The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Versioned research and public knowledge spanning global, national, sector, technology and annual programme findings. Nexus Reports is an established platform published by The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation.
GCRI · Established · service level R0
Systemic risk reports are publications that synthesise evidence across disciplines on risks that no single field owns. Nexus Reports, designed as one governed publication programme, sets out how such reports are reviewed, how evidence is synthesised, how uncertainty is stated, how sources are traced and how errors are corrected, series by series.
Researchers; editors; policy professionals; librarians; public readers.
Peer and technical review policies; publication provenance; source quality.
Report series catalogues; accessible research; figures, sources and corrections.
The working screen behind this platform: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.
Annual synthesis · Edition 8
| Annual synthesis | Global | Data check | 89 | W27 |
| Country profile 7 | Country | Peer review | 99 | W24 |
| Water outlook | Sectoral | Drafting | 38 | W31 |
| Methods note 4 | Methods | Released | 100 | done |
For nexus reports, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on true-colour imagery, land cover and population density with true colour from NASA GIBS, framed on World; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.
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For nexus reports, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on true-colour imagery, land cover and population density with true colour from NASA GIBS, framed on World; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.
Layers and dates
Interdependent global system risks.
TopicNational and transboundary portfolio studies.
TopicSector and industry profiles.
TopicExponentially developing technologies.
TopicTransparent analytical studies.
TopicTechnical test and readiness evidence.
TopicAnnual public-safe learning records.
TopicPublication governance and corrections.
Decisions about systemic risk often rest on reports that are hard to check: sources are unnamed, models are opaque, uncertainty is hidden and errors are quietly fixed or never fixed.
Systemic risks cross disciplines and borders. A study of food import dependence draws on agronomy, trade statistics, shipping data and household surveys; a cyber resilience scenario draws on network engineering, incident records and expert judgement. When such work is published without its provenance, readers cannot tell an observation from an estimate, a model output from a forecast, or an official figure from an institution's own claim. Mistakes then travel from one report to the next, and confidence is either misplaced or lost.
Publication itself can create risk. A ranking can be read as a verdict, a scenario as a prediction, and a sponsored study as independent research. Good publication practice addresses this through labelled evidence, separated roles, disclosed interests and permanent version records. Those practices are the core of Nexus Reports.
The programme also responds to a practical gap. Institutions in many countries lack access to well-documented evidence about their own systems, while global studies often reach them without the national context needed to act. A governed programme that links global, regional, national and sector analysis under the same rules lets each level build on the others.
Nexus Reports publishes quarterly country editions, an annual flagship and specialist series, organized into 17 report series. Editions are listed on each series page as they are released; no edition is shown before release.
Peer review tests reasoning and conclusions; technical review checks and, where relied upon, reproduces data, code and models; editorial review checks clarity, sourcing and disclosures.
Each claim carries an evidence label: Observed, Officially reported, Institution-reported, Estimated, Modelled, Forecast, Scenario, Expert judgement and Unknown. Where sources disagree, the disagreement is shown.
Each edition has a permanent identifier and version. Corrections create a new version and are listed at corrections.
The programme is designed around a predictable rhythm. Quarterly country editions track change in national systems and portfolios; an annual flagship, which may be the fourth-quarter edition, brings the year's evidence together; and specialist series publish when their evidence is ready rather than to a fixed calendar. Every edition, whatever its series, includes an accessible HTML version, a methods page, a source and rights register, reusable figures with metadata, review and funding disclosures and a correction history. Readers can therefore move from a headline finding to the evidence behind it, and from there to the source data where rights permit.
The programme applies probability and statistics, uncertainty quantification and model validation and data engineering, interoperability and stewardship, listed on the STEM foundation of Nexus Reports. It draws on the Nexus Foundry systems GRIx for governed risk data, Portals for public-safe publication and Institutional Rails for durable records.
