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Industrial cyber resilience

Factories and process plants depend on operational technology that was designed for reliability, not security, and is now connected to business networks and suppliers. Ransomware and targeted attacks can stop production, damage equipment or create safety hazards. This page sets out how cyber threats affect industrial operations, how resilience is built and measured, and what evidence serves the operators and regulators involved.

02The question

Industrial cyber resilience: how the risk develops.

OT/ICS and connected factories. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Connectivity widens exposure

Remote access, cloud services and integration with suppliers connect control systems to networks attackers can reach.

Mechanism

IT incidents stop production

Ransomware on business systems often halts production because scheduling, logistics and quality systems are unavailable, even if controls are untouched.

Mechanism

Safety and security intersect

Attacks on safety instrumented systems or controls could create hazardous conditions, so security must be part of safety engineering.

Mechanism

Recovery needs manual fallback

Plants that can run or shut down safely without their digital systems recover faster and more safely.

03Geography

Connected activity in Germany.

Night lights, population density and true-colour imagery over Germany, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Connected activity, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Connected activity, framed on Germany. Layers as NASA publishes them, each with its own date.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA HLS S30Sources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Observed (EO): NASA HLS S30 (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (5 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Enhanced vegetation index, rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra EVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026

04Across the Nexus

Industrial control systems connect cyber risk to physical domains.

05Simulator

A cascade through interdependent networks.

A hazard footprint takes out co-located assets in every layer; fragmentation, dependency between layers and overload of the survivors then spread the failure. The 3D view separates the layers by depth. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction. The map on this page shows Germany; the model itself is not tied to a place.

Controls

Assets per layer
18
Hazard footprint
8 % of area
Assets that depend on another layer
60 %
Spare capacity (tolerance)
30 %

Readouts

Assets hit by the hazard
15 %
Assets still working
26 %
Amplification of the initial damage
5.0 times
Steps to settle
4
Numbers, methods and sources
StepData centres working (%)Networks working (%)Power working (%)
0949467
1945650
2832222
3442222
4441717

Methods

  1. Interdependent networks Buldyrev and others (2010), Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks, Nature 464
  2. Overload cascades Motter and Lai (2002), Physical Review E 66
  3. Betweenness load Brandes (2001), Journal of Mathematical Sociology 25
  4. Multilayer networks Kivela and others (2014), Journal of Complex Networks 2
  5. Infrastructure interdependencies Rinaldi, Peerenboom and Kelly (2001), IEEE Control Systems 21(6)
  6. Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualizing uncertainty about the future, Science 333
  7. One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley

Data

The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page's map can draw:

  • Major roads Natural Earth
  • Railways Natural Earth
  • Seaports Natural Earth
  • Airports Natural Earth
  • Urban extents Natural Earth
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band) NASA/NOAA VIIRS (Suomi NPP) · register nasa.gibs.context-live-layers
  • Natural events (NASA EONET) NASA EONET · register nasa.eonet.events
06Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Industrial cyber incidents reportedcount by sectorannualAgency incident reportingPublished statistics
Production days lost to cyber incidentsdaysper incidentIncident recordsOBSERVED
ICS vulnerability advisoriescountmonthlyNational advisoriesPublished statistics
Sites with IT and OT segmentationpercent of sitesper assessmentOperator assessmentsDECLARED
Sites with tested manual fallbackpercent of sitesper assessmentExercise recordsREPORTED
Remote access connections to OTcountper assessmentNetwork inventoriesOBSERVED
07Twin and cascade simulator

Model industrial cyber resilience as a system. Run the cascade.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Cyber and digital resilience law alignment: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification.

Hazards

  • Dam failure
  • Sea-ice loss
  • Coastal erosion (set off downstream)
  • River flood (set off downstream)
  • Flash flood (set off downstream)
  • Mass displacement (set off downstream)
  • Biodiversity loss (set off downstream)
  • Widespread power outage (set off downstream)
  • Water supply shortfall (set off downstream)
  • Arctic winter sea-ice collapse (set off downstream)
  • Polar vortex disruption (set off downstream)

Controls

  • NS-10 Policies and clauses (machine-readable obligations: definition, binding, evaluation and enforcement)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NRS-X6 Cyber and digital security risk
  • NRS-H93 Hazard family: Identity, trust and cryptographic failure (NHS-1 cyber.identity)
  • NRS-K31 Domain pack profile: Cyber national resilience (DOMAIN-031)
  • NRS-H54 Hazard family: Signal and platform disruption (NHS-1 cyber.platform)
  • NRS-H86 Hazard family: Telecom and data-centre failure (NHS-1 infra.digital)
  • NRS-H94 Hazard family: Systemic cyber events (NHS-1 cyber.systemic-cyber)

Observation

  • NIST National Vulnerability Database APIs (listed for reference)
  • CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalogue (listed for reference)
  • EUR-Lex Cellar (EU legal acts and delegated acts) (listed for reference)
  • Cybersecurity Supply Chain Risk Management
  • Legal measures pillar of the Global Cybersecurity Index

Example geography

  • North America: 243 H3 hexagons at resolution 2
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
  • Vegetation disturbance alerts, 30 m (OPERA DIST-ALERT), NASA GIBS
08Canvas

From sources to decisions.

