G-P13 · TOPIC · diagnostics-and-therapeuticsGCRI dossier · service level R0
GCRIBiotechnology and BiosecurityIn development
Topic · Biotechnology and Biosecurity

Diagnostics and therapeutics

Diagnostics detect disease; therapeutics and vaccines prevent or treat it. Biotechnology has transformed both, from molecular tests to biologic medicines and platform vaccines. This topic, studied at Biotechnology and Biosecurity, a platform of The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), examines how health innovations are evaluated, how evidence of performance is generated and judged, and how access and supply shape their value in practice. It is research, not clinical guidance.

Publisher
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation
Field
Health and biosecurity, Food and agriculture
Status
In development
Service level
R0: information and enquiries

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Layers 4

Environmental exposure, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

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Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

For diagnostics and therapeutics, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on crop greenness, population density, daytime surface heat and true-colour imagery, framed on West Africa; 2 further NASA layers wait in the list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2ASources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Observed (EO): Copernicus Sentinel-2 L2A (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026), Microsoft Planetary Computer
  • Optional layers (14 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Vegetation greenness (NDVI), rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra NDVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Gross primary production, 8-day total: MODIS Aqua GPP (MYD17), NASA LP DAAC · 30 Sep 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026

01In brief

The short answer.

Diagnostics and therapeutics are the tests, medicines and vaccines that detect and treat disease, and the systems that evaluate, approve, manufacture and distribute them. This page covers readiness and access: regulatory evaluation and emergency use listing, prequalification, manufacturing capacity and equitable distribution of medical countermeasures. Approval decisions stay with regulators and WHO.

02Console

Oversight and capacity register, in outline.

The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.

Oversight and capacity register

Diagnostics and therapeutics · National committee · Review year 3

  • Institutions with a committee, %
    83Watch
  • Staff trained, %
    87Normal
  • Reviews completed
    40this year
  • Incident reports filed
    5Info
Capacity and oversight onlyGCRI · Biotechnology and Biosecurity

Institutional oversight

Institution AActiveQ284Current
Research campusActiveQ161Audit due
Biomanufacturing siteFormingnone67Support
Diagnostic networkActiveQ388Current

Scope note

Covers
governance, training, review capacity
Excludes
technical methods and agents
Authority
national oversight body
Label
SURVEY
Oversight and capacity register: the screen's structure, terms and states for Diagnostics and therapeutics.Placeholder names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
03Core questions

What experts ask.

  • How is the accuracy of a diagnostic test established, and how does it vary by setting?
  • How do clinical trials balance speed and reliability, especially in emergencies?
  • How do platform technologies change the time needed to develop countermeasures?
  • What determines whether innovations reach the people who need them?
  • How is safety monitored once products are in wide use?
04Mechanisms

Drivers and dynamics.

A diagnostic test's usefulness depends on its sensitivity and specificity and on how common the condition is in the population tested, so the same test can perform differently in different settings. Therapeutics and vaccines are evaluated through staged trials, with regulators weighing evidence of benefit against risk. Emergency procedures can accelerate this process, at the cost of more uncertainty at the time of decision.

Platform technologies, which can be adapted to new targets, have shortened development times for some countermeasures. Yet value in practice depends on manufacturing, distribution, affordability and trust. Surveillance after approval detects rare adverse effects that trials are too small to find. Population health questions are studied at Health Nexus.

05Methods and limits

How it is studied.

  1. 01

    Evidence synthesis

    Systematic reviews and meta-analyses pool results across studies, with attention to bias.

  2. 02

    Statistical evaluation

    Methods from probability and statistics assess test accuracy, trial design and uncertainty.

  3. 03

    Health technology assessment

    Frameworks compare benefits, risks and costs, drawing on epidemiology and public health science.

  4. 04

    Limits

    Trials may not represent all populations, published evidence can be biased toward positive results, and performance in practice often differs from performance in trials.

06Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Medical countermeasuresVaccines, therapeutics, diagnostics and protective equipment used to prevent or respond to health threats.
Emergency Use ListingWHO's procedure for assessing unlicensed products for use during a public health emergency.
WHO prequalificationWHO's assessment of medicines, vaccines and diagnostics against quality, safety and efficacy standards, used by procurers.
Advance purchase agreementA contract to buy a product before it is approved, reserving supply in exchange for funding or risk-sharing.
07Decisions

What it informs and who decides.

This evidence informs regulatory decisions, procurement and stockpiling, health technology assessment and preparedness planning. Regulators, health agencies and clinicians decide; GCRI is not a health-service provider or clinical authority. The insurance-sector reading of health innovation and pandemic risk is built by Insurance Nexus at The Global Risks Alliance (GRA). Related topics are biomanufacturing, biological threats and One Health impacts; methods sit on epidemiology and public health science and probability and statistics.

Published analysis on this topic is designed to carry a named subject reviewer, its references and the views of independent specialists, including biosafety professionals and those who disagree.

08Questions

Questions and answers.

Can the platform tell me which test or treatment to use?
No. It does not provide clinical advice. Health professionals and regulators make those decisions.
Why can an accurate test give misleading results?
Because a test's predictive value depends on how common the condition is in the people tested, not only on its accuracy.
Are emergency approvals less reliable?
They are made with less evidence at the time of decision, so monitoring after approval matters more.
Who reviews coverage of this topic?
Published analysis is designed to be reviewed by a named subject reviewer with relevant expertise, to cite its references and to include independent specialist voices. Where specialists disagree, the disagreement is reported rather than resolved by omission.
Biotechnology and Biosecurity

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The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.