Every specialist platform of the Consortium contributes to one or more series. At The Global Risks Forum (GRF), Research Nexus convenes research leaders and institutions around shared research agendas; the Finance and Insurance Readiness series is prepared with The Global Risks Alliance (GRA), which takes up finance-readiness questions without advising on or arranging any transaction. See counterparts across the Consortium.
Nexus Reports covers how research on systemic risk becomes public knowledge: how reports are reviewed, how evidence from many disciplines is synthesised, how uncertainty is stated, how sources are traced and how errors are corrected. Its pages describe each report series, the review and provenance practice behind it, the measures of review, access and correction that apply, and the decisions the series is written to inform, with the limits of each kind of evidence stated.
Single, double and open review, technical and statistical review, government and stakeholder review, and how reviewer comments are recorded and answered.
Systematic reviews, meta-analysis and assessment reports that weigh a body of literature rather than a single study.
Confidence, likelihood and certainty of evidence stated in agreed terms so that readers in different fields read a statement the same way.
Persistent identifiers, version histories, data and code availability, and the chain from a figure back to its sources.
Access routes, licences, embargoes, archiving and the rights that decide who can read, reuse and translate a report.
Errata, expressions of concern, retractions, competing interests and the handling of misconduct allegations under recognised guidelines.
Plain-language summaries, accessible formats, translation and the separation of findings from interpretation for non-specialist readers.
How reports are cited, used in policy and assessed, and why journal-level metrics are a poor proxy for the quality of a single output.
Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Evidence synthesis | The structured collection, appraisal and combination of evidence from many studies to answer a question. |
| Calibrated language | Fixed terms for confidence and likelihood tied to stated meanings, as in the IPCC guidance note on uncertainties. |
| Peer review | Evaluation of a work by independent experts in the field before publication. |
| Living report | A report updated in versions as evidence changes, with each version kept and dated. |
Every claim on Nexus Reports rests on methods with a canonical page in the STEM Commons, so readers can see what a finding depends on and where its limits lie.
A question becomes evidence, a governed build, an organized community, a controlled test, a reviewed publication and, finally, a decision taken by the competent authority under its own rules.
Fig.The Nexus cycle on this platform, from question to renewal. Design, not a record of a run.
The platform does not set standards. It reads its evidence against the frameworks that competent bodies have adopted, so a finding can be placed where a decision-maker already works.
| Framework or standard | Body | What it sets |
|---|---|---|
| COPE core practices and flowcharts | Committee on Publication Ethics | Expected editorial practice on authorship, competing interests, peer review, data, misconduct allegations, corrections and retractions |
| Guidance note on consistent treatment of uncertainties | Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change | Calibrated language for confidence and likelihood so that assessment statements carry their evidence and agreement |
| GRADE approach | GRADE Working Group | Rating the certainty of a body of evidence and moving from evidence to recommendations |
| PRISMA statement and extensions | PRISMA Executive | Reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses, including the flow of records through screening |
| CRediT contributor roles taxonomy (ANSI/NISO Z39.104) | NISO | Standard roles for describing each contributor's part in a research output |
| San Francisco Declaration on Research Assessment | DORA | Assessing research on its own merits rather than on journal-based metrics |
| Plan S principles and funder open access policies | cOAlition S and individual funders | Immediate open access, licence and rights retention requirements for funded research |
| Creative Commons licences | Creative Commons | Standard public licences that set reuse, attribution, adaptation and commercial terms |
| ISO 3297 (ISSN) and ISO 8 presentation of periodicals | ISO and the ISSN International Centre | Identification of serial publications and the consistent presentation of series, volumes and issues |
| JATS, Journal Article Tag Suite (ANSI/NISO Z39.96) | NISO | XML structure for articles and reports so that text, figures, references and metadata can be archived and exchanged |
GCRI studies a field as science, GRF governs it and GRA builds shared financial understanding of it. Nexus Reports links to its counterparts so that work on one side is visible on the others.
The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.