Draft, not yet released. In stewardship review. Not indexed until the first approved release.

References and record

Every source the edition rests on, the publication record, the corrections log and the open record.

15 min read0 figures1 table0 notesNR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE

Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. ·Executive summary
  3. 1The United Arab Emirates’ risk is heat, water and supply at once
  4. 2Key findings
  5. 3Systems and sectors at baseline
  6. 4Risks and capability
  7. 5Humid summer heat peak with grid and desalination stress
  8. 6Readings from the other desks
  9. 7The 2027 agenda
  10. 8Systems in depth
  11. AMethodology
  12. BData appendix
  13. CReferences and record
    1. C.1 46 sources
    2. C.2 Publication record
    3. C.3 Corrections log
    4. C.4 Open record
    5. C.5 Where this edition sits among the six pillars
  14. ·Complete edition, for print

C.146 sources

NR-CIT-1, editor first. A DOI is linked where the source has one; Nexus records carry a UNI once the catalogue allocates it (NS-1).

  1. 1Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), The United Arab Emirates’ Third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0): Accelerating Action Towards Mission 1.5C. Submission to the UNFCCC, Abu Dhabi, November 2024. Observation years 2019–2035. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/2024-11/UAE-NDC3.0.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
  2. 2Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), Third Update of Second Nationally Determined Contribution for the UAE. Submission to the UNFCCC, Abu Dhabi, 2023. Observation years 2019–2030. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2023-07/Third%20Update%20of%20Second%20NDC%20for%20the%20UAE_v15.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6
  3. 3Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), United Arab Emirates’ First Biennial Transparency Report 2024. Submission to the UNFCCC, Abu Dhabi, submitted 6 November 2025. Observation years 2019–2022. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/UAE’s%20First%20BTR%20-%20Submission%20Document.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. The text (195,065 Gg) and Table 1 (195,185 Gg) differ for 2022; Table 1 is used. Cited in the summary, chapter 2, chapter 6
  4. 4UNFCCC secretariat (ed.), Record of the facilitative sharing of views at the sixty-third session of the Subsidiary Body for Implementation: United Arab Emirates, FCCC/WEB/2025/FSVR.1/ARE. UNFCCC, Bonn, 19 December 2025. Observation years 2021–2031. https://www.unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/FSVR1_UAE_Nov2025.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
  5. 5International Monetary Fund (ed.), United Arab Emirates: 2025 Article IV Consultation, Press Release, Staff Report and Statement by the Executive Director, IMF Country Report No. 25/327. IMF, Washington DC, December 2025. Observation years 2024–2026. https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2025/english/1areea2025001-source-pdf.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8
  6. 6DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: SP.POP.TOTL, SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS, SP.POP.0014.TO.ZS, SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS and SM.POP.TOTL.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from UN World Population Prospects and the UN International Migrant Stock. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2024–2025. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8
  7. 7Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre (ed.), Total population residing in the UAE and demographic growth rates, 2000–2024, as compiled by the Gulf Labour Markets, Migration and Population programme. GLMM, Cambridge, 2025 (11,294,243 residents in 2024). Observation year 2024. https://gulfmigration.grc.net/uae-total-population-residing-in-the-uae-and-demographic-growth-rates-2000-2024/, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 6
  8. 8Dubai Data and Statistics Establishment (ed.), Dubai population at the end of 2025 (about 4.58 million, up 7.5%), as reported by The National, Abu Dhabi, 30 July 2026. Observation year 2025. https://thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2026/07/30/dubai-population-surpassed-45-million-by-end-of-2025, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 6
  9. 9DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: SP.DYN.LE00.IN, SP.DYN.IMRT.IN, SH.MED.PHYS.ZS, SH.DYN.NCOM.ZS and EN.ATM.PM25.MC.M3 for the United Arab Emirates, from UN World Population Prospects, WHO and the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2021–2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8
