Draft, not yet released. In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.

Data appendix

The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.

12 min read0 figures7 tables26 notesNR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1The United Arab Emirates’ risk is heat, water and supply at once
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Humid summer heat peak with grid and desalination stress
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
    1. B.1 The indicator set
    2. B.2 National source register
    3. B.3 Regional reading, United Arab Emirates by emirate
    4. B.4 Atlas card, Dubai Emirate
    5. B.5 United Arab Emirates system card
    6. B.6 Licences
    7. B.7 Formats and provenance
  13. CReferences and record
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

B.1The indicator set

Table B.1Baseline indicator set
IndicatorValueUnitYearStateSource
GHG emissions incl. land use195.2Mt CO₂e2022Reported3
GHG emissions excl. land use201.8Mt CO₂e2022Reported3
Change in net emissions since 2019−0.8%2022Reported3
2019 base year, net196.3Mt CO₂e2019Reported1
2035 aim, net103.5Mt CO₂e2035Reported1
Gap from 2022 inventory to 2035 aim≈91.7Mt CO₂e2022Estimated13
Gas share of electricity68.0%2025Reported17
Nuclear share of electricity21.2%2025Reported17
Solar share of electricity9.9%2025Reported17
Total generation184.4TWh2025Reported17
Grid emissions intensity470g CO₂e/kWh2025Reported17
Renewable capacity7,907MW2025Reported19
Internal renewable freshwater per person14.9m³2022Reported10
Freshwater withdrawals, share of internal resources1,510%2022Reported10
Groundwater share of water consumed, Abu Dhabi60%2022Reported20
Treated wastewater reuse77%2024Reported1
Share of food imported≥80%2025Reported5
Cereal production20,216t2024Reported13
Population11.3million2024Reported7
Life expectancy83.1years2024Reported9
Fine-particle exposure57.2µg/m³2023Reported9
Protected land19.2%2025Reported12
Protected sea12.0%2025Reported12
Real GDP growth, projected4.8%2025Reported5
Electricity use per person15,361kWh2024Reported14
GHG emissions excl. land use, independent estimate264.1Mt CO₂e2024Reported16
Net emissions after 2022Not boundMt CO₂en/aNOT BOUND3
Share of potable water desalinatedNot bound%n/aNOT BOUND21
Share of food imported, by commodityNot bound%n/aNOT BOUND5
National heat deaths and illnessNot boundcasesn/aNOT BOUND26
Indicators, CSVIndicators, JSON

B.2National source register

The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.

Domains bound by the register

  • WAT
  • ENE
  • FOO
  • HLT
  • BIO
  • CLI
  • INF
  • FIN
  • TRD
  • MIN
Table B.3National source register
SourceCategoryCoveragePeriodCadenceRole
Population estimates67national statistics and UNnational2024–2025annualprofile
Third NDC and update12government submissionnational2023–2024periodicCLI
Transparency report34government submission and UNFCCC recordnational2022–2025biennialCLI
Article IV5international financial institutionnational2025annualFIN · FOO
World Bank series9 to16international development bank from UN agenciesnational2022–2025annualWAT · HLT · BIO
Generation data1718independent think tanknational2019–2025annualENE
Capacity statistics19international agency via pressnational2025annualENE
Groundwater policy20emirate environment agencyemirate2022policyWAT
Meteorology statements2325national technical authority via pressnational2024–2025per eventCLI
Midday-break rule26ministry via pressnational2024–2025annualHLT
Protected areas1235UN database and emirate directivenational and emirate2025periodicBIO

B.3Regional reading, United Arab Emirates by emirate

Map plates for every emirate follow in Q2 2027, when boundary sources and public-safe resolutions are bound. This page gives the regional reading in table form.

