GCRI · Oceans and Coasts
Blue economy
The blue economy covers economic activity that depends on the ocean: fisheries and aquaculture, shipping and ports, coastal tourism, offshore energy, marine biotechnology and seabed resources. Its growth can conflict with ecosystem health and with other users of the same space. This page sets out how ocean economic activity creates and faces risk, how it is measured, and what evidence serves planners balancing use and protection.
Blue economy on the record.
Blue economy: how the risk develops.
Development, access and ecological safeguards. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.
Uses compete for space
Shipping lanes, fishing grounds, wind farms, cables, aquaculture and protected areas overlap. Marine spatial planning allocates space to reduce conflict and cumulative harm.
Growth depends on ecosystem health
Tourism, fisheries and coastal protection rely on healthy reefs, beaches and stocks. Activity that degrades them undermines its own base.
Climate change reshapes value
Warming, sea-level rise and storms alter where fish are, damage coastal tourism assets and change risks for offshore installations.
Governance spans many jurisdictions
Activities fall under national, regional and international rules, from territorial seas to the high seas and the seabed beyond national jurisdiction.
Ocean state in Pacific Island states.
Marine heat, chlorophyll and sea temperature over Pacific Island states, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 3
Ocean state, for this page
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed
- Source
- GHRSST MUR25 (NASA JPL PO.DAAC)
- Provider
- NASA JPL PO.DAAC
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite analysis
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-12
- Resolution
- about 2 km grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite analysis of how far sea temperature departs from its usual value for the date shown; a marine heat indicator, not a coral bleaching alert.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed (clouds and sun glint leave gaps)
- Source
- MODIS Aqua ocean colour (NASA OB.DAAC)
- Provider
- NASA OB.DAAC
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite retrieval; clouds and sun glint leave gaps
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-13
- Resolution
- about 1 km grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite estimate of chlorophyll-a near the sea surface on the day shown, an indicator of plankton and ocean productivity; not a measure of fish stocks or harmful blooms.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed
- Source
- GHRSST MUR (NASA JPL PO.DAAC)
- Provider
- NASA JPL PO.DAAC
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite analysis
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-12
- Resolution
- about 1 km grid
- Uncertainty
- Gap-filled satellite analysis of sea surface temperature for the date shown; not a reef or species condition report.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed
- Source
- VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance (NASA LANCE)
- Provider
- NASA LANCE
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite image
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-14
- Resolution
- about 250 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite image. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
- Source
- MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
- Provider
- NASA LP DAAC
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
- Newest at build
- 2024-01-01
- Resolution
- about 500 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed
- Source
- VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2) (NASA LAADS DAAC)
- Provider
- NASA LAADS DAAC
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite radiance, corrected for moonlight and atmosphere
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-12
- Resolution
- about 500 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite night-time radiance for the date shown; lights are a proxy for electricity use and outages, not a measurement of supply or access.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
Keyboard, with the map focused
Hold Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll to zoom
Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
Ocean state, framed on Pacific Island states.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.
Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA PACE OCI · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERTSources and licences
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- GHRSST Level 4 MUR analyses, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory; distributed by the NASA Physical Oceanography DAAC (PO.DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- MODIS Aqua ocean colour, NASA Ocean Biology Processing Group; distributed by the NASA Ocean Biology DAAC (OB.DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
- Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
- © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
- Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
- Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
- Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
- Observed (EO): NASA PACE OCI. We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
- Optional layers (10 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.
Layers and dates
- Sea surface temperature anomaly: GHRSST MUR25, NASA JPL PO.DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
- Ocean chlorophyll-a concentration: MODIS Aqua ocean colour, NASA OB.DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
- Sea surface temperature: GHRSST MUR, NASA JPL PO.DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
- True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
- Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
- Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
A blue economy depends on healthy oceans and coasts.