  10. 10DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: ER.H2O.INTR.PC, ER.H2O.INTR.K3, ER.H2O.FWTL.ZS, ER.H2O.FWAG.ZS, ER.H2O.FWDM.ZS and ER.H2O.FWIN.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from FAO AQUASTAT. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2022. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/ER.H2O.INTR.PC, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
  11. 11DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: SH.H2O.BASW.ZS and SH.STA.BASS.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from the WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/SH.H2O.BASW.ZS, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6
  12. 12DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: ER.LND.PTLD.ZS and ER.MRN.PTMR.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from Protected Planet (WDPA and WD-OECM, UNEP-WCMC and IUCN). World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2025. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/ER.LND.PTLD.ZS, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 8
  13. 13DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: AG.LND.ARBL.ZS, AG.LND.AGRI.ZS, AG.PRD.CREL.MT and NV.AGR.TOTL.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from FAOSTAT and national accounts. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/AG.PRD.CREL.MT, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 8
  14. 14DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC, EG.USE.PCAP.KG.OE and EG.ELC.NUCL.ZS for the United Arab Emirates, from the IEA Energy Statistics. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/EG.USE.ELEC.KH.PC, accessed 2026-11-03.
  15. 15DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, NY.GDP.PCAP.CD and TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN for the United Arab Emirates, from national accounts and UN Comtrade. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation years 2023–2024. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/TX.VAL.FUEL.ZS.UN, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2
  16. 16DATA VINTAGE AFTER CLOSE: World Bank (ed.), World Development Indicators: EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5, EN.GHG.CO2.MT.CE.AR5 and EN.GHG.ALL.PC.CE.AR5 for the United Arab Emirates (264 Mt CO₂e excluding land use in 2024), from the EDGAR database of the European Commission Joint Research Centre. World Bank, Washington DC, database updated 8 October 2026. Observation year 2024. This series is read as an independent estimate: it differs from the national inventory in [3]. https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/ARE/indicator/EN.GHG.ALL.MT.CE.AR5, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6
  17. 17Ember (ed.), Yearly electricity data: generation by country and source (release_generation_yearly_global), United Arab Emirates 2019–2025. Ember, London, 2026. Observation year 2025. https://files.ember-energy.org/public-downloads/generation/outputs/release_generation_yearly_global.csv, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 7, chapter 8
  18. 18Ember (ed.), United Arab Emirates: country page (32% low-carbon, 68% fossil), last updated 22 April 2026. Ember, London, 2026. Observation year not stated on the page. https://ember-energy.org/countries-and-regions/united-arab-emirates/, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8
  19. 19International Renewable Energy Agency (ed.), Renewable Capacity Statistics 2026, United Arab Emirates (7,907 MW at the end of 2025), read through “UAE renewable capacity rises to 7.9 GW in 2025 as solar drives additions,” Zawya Projects, Dubai, 2026. Observation year 2025. https://www.zawya.com/en/projects/utilities/uae-renewable-capacity-rises-to-79-gw-in-2025-as-solar-drives-additions-sbzbtfh4, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
  20. 20Executive Council of Abu Dhabi (ed.), Executive Council Resolution No. 182 of 2022 concerning the General Policy for the Management, Regulation and Protection of Groundwater in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi. Environment Agency Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, 13 December 2022. Observation year 2022. https://faolex.fao.org/docs/pdf/uae221944E.pdf, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8
  21. 21Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), statement that the UAE meets 42 per cent of its drinking water needs through desalination, World Water Day, 22 March 2022, reported in “UAE needs to recycle every drop of water it has, minister says,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 23 March 2022. Observation year 2022. https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/environment/2022/03/22/uae-needs-to-recycle-every-drop-of-water-it-has-minister-says, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 6, chapter 8