Population678

11.3million

residents

4.58million

Dubai residents, end 2025

74%

international migrant stock

86%

urban population

Table B.4Regional reading, United Arab Emirates by emirate
RegionPrincipal hazardsSystems most exposedBaseline evidence
Abu Dhabi, coast and Al Dhafra (west)heat, humid heat, dustenergy, groundwater, desalinationgroundwater policy20
Al Ain and the inland eastflash flood, heatroads, farmsrain 254 mm23
Dubai and Sharjah (central coast)flash flood, heat, humid heatdrainage, power, water, healthApril 202424 · drainage27
Ajman and Umm Al Quwain (north coast)coastal flooding, sea-level riselow-lying urban areasno event cited in this edition
Ras Al Khaimah and Fujairah (north and east)wadi flash floodroads, farms, groundwater rechargebasin study named in the NDC1

B.4Atlas card, Dubai Emirate

  • emirate
  • central coast
  • flash flood
  • urban growth
Systems in view
drainage, power, water and health
Defining events
April 2024 rain: most of Dubai’s rain fell on 15 April and set a daily record24
Couplings
CLI → INF; ENE → WAT
Capability evidence
AED 30 billion drainage programme to 203327; response records not bound
Gaps
heat illness series; drainage condition; emirate water supply by source
Agenda items
A-01 · A-06

Dubai reached 4.58 million residents at the end of 2025, up 7.5%, or about 332,000, in the year [8].

GROWTH

A city adding residents fast

The programme costs AED 30 billion and aims to raise drainage capacity by 700%, completed in stages by 2033; AED 1.439 billion of contracts for four projects were awarded in April 2025 [27] [28].

DRAINAGE

Tasreef

NOT BOUND. Source: Dubai Electricity and Water Authority statistical releases. Blocker: not retrieved by evidence close.

WATER

Supply by source

B.5United Arab Emirates system card

The card through which the United Arab Emirates appears in the Middle East and North Africa regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.

Table B.5United Arab Emirates system card
SystemBaseline stateCoupling to watchCoverage
Waterinternal renewable water 14.9 m³ a person10power for desalinationPARTIAL
Energygas 68% of generation17summer peakGOOD
Foodat least 80% imported5import shocksPARTIAL
Healthheat; outdoor work26heat surgeTHIN
Biodiversityprotected land 19.2%12land use and aridityTHIN

Context

Archetype
hyper-arid federation with a fuel-linked economy, growing nuclear and solar supply and a large international population
Population
11.3 million (2024)7
Trade
fuel 68% of merchandise exports in 2023; at least 80% of food imported155
Hazard
extreme heat; flash flood2523

United Arab Emirates’ card sits beside its neighbours’; shared basins, grids, corridors and supply chains are read as one regional system.

MIDDLE EAST AND NORTH AFRICA REGIONAL EDITION

One regional system

Emirati evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers, so a correction travels everywhere at once.

GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES

Same findings, same IDs

In the global edition the United Arab Emirates is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.

GLOBAL FLAGSHIP

Peers, not ranks

B.6Licences

Table B.6Licences of each kind of material
MaterialLicence
TextCC BY 4.0
Dataon the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0
FiguresNexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited
Mapsboundary source and licence printed on each plate
MetadataCC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it
Third-party data, figures and textThe source’s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed
Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.

B.7Formats and provenance

Table B.7This edition in every format
FormatKindStateWhat it isIdentifier
Web editionHTMLOn this siteDraft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Print editionPDFAt releaseA4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site30 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE data release v1
FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.FIG-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE-*
SlidesPDFNot recordedNo slide deck is recorded for this edition.
Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recordedNo evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt releaseConcept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

Provenance

Edition pack
The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
Evidence cut
NQ-ARE-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
Reproducibility
sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
Self-check
14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
Review
five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
Publisher of record
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium
Corrections
Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

Notes

Numbers are the edition’s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. Annex C, references

