clauses (machine-readable obligations: definition, binding, evaluation and enforcement)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NRS-X5 Cities and built environment risk
  • NRS-H91 Hazard family: Urban and building-stock stress (NHS-1 infra.urban)
  • NRS-H113 Hazard family: Financial-system fragility (NHS-1 soc.financial-system)
  • NRS-K7 Domain pack profile: Cities urban (DOMAIN-007)
  • NRS-H31 Hazard family: Persistent and bioaccumulative substances (NHS-1 poll.persistent)
  • NRS-H34 Hazard family: Waste and residue failures (NHS-1 poll.waste)

Observation

  • Global Human Settlement Layer (listed for reference)
  • WorldPop gridded population (listed for reference)
  • Overture Maps buildings theme (listed for reference)
  • OpenStreetMap (listed for reference)
  • World Development Indicators (listed for reference)
  • Direct economic loss in relation to global GDP, damage to critical infrastructure and number of disruptions to basic services, attributed to disasters
  • Proportion of local governments that adopt and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with national strategies
  • Proportion of urban population living in slums, informal settlements or inadequate housing
  • Percentage of local governments that adopt and implement local disaster risk reduction strategies in line with national strategies

Example geography

  • India: 65 H3 hexagons at resolution 2
  • Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Surface soil moisture (SMAP), NASA GIBS
06Connections

Challenges, fields and counterparts.

The challenges behind these platforms: economic transformation, society and human development and industry, resources and trade. Field gateways such as economic development and cities and built environment link the three institutions. Until a platform opens, GCRI's institutional research and the shared service platforms cover its field.

Finance counterparts sit at The Global Risk Alliance, for example GRA sovereign and development finance.

07Questions

Questions and answers.

Are these platforms active?
No. All five are in development. Their pages are real, but they make no claim of activity until their communities, editors, rights controls and operating ownership are in place.
Can I help start one of these communities?
Yes. Write to experts@therisk.global with your field. Expressions of interest receive a reference and help assess whether a community is ready.
Where is economic development covered until then?
Through GCRI's institutional research and the established platforms, and through the field gateways that link GCRI, GRF and GRA.
Why is trade in this group?
Because supply chains and strategic resources shape industrial development, jobs and prices, which are economic and social questions as much as technical ones.
How will these platforms involve communities?
Through consent-aware participation routes and safeguards described for communities and civil society. Protected community knowledge never enters public examples or model training.
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