Disaster Resilience and Recovery
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Model descriptions for Disaster Resilience and Recovery are published here once reviewed, with their assumptions, evidence and validation. They describe models; they are not live simulations.
Fig.A programme from scoping to the owner's decision. Design, not a record.
Disaster Resilience and Recovery reviewed models are published descriptions of the models used in the disaster and crisis field, with their assumptions, data, validation and limits, built on methods such as decision analysis under uncertainty as well as social and behavioural science. They describe models; they are not live simulations, and no output on them is a finding.
For reviewed models and scenarios, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on flood water, daytime surface heat, rain and population density, framed on the Philippines; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 4
Hazards now, for this page
Keyboard, with the map focused
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Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
For reviewed models and scenarios, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on flood water, daytime surface heat, rain and population density, framed on the Philippines; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.
Layers and dates
| Model class | Open examples | Question it answers | Validation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catastrophe and loss models | Open models from GEM and Hazus methodology | Expected losses by hazard | Comparison with recorded losses |
| Evacuation models | Agent-based evacuation tools | Clearance times and bottlenecks | Drills and past events |
| Recovery models | System dynamics recovery models | Recovery trajectories | Longitudinal recovery data |
| Trigger evaluation | Contingency-table methods | Hit and false-alarm rates of triggers | Historical forecasts and impacts |
Analysis runs in Nexus Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.
Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Model validation | Comparing model predictions with independent observations to judge fitness for a stated use. |
| Model card | A short document describing a model's intended use, training data, performance and limits. |
| Uncertainty quantification | Characterising and propagating the uncertainties in a model to state confidence in its outputs. |
| Surrogate model | A fast statistical model trained to approximate a slow simulation or experiment. |
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.