  1. 3Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), United Arab Emirates’ First Biennial Transparency Report 2024. Submission to the UNFCCC, Abu Dhabi, submitted 6 November 2025. Observation years 2019–2022. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/UAE’s%20First%20BTR%20-%20Submission%20Document.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. The text (195,065 Gg) and Table 1 (195,185 Gg) differ for 2022; Table 1 is used.back
  2. 1Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), The United Arab Emirates’ Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0): Accelerating Action Towards Mission 1.5C. Submission to the UNFCCC, Abu Dhabi, November 2024. Observation years 2019–2035. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/2024-11/UAE-NDC3.0.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  3. 17Ember (ed.), Yearly electricity data: generation by country and source (release_generation_yearly_global), United Arab Emirates 2019–2025. Ember, London, 2026. Observation year 2025. https://files.ember-energy.org/public-downloads/generation/outputs/release_generation_yearly_global.csv, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  4. 19International Renewable Energy Agency (ed.), Renewable Capacity Statistics 2026, United Arab Emirates (7,907 MW at the end of 2025), read through “UAE renewable capacity rises to 7.9 GW in 2025 as solar drives additions,” Zawya Projects, Dubai, 2026. Observation year 2025. https://www.zawya.com/en/projects/utilities/uae-renewable-capacity-rises-to-79-gw-in-2025-as-solar-drives-additions-sbzbtfh4, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  5. 10DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: ER.H2O.INTR.PC, ER.H2O.INTR.K3, ER.H2O.FWTL.ZS, ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS, ER.H2O.FWDM.ZS and ER.H2O.FWIN.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from FAO AQUASTAT. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2022. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/ER.H2O.INTR.PC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  6. 20Executive Council of Abu Dhabi (ed.), Executive Council Resolution No. 182 of 2022 concerning the General Policy for the Management, Regulation and Protection of Groundwater in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi. Environment Agency Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, 13 December 2022. Observation year 2022. https://faolex.fao.org/docs/pdf/uae221944E.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  7. 5International Monetary Fund (ed.), United Arab Emirates: 2025 Article IV Consultation, Press Release, Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director, IMF Country Report No. 25/327. IMF, Washington DC, December 2025. Observation years 2024–2026. https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2025/english/1areea2025001-source-pdf.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  8. 13DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: AG.LND.ARBL.ZS, AG.LND.AGRI.ZS, AG.PRD.CREL.MT and NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from FAOSTAT and national accounts. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/AG.PRD.CREL.MT, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  9. 7Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre (ed.), Total population residing in the UAE and demographic growth rates, 2000–2024, as compiled by the Gulf Labour Markets, Migration and Population programme. GLMM, Cambridge, 2025 (11,294,243 residents in 2024). Observation year 2024. https://gulfmigration.grc.net/uae-total-population-residing-in-the-uae-and-demographic-growth-rates-2000-2024/, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  10. 9DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: SP.DYN.LE00.IN, SP.DYN.IMRT.IN, SH.MED.PHYS.ZS, SH.DYN.NCOM.ZS and EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 for the United Arab Emirates, from UN World Population Prospects, WHO and the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2021–2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  11. 12DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: ER.LND.PTLD.ZS and ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from Protected Planet (WDPA and WD-OECM, UNEP-WCMC and IUCN). World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2025. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/ER.LND.PTLD.ZS, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  12. 14DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC, EG.USE.PCAP.KG.OE and EG.ELC.NUCL.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from the IEA Energy Statistics. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  13. 16DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5, EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5 and EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 for the United Arab Emirates (264 Mt CO₂e excluding land use in 2024), from the EDGAR database of the European Commission Joint Research Centre. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2024. This series is read as an independent estimate: it differs from the national inventory in [3]. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  14. 21Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), statement that the UAE meets 42 per cent of its drinking water needs through desalination, World Water Day, 22 March 2022, reported in “UAE needs to recycle every drop of water it has, minister says,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 23 March 2022. Observation year 2022. https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/environment/2022/03/22/uae-needs-to-recycle-every-drop-of-water-it-has-minister-says, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  15. 26Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation (ed.), midday outdoor-work break, 15 June to 15 September 2025 (12:30 to 15:00; 134,000 inspections in 2024, 51 infractions), reported in “UAE midday break for workers starts today,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 15 June 2025. Observation years 2024–2025. https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/06/15/uae-midday-break-for-workers-starts-today/, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  16. 6DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: SP.POP.TOTL, SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS, SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS, SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS and SM.POP.TOTL.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from UN World Population Prospects and the UN International Migrant Stock. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024–2025. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  17. 2Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), Third Update of Second Nationally Determined Contribution for the UAE. Submission to the UNFCCC, Abu Dhabi, 2023. Observation years 2019–2030. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2023-07/Third%20Update%20of%20Second%20NDC%20for%20the%20UAE_v15.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  18. 4UNFCCC secretariat (ed.), Record of the facilitative sharing of views at the sixty-third session of the Subsidiary Body for Implementation: United Arab Emirates, FCCC/WEB/2025/FSVR.1/ARE. UNFCCC, Bonn, 19 December 2025. Observation years 2021–2031. https://www.unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/FSVR1_UAE_Nov2025.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  19. 18Ember (ed.), United Arab Emirates: country page (32% low-carbon, 68% fossil), last updated 22 April 2026. Ember, London, 2026. Observation year not stated on the page. https://ember-energy.org/countries-and-regions/united-arab-emirates/, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  20. 23National Centre of Meteorology (ed.), statement on the rainfall of 16 April 2024 (254 mm in under 24 hours at Khatm Al Shakla, highest since records began in 1949), reported in “UAE witnesses largest amount of rainfall in 75 years,” Gulf News, Dubai, April 2024. Observation year 2024. https://gulfnews.com/uae/weather/uae-witnesses-largest-amount-of-rainfall-in-75-years-1.1713319645595, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  21. 25National Centre of Meteorology (ed.), statement that May 2025 was the hottest May on record (mean maximum 40.4 °C; 51.6 °C at Sweihan on 24 May 2025), reported in “UAE has hottest May on record after temperatures top 50C,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 3 June 2025. Observation year 2025. https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/06/03/uae-has-hottest-may-on-record-after-temperatures-top-50c, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  22. 35Office of the President of the United Arab Emirates (ed.), UAE President directs expansion of protected natural areas in the emirate of Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi, 15 October 2025. Observation year 2025. https://www.mohamedbinzayed.ae/en/latest-news-listing/2025/10/UAE-President-directs-expansion-of-protected-natural-areas-in-emirate-of-Abu-Dhabi, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  23. 8Dubai Data and Statistics Establishment (ed.), Dubai population at the end of 2025 (about 4.58 million, up 7.5%), as reported by The National, Abu Dhabi, 30 July 2026. Observation year 2025. https://thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2026/07/30/dubai-population-surpassed-45-million-by-end-of-2025, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  24. 24World Weather Attribution (ed.), Heavy precipitation hitting vulnerable communities in the UAE and Oman becoming an increasing threat as the climate warms. Imperial College London and partners, London, 2024. Rapid study, not peer-reviewed. Observation year 2024. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/heavy-precipitation-hitting-vulnerable-communities-in-the-uae-and-oman-becoming-an-increasing-threat-as-the-climate-warms, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  25. 27Dubai Protocol Department (ed.), Mohammed bin Rashid launches the AED 30 billion Tasreef project to raise Dubai’s rainwater drainage capacity by 700%. Government of Dubai, Dubai, 24 June 2024. Observation years 2024–2033. https://protocol.dubai.ae/en/media-listing/news-events/mohammed-bin-rashid-approves-aed30-billion-tasreef-project-to-enhance-dubais-rainwater-drainage-capacity-by-700/, accessed 2026-11-03.back
  26. 15DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, NY.GDP.PCAP.CD and TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN for the United Arab Emirates, from national accounts and UN Comtrade. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2023–2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN, accessed 2026-11-03.back

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex B: Data appendix. In United Arab Emirates Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of the United Arab Emirates’ Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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