GCRI · Advanced Industry and Robotics
Technology adoption
New production technologies spread unevenly: large firms and leading regions adopt early, while small and medium enterprises lag because of cost, skills, finance and uncertainty. The gap shapes productivity, competitiveness and resilience. This page sets out how industrial firms adopt technology, what holds them back, how diffusion is measured, and what evidence serves the agencies and programmes that support adoption.
Technology adoption on the record.
Technology adoption: how the risk develops.
Skills, productivity and inclusion. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.
Upfront costs deter small firms
Equipment, integration and training costs come before benefits. Small firms with limited finance and short horizons delay investment.
Skills and management matter
Firms need managers who can plan and staff who can use new technology. Management practices are a strong predictor of adoption.
Intermediaries reduce risk
Technology centres, demonstration facilities and advisory services let firms test technology before buying it, reducing uncertainty and risk.
Supply chains pull adoption
Large customers often require suppliers to adopt standards and technologies, spreading them along supply chains.
Infrastructure exposure in Germany.
Night lights, population density and flood water over Germany, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 3
Infrastructure exposure, for this page
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed
- Source
- VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2) (NASA LAADS DAAC)
- Provider
- NASA LAADS DAAC
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite radiance, corrected for moonlight and atmosphere
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-12
- Resolution
- about 500 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite night-time radiance for the date shown; lights are a proxy for electricity use and outages, not a measurement of supply or access.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Estimated
- Source
- Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University))
- Provider
- NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University)
- Licence
- CC BY 4.0
- Vintage
- null; Census-based estimate, static (2020)
- Resolution
- about 1 km grid
- Uncertainty
- Census-based estimate of people per square kilometre in 2020, shown as exposure context; not a count of people affected by any hazard.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed (clouds leave gaps)
- Source
- VIIRS Global Flood Product (NASA LANCE)
- Provider
- NASA LANCE
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite detection; clouds leave gaps
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-14
- Resolution
- about 250 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite detection; clouds leave gaps. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed
- Source
- VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance (NASA LANCE)
- Provider
- NASA LANCE
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite image
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-14
- Resolution
- about 250 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite image. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
- Source
- MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
- Provider
- NASA LP DAAC
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
- Newest at build
- 2024-01-01
- Resolution
- about 500 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
- Evidence
- Observed (clouds and overpass timing leave gaps)
- Source
- VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS) (NASA LANCE FIRMS)
- Provider
- NASA LANCE FIRMS
- Licence
- NASA open data
- Vintage
- daily; Satellite detection; clouds and overpass timing leave gaps
- Newest at build
- 2026-10-13
- Resolution
- about 500 m grid
- Uncertainty
- Satellite hot-spot detections for the day shown, including gas flares and industrial heat; not a confirmed fire, an incident report or a warning.
- Reached through
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
Keyboard, with the map focused
Hold Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll to zoom
Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
Infrastructure exposure, framed on Germany.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.
Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · U.S. Geological Survey · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERTSources and licences
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
- VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
- Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
- © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
- Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
- Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
- Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
- Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
- Live: U.S. Geological Survey Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
- Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- River discharge forecast, 30 days with range (GloFAS via Open-Meteo): Contains modified Copernicus Emergency Management Service information 2026; not a flood warning.
- Weather data by Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
- Optional layers (12 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.
Layers and dates
- Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
- Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
- Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
- True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
- Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
- Active fires and thermal anomalies: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026
Adoption decides whether technology helps any domain.
Adoption studies are designed for the Evidence Brief series. Innovation is measured under the Oslo Manual (2018).
- Adoption surveys.
- Evaluations including failures.
Energy and circularity board.
The screen a team would use to follow this subject: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.
Energy and circularity board
Technology adoption · Industrial park A · Year 2
Material flows
- Recycled
- Recovered
- Landfill
Targets
What is measured, and how well.
Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.
| Indicator | Unit | Cadence | Source type | Label |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adoption of advanced technologies by firm size | percent of firms | per survey | Business surveys | REPORTED |
| Management practice scores | score | per survey | Management surveys | ESTIMATED |
| Firms using technology extension services | count | annual | Programme records | REPORTED |
| Productivity gap between leading and lagging firms | ratio | annual | Firm-level productivity data | ESTIMATED |
| Public support for technology adoption | currency units | annual | Programme budgets | Published statistics |
| Business investment in machinery and equipment | share of GDP | annual | National accounts | Published statistics |
Model technology adoption as a system. Run the cascade.
Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Industry and manufacturing: the hazards it names, the systems and sectors that carry the loss, the controls that dampen it and the data that observe it. Choose the components, pick an initiating hazard and step through the cascade. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every coupling weight is a stated assumption you can change. A teaching model, not a forecast, an assessment or a certification. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.