- FoodCouplingFisheries and aquaculture are blue food sources.What to watchAquaculture growth and its impacts
- EnergyCouplingOffshore wind and marine energy use ocean space.What to watchMarine spatial planning
- BiodiversityCouplingTourism and fisheries depend on ecosystem health.What to watchEcosystem condition
Blue economy analyses are designed for the Global Sector Risk and Resilience series. The UN Decade of Ocean Science (2021 to 2030) frames research priorities; the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) advises on no investment.
- Marine spatial plans and their evaluations.
- Ocean accounts where countries compile them.
Model blue economy as a system. Run the cascade.
Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Oceans and coasts risk standards: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.
Hazards
- Sea-level rise
- Storm surge
- Coastal erosion
- Heatwave
- Ocean acidification
- Harmful algal bloom
- Extreme fire weather (set off downstream)
- Wildfire (set off downstream)
- Heat-driven grid stress (set off downstream)
- Agricultural drought (set off downstream)
- Flash drought (set off downstream)
- Snow drought (set off downstream)
- Ground-level ozone episode (set off downstream)
- Meteorological drought (set off downstream)
- River flood (set off downstream)
- Coastal flood (set off downstream)
- Estuary flood (set off downstream)
- Mass displacement (set off downstream)
Systems and couplings
- Oceans and coasts risk standards
- Supply chain and trade risk Cascade
- Food and agriculture risk standards Cascade
- Climate risk standards Common driver and feedback
- Cities and urban systems risk standards Exposure
Controls
NS-0Constitution and principlesNS-1The UNI and the artefact catalogue (grammar v0.2: domain, sector, region and environment segments)NS-3Risk record UNIs (grammar, legacy crosswalk, allocation authority)NS-3bDataset and product metadata profile (STAC, DCAT, PROV-O)NS-5Figure, map and visualisation standard (with the UI/UX kit)NS-9Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)NS-11Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)NRS-X3Oceans and coasts riskNRS-H11Hazard family: Coastal and sea-level hazards (NHS-1 water.coastal)NRS-H79Hazard family: Mental health crises (NHS-1 health.mental)NRS-H12Hazard family: Ocean-state extremes (NHS-1 water.ocean-state)NRS-H67Hazard family: Ocean circulation and marine tipping (NHS-1 planet.ocean-tipping)NRS-K18Domain pack profile: Oceans coastal (DOMAIN-018)
Observation
- Copernicus Marine Service ocean products (listed for reference)
- Coral Reef Watch daily 5 km heat stress products (listed for reference)
- PSMSL tide gauge mean sea level records (listed for reference)
- GEBCO global bathymetric grid (listed for reference)
- Argo float profiles (listed for reference)
- Average marine acidity (pH) measured at agreed suite of representative sampling stations
- Index of coastal eutrophication and floating plastic debris density
- Direct economic loss attributed to disasters in relation to GDP, including damage to critical infrastructure
Example geography
- Pacific Island states: 150 hexagonal cells
- Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
- Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
- Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
- Surface air temperature, daytime (AIRS), NASA GIBS
What is measured, and how well.
Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.
| Indicator | Unit | Cadence | Source type | Label |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean economy gross value added | currency units by sector | annual | Ocean economy satellite accounts | ESTIMATED |
| Marine spatial plans adopted | count of national or regional plans | per assessment | IOC marine spatial planning records | REPORTED |
| Offshore wind capacity | megawatts | annual | Energy statistics | Published statistics |
| Coastal tourism arrivals | visitor arrivals | annual | Tourism statistics | Published statistics |
| Sustainable fisheries as a share of GDP | percent | annual | SDG indicator 14.7.1 | ESTIMATED |
| Ocean area under spatial management | percent of national waters | per assessment | Planning records | REPORTED |
How blue economy is modelled, measured and tested.
The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.
Earth observation chain
How a satellite or sensor record becomes evidence on blue economy, and where each step adds uncertainty.