  22. 22Government of the United Arab Emirates (ed.), National Food Security Strategy 2051. u.ae, Abu Dhabi, page updated 30 December 2024. Observation year 2024. https://u.ae/about-the-uae/strategies-initiatives-and-awards/strategies-plans-and-visions/environment-and-energy/national-food-security-strategy-2051, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8
  23. 23National Centre of Meteorology (ed.), statement on the rainfall of 16 April 2024 (254 mm in under 24 hours at Khatm Al Shakla, highest since records began in 1949), reported in “UAE witnesses largest amount of rainfall in 75 years,” Gulf News, Dubai, April 2024. Observation year 2024. https://gulfnews.com/uae/weather/uae-witnesses-largest-amount-of-rainfall-in-75-years-1.1713319645595, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 7
  24. 24World Weather Attribution (ed.), Heavy precipitation hitting vulnerable communities in the UAE and Oman becoming an increasing threat as the climate warms. Imperial College London and partners, London, 2024. Rapid study, not peer-reviewed. Observation year 2024. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/heavy-precipitation-hitting-vulnerable-communities-in-the-uae-and-oman-becoming-an-increasing-threat-as-the-climate-warms, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6
  25. 25National Centre of Meteorology (ed.), statement that May 2025 was the hottest May on record (mean maximum 40.4 °C; 51.6 °C at Sweihan on 24 May 2025), reported in “UAE has hottest May on record after temperatures top 50C,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 3 June 2025. Observation year 2025. https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/06/03/uae-has-hottest-may-on-record-after-temperatures-top-50c, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 7, chapter 8
  26. 26Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation (ed.), midday outdoor-work break, 15 June to 15 September 2025 (12:30 to 15:00; 134,000 inspections in 2024, 51 infractions), reported in “UAE midday break for workers starts today,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 15 June 2025. Observation years 2024–2025. https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/06/15/uae-midday-break-for-workers-starts-today/, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8
  27. 27Dubai Protocol Department (ed.), Mohammed bin Rashid launches the AED 30 billion Tasreef project to raise Dubai’s rainwater drainage capacity by 700%. Government of Dubai, Dubai, 24 June 2024. Observation years 2024–2033. https://protocol.dubai.ae/en/media-listing/news-events/mohammed-bin-rashid-approves-aed30-billion-tasreef-project-to-enhance-dubais-rainwater-drainage-capacity-by-700/, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 7
  28. 28Dubai Municipality (ed.), AED 1.439 billion contracts awarded for four Tasreef project phases. Dubai Municipality, Dubai, 18 April 2025. Observation year 2025. https://www.dm.gov.ae/aed-1-439-billion-contracts-awarded-for-four-tasreef-project-phases/, accessed 2026-11-03.
  29. 29Government of the United Arab Emirates (ed.), Federal Decree-Law No. 11 of 2024 on the Reduction of Climate Change Effects, as described in “Landmark UAE climate law aims to curb emissions and boost net zero ambitions,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 2 June 2025. Observation year 2025. https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2025/06/02/landmark-uae-climate-law-aims-to-curb-emissions-and-boost-net-zero-ambitions, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6
  30. 30Climate Action Tracker (ed.), UAE: country assessment, assessment dated 15 November 2024. Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute, Berlin, 2024. Observation year 2024. The page rates the 2030 target of the 2023 update; a separate 2035 analysis is not read. https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/uae/, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 1, chapter 6
  31. 31C. Raymond, T. Matthews and R. M. Horton, “The emergence of heat and humidity too severe for human tolerance,” Science Advances, vol. 6, no. 19, eaaw1838, 2020. Observation years 1979–2017. Abstract read through Europe PMC (doi:10.1126/sciadv.aaw1838), accessed 2026-11-03. doi:10.1126/sciadv.aaw1838 Cited in chapter 1, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6
  32. 32Convention on Biological Diversity (ed.), Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, Decision 15/4. CBD Secretariat, Montreal, 2022. Observation year 2022. Landing page read; target text not read. https://www.cbd.int/gbf, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6