The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.

Pipeline canvas · Industrial cyber resilience as a run graphDesign, not a record
Industrial cyber resilience: incident response across CSF 2.0 functionsAn adverse event is detected and triaged; response analyses, contains and communicates; recovery restores services from clean backups; improvement and governance close the loop with lessons and reporting. Design of the process, not a record of a run.

Fig. 02Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.

09Methods and evidence

How industrial cyber resilience is modelled, measured and tested.

The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.

System model

The couplings between the systems in industrial cyber resilience: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.

++−++IndustryWorkTradeCommunitiesEconomyR reinforcingB balancing
Causal loop diagram from the page's systems; signs show the direction of influence. Illustrative structure for a system dynamics or network model, not estimated couplings.
FAIR guiding principles · GO FAIR and FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumGuidance on consistent treatment of uncertainties · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
10Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
CISA industrial control systems advisoriesVulnerabilities and mitigations in control productsPublic domain, US government
ENISA reports on industrial and OT securityThreat and good practice analysisPublic, ENISA terms
IEC 62443 seriesIndustrial automation security requirementsLicensed standards, purchase required
Joint agency advisories on threats to operational technologyActor behaviour and mitigationsPublic, terms per agency
Published incident reviews from manufacturersEffects and recovery after incidentsPublic records, terms per publisher
11Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Advanced Industry and Robotics prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Plant operatorsHow to segment, monitor and keep manual fallbackSecurity reviews; dependency maps
Industrial and safety regulatorsWhat OT security to requireIncident and advisory evidence
Suppliers and integratorsHow to secure remote access and productsRemote access evidence

Outputs this topic produces

  • OT security reviews against IEC 62443
  • Production continuity and recovery exercise designs
  • Remote access and dependency maps
  • Evidence notes for industrial regulators
12Core questions

What experts ask.

  1. 01

    How do attacks reach control systems?

    Pathways through business networks, remote access, suppliers and removable media.

  2. 02

    What are the consequences?

    Production loss, equipment damage, safety system interference and environmental release.

  3. 03

    Why is OT different from IT?

    Long equipment lifetimes, real-time constraints and safety priorities that limit patching and monitoring.

  4. 04

    How do plants recover?

    Manual operation, segmentation, backups and restoration of trusted configurations.

13Mechanisms

What drives the risk.

Industrial control systems were designed for reliability, not security. Many run legacy software that cannot easily be updated, and some protocols lack authentication. Connectivity for efficiency and remote support has widened the attack surface.

Ransomware on business systems often forces plants to stop production even when control systems are untouched, because scheduling, logistics or safety documentation depend on IT. This coupling is a frequent cause of industrial disruption.

Targeted attacks on control and safety systems are rarer but serious, because they can cause physical damage. Defence in depth, network segmentation and independent safety systems limit consequences.

Supply chains extend risk. Compromised vendor software, integrators and shared platforms can affect many sites at once.

Resilience depends on people as much as technology. Plants that can run key processes manually, keep trusted offline backups and rehearse recovery with operators and engineers together restore operations faster than those relying on technical controls alone.

14Methods and limits

How evidence is gathered, and where it stops.

Method or dataWhat it showsIts limit
Network architecture reviewSegmentation and access pathsDocumentation often lags reality
Consequence-driven analysisWorst credible physical outcomesRequires joint safety and security expertise
Incident reportsPatterns in industrial cyber eventsUnder-reporting and confidentiality
ExercisesRecovery capabilityExercises simplify real attacks
15Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Systems engineeringIntegrated safety and security requirements · Factory and site acceptance testingApplied here
  2. Sensors, IoT and observation networksCondition monitoring · In-line quality inspection · Securing connected sensorsApplied here
  3. Process and industrial safety engineeringHazard and operability studies · Layer of protection analysis · Management of changeApplied here
16Sources

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

17Questions

Questions and answers.

Why do cyber attacks stop factories?
Because production depends on business systems for scheduling, logistics and quality, and on control systems, so disrupting either can halt operations.
What is IEC 62443?
A series of standards for securing industrial automation and control systems, covering policies, systems and components.
What is manual fallback?
The ability to run or safely shut down a process without its digital control or business systems.
Does the platform publish vulnerabilities?
No. It does not disclose vulnerabilities. Security reports go to security@therisk.global.
Why not simply patch control systems?
Patching can require shutdowns, invalidate safety qualifications or break vendor support, so it is planned carefully and combined with other controls.
Does the platform assess a company's security?
No. It publishes research and methods and assesses no organization.
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