- 01 · Acquireorbit, sensor and revisitUncertainty: gaps from cloud and orbit
- 02 · Calibrateradiometric and geometricUncertainty: sensor drift
- 03 · Correctatmosphere and terrainUncertainty: aerosol and slope assumptions
- 04 · Retrieve or classifythe variable or the classUncertainty: model and training error
- 05 · Validateagainst ground truthUncertainty: sample design and size
- 06 · Publishwith error bars and lineageUncertainty: stated, never hidden
Where the evidence comes from.
Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.
| Source | What it gives | Licence class |
|---|---|---|
| OECD Ocean Economy database and outlooks | Ocean economy value and employment by sector | Public, OECD terms |
| IOC-UNESCO marine spatial planning resources | Status and guidance of marine spatial planning | Public, UNESCO terms |
| UN Statistics SEEA Ocean accounting resources | Methods for ocean economic and ecosystem accounts | Public, UN terms of use |
| IRENA and national offshore energy statistics | Offshore renewable capacity | Public, terms per publisher |
| UN Tourism statistics | International tourism data | Licence to check |
Who decides, and what the evidence serves.
Oceans and Coasts prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.
| Who decides | The question | Evidence this page serves |
|---|---|---|
| Marine planning authorities | How to allocate ocean space between uses and protection | Use-conflict maps; cumulative impacts |
| Ministries of economy and environment | Which ocean sectors to develop and under what conditions | Ocean economy profiles |
| Statistics offices | How to build ocean accounts | SEEA methods and data inventories |
Outputs this topic produces
- Use-conflict maps for marine spatial planning
- Ocean economy profiles with ecosystem dependence stated
- Cumulative impact assessments of overlapping uses
- Evidence notes for ocean accounts
The questions experts ask.
- Which ocean uses are compatible in the same space, and which conflict?
- What are the cumulative effects of several activities on one ecosystem?
- Who gains access to marine resources and who loses it as new activities expand?
- Which ecological thresholds should development stay within?
- How do climate change and hazards affect the viability of ocean industries?
Development, access and safeguards.
Ocean industries compete for space and resources. Offshore wind, aquaculture, shipping lanes, protected areas and fishing grounds overlap, and each changes the conditions for the others. Cumulative effects, such as noise, habitat disturbance, pollution and changes to sediment flow, can exceed what any single project assessment considers. Emerging activities, including deep-sea mining, raise questions about ecosystems that are barely studied.
Access is a social question as much as an ecological one. Allocation of marine space can displace small-scale fishers and Indigenous users who lack formal tenure. Benefits may flow far from the coast while costs stay local. Climate change affects ocean industries directly, through storms, heat and shifting stocks, so the same hazards studied elsewhere on this platform shape the long-term viability of blue economy activities.
Finance shapes which activities expand. Investment and insurance decisions about ports, aquaculture and offshore energy depend on how ocean risk is understood, which is why the evidence has to be transparent about uncertainty and about the ecological limits that activities rely on.
Spatial planning and assessment.
Marine spatial analysis
Mapping of uses, habitats and conflicts supports marine spatial planning; data on informal uses are often missing.
Cumulative effects assessment
Combining pressures on shared ecosystems; interaction effects are poorly known.
Distributional analysis
Who benefits and who bears costs; requires participation of affected users.
Limits: ecosystem valuation can obscure values that are not priced, and baseline data for emerging industries are thin. Evidence describes trade-offs; it does not settle them.
How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.
- 01Geospatial information systemsCoastal exposure mapping · Marine spatial planning layers · Fishing effort mappingApplied here
- 02Ecology and biodiversity scienceReef condition monitoring · Stock assessment inputs · Restoration monitoringApplied here
- 03Ocean and coastal scienceRegional sea-level budgets · Marine heatwave analysis · Wave climate assessmentApplied here
- 04Water and environmental engineeringCoastal defence options · Coastal wastewater planning · Adaptation pathwaysApplied here
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
What is the blue economy?
What is marine spatial planning?
What are ocean accounts?
Does the platform promote particular ocean industries?
Can development and conservation coexist?
Does this topic cover deep-sea mining?
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