  33. 33National Emergency Crisis and Disaster Management Authority (ed.), National Early Warning System (cell broadcast, Arabic and English), as described in “Rain in UAE: did you receive a public safety alert,” Gulf News, Dubai, 2023. Observation year 2023. https://gulfnews.com/amp/living-in-uae/safety-security/rain-in-uae-did-you-receive-a-public-safety-alert-here-is-all-you-need-to-know-about-the-national-early-warning-system-1.1700224017503, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 4
  34. 34Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (ed.), Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum Solar Park at 3,860 MW after 800 MW added in 2025 (about 21.5% of DEWA capacity), reported in “Al Maktoum Solar Park’s clean energy capacity hits 3.86GW in 2025,” TradeArabia, Manama, 28 December 2025. Observation year 2025. https://www.tradearabia.com/News/331795/Al-Maktoum-Solar-Park-s-clean-energy-capacity-hits-3.86GW-in-2025/CONS, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 8
  35. 35Office of the President of the United Arab Emirates (ed.), UAE President directs expansion of protected natural areas in the emirate of Abu Dhabi. Abu Dhabi, 15 October 2025. Observation year 2025. https://www.mohamedbinzayed.ae/en/latest-news-listing/2025/10/UAE-President-directs-expansion-of-protected-natural-areas-in-emirate-of-Abu-Dhabi, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 2, chapter 8
  36. 36Ministry of Climate Change and Environment (ed.), statements on mangrove planting (51% of a 100 million tree target) and marine protection (about 12%, aim of 30% by 2030), reported in “UAE reaches 51% of target to plant 100 million mangrove trees by 2030,” Gulf News, Dubai, 22 August 2026. Observation year 2026. https://gulfnews.com/uae/environment/uae-reaches-51-of-target-to-plant-100-million-mangrove-trees-by-2030-1.500648706, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 8
  37. 37Copernicus Climate Change Service (ed.), Global Climate Highlights 2025 (2025 about 1.47 °C above pre-industrial), as reported in “Gulf will become more humid and hot as global temperatures rise, researchers say,” The National, Abu Dhabi, 14 January 2026. Observation year 2025. https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uae/2026/01/13/gulf-will-become-more-humid-and-hot-as-global-temperatures-rise-researchers-say, accessed 2026-11-03. Cited in chapter 6
  38. 38UNVERIFIED, not opened (Crossref bibliographic record only): J. S. Pal and E. A. B. Eltahir, “Future temperature in southwest Asia projected to exceed a threshold for human adaptability,” Nature Climate Change, vol. 6, pp. 197–200, 2016. Observation year projection. doi:10.1038/nclimate2833. Used as context only. doi:10.1038/nclimate2833 Cited in chapter 6
  39. 39UNVERIFIED, not opened (Crossref bibliographic record only): J. Lelieveld, Y. Proestos, P. Hadjinicolaou et al., “Strongly increasing heat extremes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in the 21st century,” Climatic Change, vol. 137, pp. 245–260, 2016. Observation year projection. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1665-6. Used as context only. doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1665-6 Cited in chapter 6
  40. 40UNVERIFIED, not opened (Crossref bibliographic record only): J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., “Future climate risk from compound events,” Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469–477, 2018. Observation year 2018. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3. Used as framework only. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0156-3 Cited in chapter 6
  41. 41UNVERIFIED, not opened (Crossref bibliographic record only): H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the IPCC. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. doi:10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647. Used as context only. doi:10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647 Cited in chapter 6
  42. 42UNVERIFIED, not opened: UNDRR (ed.), Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. UNDRR, Geneva, 2015. Details from memory; the issuer page returned an access error. Used as a standards reference only. Cited in chapter 6
  43. 43UNVERIFIED, not opened: UNFCCC (ed.), Paris Agreement. United Nations, Paris, 2015. Details from memory. Used as a standards reference only. Cited in chapter 6
  44. 44UNVERIFIED, not opened: P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281/zenodo.13850054. Details from memory. Used as framework only. doi:10.5281/zenodo.13850054 Cited in chapter 6
  45. 45UNVERIFIED, not opened: S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports: The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026–2030, V1.0. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. Internal edition, not located or re-read in this task. Cited in chapter 6
  46. 46UNVERIFIED, not opened: S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026: Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. Internal edition, not re-read in this task. Cited in chapter 6

