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GCRI · Space and Earth Observation

Communications and navigation

Satellite communications connect remote areas, ships, aircraft and disaster zones, and navigation satellites provide the position and timing that transport, telecom, finance and power grids depend on. Large new constellations are changing both. This page sets out how satellite communication and navigation services work, how society’s dependence on them can be mapped, and what evidence serves the regulators and operators who plan for their loss.

01Register

Communications and navigation on the record.

02The question

Communications and navigation: how the risk develops.

GNSS, satcom and dependency. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Constellations change connectivity

Large low Earth orbit constellations offer lower latency broadband, extending coverage but concentrating it with a few operators.

Mechanism

Timing is a hidden dependency

Telecom networks, power grid measurement and financial systems use satellite time signals. Many users do not know they depend on them.

Mechanism

Navigation underpins transport

Aviation, shipping, road logistics and agriculture rely on satellite positioning, with augmentation systems for higher accuracy and integrity.

Mechanism

Backups are often missing

Alternative positioning and timing, such as terrestrial systems or holdover clocks, are unevenly deployed, so outages can cascade.

03Methods and evidence

How communications and navigation is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

Earth observation chain

How a satellite or sensor record becomes evidence on communications and navigation, and where each step adds uncertainty.

  1. 01 · Acquireorbit, sensor and revisitUncertainty: gaps from cloud and orbit
  2. 02 · Calibrateradiometric and geometricUncertainty: sensor drift
  3. 03 · Correctatmosphere and terrainUncertainty: aerosol and slope assumptions
  4. 04 · Retrieve or classifythe variable or the classUncertainty: model and training error
  5. 05 · Validateagainst ground truthUncertainty: sample design and size
  6. 06 · Publishwith error bars and lineageUncertainty: stated, never hidden
Processing chain in the CEOS Analysis Ready Data sense; each step records its uncertainty before a figure is drawn. A generic structure, not results.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
04Across the domains

Satellite communication and navigation reach every domain.

Findings are designed for the Strategic Systems series. Spectrum is governed by the ITU Radio Regulations; the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) recommends no provider.

  • Interference and outage records.
  • Connectivity studies in remote areas.
05Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Population covered by satellite broadbandpercent of populationannualRegulator and operator dataESTIMATED
Critical sectors using GNSS timingcount of sectorsper assessmentDependency studiesESTIMATED
Timing holdover capabilityhoursper systemOperator documentationDECLARED
Satellite broadband subscriberscountannualRegulator statisticsPublished statistics
Satellite-based augmentation coveragestatus by regionper assessmentAugmentation system documentationPublished statistics
Navigation outages and degradationscount and durationannualService noticesPublished statistics
06Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
ITU satellite network filings and Radio RegulationsSpectrum and orbit filingsPublic, ITU terms
GNSS service performance reports (GPS, Galileo, GLONASS, BeiDou)Service performance and noticesPublic, terms per provider
Government studies of GNSS dependence, such as the UK and US economic impact studiesSectors depending on positioning and timingPublic records, licence per government
National telecom regulator statisticsSatellite broadband adoptionPublic records, licence per regulator
ICAO and IMO documentation on navigationNavigation requirements in aviation and shippingPublic, terms per organisation
07Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Space and Earth Observation prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Telecom and transport regulatorsWhat backup timing and navigation to requireDependency maps; backup reviews
Critical infrastructure operatorsHow long they can operate without satellite timingHoldover evidence
Governments planning connectivityWhere satellite broadband fills gapsConnectivity gap analyses

Outputs this topic produces

  • Dependency maps of positioning and timing
  • Backup capability reviews
  • Connectivity gap analyses including satellite options
  • Evidence notes for resilience planning
08Core questions

What experts ask.

Specialists in navigation and satellite communications ask how dependent systems are and how they fail.

  • Which sectors rely on satellite timing and positioning, and do they know it?
  • How vulnerable are receivers to jamming, spoofing and interference?
  • What alternative time and position sources exist, and are they in use?
  • How do satellite communications support emergency response and remote areas, and how resilient are they?
  • How does the growth of large communications constellations change dependency and risk?
09Mechanisms and drivers

Weak signals, wide dependence.

Navigation satellites broadcast signals that receivers use to calculate position and time. The signals are very weak by the time they reach the ground, which makes them easy to drown out with jamming or imitate with spoofing. Beyond navigation for transport and agriculture, the timing function is embedded in telecommunications networks, electricity grid synchronisation and the time-stamping of financial transactions, often without operators being aware of it.

Satellite communications carry data, voice and broadband to ships, aircraft, remote communities and disaster zones where terrestrial networks are absent or damaged. They are themselves exposed to interference, ground-segment faults and space weather. Resilience comes from diversity: multiple constellations, terrestrial backups, holdover clocks that maintain time during outages, and receivers that detect anomalies.

10Methods and data

How the evidence is built, and where it stops.

  1. 01

    Dependency surveys

    Identifying where timing and positioning are used in critical services. Embedded dependencies are often undocumented.

  2. 02

    Interference monitoring

    Detecting jamming and spoofing through receiver networks and communications and network technology. Coverage of monitoring is limited.

  3. 03

    Resilience testing

    Testing how systems behave when signals are lost or falsified. Live testing is constrained by regulation and safety.

  4. 04

    Signal and orbit physics

    Modelling signal propagation and errors, grounded in physics. Atmospheric effects vary in ways that are hard to predict locally.

12Where this page’s references

Where this page’s references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

13Questions

Questions and answers.

What is GNSS?
Global navigation satellite systems, such as GPS, Galileo, GLONASS and BeiDou, which provide positioning, navigation and timing worldwide.
Why do power grids and banks depend on satellites?
Because many of their systems use satellite time signals to synchronise measurements across sites and to timestamp transactions.
What is a low Earth orbit constellation?
A large group of satellites orbiting relatively close to Earth, used to provide low-latency communications coverage.
Why does finance depend on satellite navigation?
Many systems use satellite-derived time to stamp and order transactions precisely. Loss of that time source, without a backup, can disrupt synchronisation.
What is spoofing?
Broadcasting false navigation signals so that receivers compute a wrong position or time. Unlike jamming, it can go unnoticed without detection measures.
Are there alternatives to satellite timing?
Yes. Terrestrial time distribution, atomic clocks with holdover and multiple constellations can provide resilience. Their adoption varies widely.
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