Hazards
- Natech event
- Dam failure
- River flood (set off downstream)
- Flash flood (set off downstream)
- Mass displacement (set off downstream)
- Chemical spill or leak (set off downstream)
- Emergency-response overload (set off downstream)
- Widespread power outage (set off downstream)
- Water supply shortfall (set off downstream)
- Toxic gas release (set off downstream)
- Industrial fire (set off downstream)
Systems and couplings
Controls
NS-0Constitution and principlesNS-9Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)NS-11Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)NS-12Software, model and AI/ML artefacts (supply chain, model cards, dataset sheets)NRS-H60Hazard family: Supply-chain and flow disruption (NHS-1 sys.supply-chain)NRS-H50Hazard family: Industrial and process accidents (NHS-1 infra.industrial)NRS-H109Hazard family: Energy-transition technology failures (NHS-1 tech.energy-transition)NRS-X10Chemical, industrial, nuclear and radiological safetyNRS-H54Hazard family: Signal and platform disruption (NHS-1 cyber.platform)NRS-K14Domain pack profile: Manufacturing industrial (DOMAIN-014)
Observation
- eMARS Major Accident Reporting System (listed for reference)
- World Development Indicators (listed for reference)
- ILOSTAT (listed for reference)
- Manufacturing value added as a proportion of GDP and per capita
- CO2 emission per unit of value added
- Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP)
- Direct economic loss to all other damaged or destroyed productive assets attributed to disasters
Example geography
- The Strait of Malacca: 227 hexagonal cells
- Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
- Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
- Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
- Surface soil moisture (SMAP), NASA GIBS
Where the evidence comes from.
Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.
| Source | What it gives | Licence class |
|---|---|---|
| OECD studies on technology diffusion and productivity | Evidence on adoption gaps and policies | Public, OECD terms |
| World Management Survey | Management practice scores across firms and countries | Public, terms to check |
| World Bank Enterprise Surveys and Firm-level Adoption of Technology survey | Technology use by firms in many countries | Free with registration, World Bank terms |
| Eurostat enterprise technology statistics | Adoption by firm size | Open, Eurostat reuse policy |
| Evaluations of manufacturing extension programmes | Effects of adoption support | Licence per publication |
How technology adoption is modelled, measured and tested.
The model, its assumptions, its data and its uncertainty, in the form a scientist or engineer would check. Structures follow published methods. The values drawn are illustrative, not findings.
System model
The couplings between the systems in technology adoption: signs of influence, a reinforcing and a balancing loop, and cross-links where stress jumps.
Who decides, and what the evidence serves.
Advanced Industry and Robotics prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.
| Who decides | The question | Evidence this page serves |
|---|---|---|
| Industry ministries and development agencies | How to design adoption support | Gap profiles; evaluation evidence |
| Technology centres | Which services to offer and to whom | Barrier analyses |
| Firms and associations | How to plan technology investment | Adoption and productivity evidence |
Outputs this topic produces
- Adoption gap profiles by firm size and region
- Evaluation designs for adoption support programmes
- Management and skills barrier analyses
- Evidence notes for industrial policy
What experts ask.
- 01
Who adopts, and why?
How firm size, sector, finance, skills and management affect uptake.
- 02
Does adoption raise productivity?
Why gains often lag adoption and depend on complementary investments.
- 03
Who gains and who loses?
Effects on wages, employment and regional economies.
- 04
How can adoption be safe?
How small firms manage safety and cyber risk with limited expertise.
What drives the risk.
Productivity gains from new technology often lag adoption because firms must reorganise processes, retrain staff and accumulate experience. Complementary investments in skills, data and management matter as much as the equipment, and firms that buy technology without them often see little benefit and sometimes new failure modes.
Small and medium manufacturers face barriers: upfront cost, lack of in-house expertise and uncertainty about returns. When they lag, supply chains become uneven and gaps between leading and lagging firms widen.
Labour market effects vary. Automation can displace routine tasks while creating demand for technical and maintenance skills. Outcomes depend on training, mobility and social protection.
Rapid adoption by firms without safety expertise can introduce hazards. Integration support, shared guidance and training help smaller firms adopt safely.
Geography matters. Adoption clusters where skills, suppliers, research institutions and finance are close together, so regions without them risk falling further behind unless institutions deliberately spread capability.
How evidence is gathered, and where it stops.
| Method or data | What it shows | Its limit |
|---|---|---|
| Firm surveys | Adoption rates and barriers | Response bias toward larger firms |
| Productivity statistics | Output per worker over time | Hard to attribute to technology |
| Labour market data | Employment and wage effects | Many confounding factors |
| Case studies | How adoption unfolds in practice | Limited generalisability |
How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.
- 01Optimisation and operations researchProduction scheduling · Energy-aware operations · Buffer and spare sizingApplied here
- 02Systems engineeringIntegrated safety and security requirements · Factory and site acceptance testingApplied here
- 03Robotics and automationRobot cell risk assessment · Vision-guided handling · Collaborative workstation designApplied here
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
Why do small firms adopt technology more slowly?
What is a technology extension service?
Does technology adoption raise productivity?
Does automation destroy jobs?
Does the platform recommend technologies to firms?
Why focus on small firms?
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