C.2Publication record

Publication

Title
United Arab Emirates Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition
Series
Reports · Edition 2026–2030
Edition
Baseline Edition 2026 · inaugural annual
Version
v1.0.0 · draft for stewardship review
Publication ID
NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Evidence close
30 September 2026
Publication date
October 2026
DOI
concept and version DOI at deposit

Publisher

Publisher of record
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for the Nexus Consortium
Place
Toronto
Editor
Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor
Stewards
GCRI · technical truth · the Global Risks Forum (GRF) · public meaning · the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) · capital meaning
Licence
text CC BY 4.0; data on the terms of each source
Copyright
© 2026 GCRI · Nexus Consortium
Language
English (en-GB) source edition
Correspondence
Registry correction pathway · editorial office

Colophon

Format
A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF
Typefaces
Space Grotesk (display) · Geist (text) · IBM Plex Sans Italic (standfirsts) · IBM Plex Mono (data)
Design standard
Reports Foundational Edition, Volume I, Part VII
Accessibility
tagged PDF and HTML targets; text alternatives for every figure
Production
Reports editorial team, GCRI

Release path for this version

Table C.1Release path for this version
StepWhat happensWhen
Drafteditorial self-check complete at evidence closeOctober 2026
Steward reviewfive passes on the exact draft (keys T · M · F · N)Q4 2026
Approvalpublication authority approves the exact digestbefore release
Depositconcept and version DOI minted; registry pointer setat release
Successionthe Q1 2027 edition reports changes against this baselineQ1 2027
Current version
v1.0.0 draft, stewardship review
Previous edition
none, first edition of the series
Next edition
NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2027-Q1-v1.0.0
Latest version
resolve the concept DOI or the registry record
Correction route
Registry correction pathway
Notice types
erratum · addendum · supersession · withdrawal

C.3Corrections log

0correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition’s current version.

EditionVersionDateStateChangeNotice
ARENR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None

Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.

C.4Open record

This edition’s open record

Publication ID
NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
Desk identifier and series alias
NR-NAT-ARE-2026-BL
Collection
None
DOI
Concept and version DOI at deposit, on Zenodo with DataCite metadata
Versions
Each correction is a new version (isNewVersionOf); the concept DOI resolves to the latest
Bundle
RO-Crate 1.2 with CITATION.cff, CodeMeta and PROV-O provenance; a signed manifest
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for original material; metadata CC0 1.0

Credit and identity

ORCID
Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record
ROR
Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone
CRediT
Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing
Account
None needed to contribute; never a password

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C.5Where this edition sits among the six pillars

Foundry seals the evidence and Universe tests it; Reports publishes it; Standards takes its corrections and Academy teaches from it.

  1. F03 Sealed observations and indicator series Foundry Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).
  2. F04 After-action and scenario findings for Universe After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).
  3. F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter Foundry National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).
  4. Applied in editions Standards Nexus Standards: applied in editions.
  5. ARE edition Reports United Arab Emirates 2026, published in every format with its sources, citation and corrections.
  6. F06 Method and correction findings as change Standards Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).
  7. F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year Universe Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).
  8. Taught in the open Academy Risk Academy: taught in the open.

What Foundry and Universe hand to this edition, and what it hands to Standards, Universe and Academy. From the programme spine; ARE is a drafted Baseline Edition, so these handoffs run from its first operational quarter.

HandoffBetweenWhat crosses, and when
F03Foundry to ReportsSealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).
F04Universe to ReportsAfter-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).
F05Foundry to ReportsNational Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).
RingNexus Standards to ReportsNexus Standards: applied in editions.
F06Reports to Nexus StandardsMethod and correction findings as change proposals (correction).
F12Reports to UniverseQ4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).
RingReports to Risk AcademyRisk Academy: taught in the open.

Cite this annex

Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). Annex C: References and record. In United Arab Emirates Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of the United Arab Emirates’ Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-ARE-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI).

Every citation form of the whole report, BibTeX and RIS included, is on the edition home. Cite this report

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