GCRI · Climate and Hazards
Research and evidence
The research behind Climate and Hazards: the questions it asks, the models and measurements it uses, how uncertainty is stated and how a result is reviewed and reproduced before it is published.
The order things happen in.
- 01Draftsources cited, labels attached
- 02Evidence checkevery value traced
- 03Independent reviewconflicts declared
- 04Editionpublished with its limits
- 05Correctiona new version, never a silent edit
What the research asks.
- 01
Climate baselines
Historical trends and reference periods.
- 02
Heat and drought
Compound heat and hydrologic stress.
- 03
Flood and storm
Extreme precipitation, coastal storm and flooding.
- 04
Wildfire and land
Fire weather, fuels and landscapes.
- 05
Earthquakes and geohazards
Earthquakes, volcanoes and related hazards.
- 06
Compound hazards
Multiple and cascading events.
What hazard research cannot yet answer well enough for decisions.
Hazard science has to answer questions at the scales decisions are made: a city’s heat, a basin’s floods, a region’s fire season, combined in the way they actually occur.
- How should compound hazards (heat with drought, surge with rainfall) be represented in risk assessments? See compound hazards.
- What reference period should baselines use when the climate is changing? See climate baselines.
- How reliable are regional projections of extremes for planning decisions? See climate projections.
- Where do wildfire regimes shift fastest, and why? See wildfire and land.
- How should geophysical and climate hazards be combined in multi-hazard assessment? See earthquakes and geohazards.
Every result keeps its label.
Results are labelled as observed, published statistics, estimated, modelled, forecast, scenario or expert judgement. Missing data is shown as missing, never filled silently.
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Pages in Research and evidence.
Questions and answers.
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Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
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