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Innovation and technological change

Technologies now converge faster than institutions can evaluate them. Artificial intelligence meets biotechnology, computing meets the power grid, satellites meet insurance. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) studies why this convergence creates new capability and new exposure at the same time, and how countries can assess, test and adopt technology on evidence rather than promise. This section covers converging technologies, a frontier technology guide, responsible technology, science for development and technology assessment.

Institution
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Service level
R0: information and enquiries

Innovation pipeline

GCRI · Stage gates

Gate review in 7 dGCRI · GCRI

By readiness level

TRL 2 to 301
Report edition planningconcept tested
TRL 4 to 502
Country programme formationlab validation
Methods review cyclelab validation
TRL 6 to 701
Annual mission designpilot with owner
Adoption review01
National Model buildowner decides

Readiness criteria

pilot vs gate

Evidence of effect66 · req 70Safeguards95 · req 80Operating cost known46 · req 60Owner commitment49 · req 75

Pilot issues

  1. I-1Data licence for pilot siteTo check1 d
  2. I-2Observer protocol signedDone6 d

GCRI · Innovation pipelineInnovation pipeline, in outline: domain structure with placeholder names and illustrative values, not a record.

01In brief

The short answer.

Innovation and technological change, at GCRI, is the study of why converging technologies create new capability and new exposure at the same time, and how countries can assess, test and adopt technology on evidence rather than promise. The section covers converging technologies, a frontier technology guide, responsible technology, technology assessment and science for development.

02Canvas

Draft to published version.

Canvas · draft to published versionDesign, not a record
Innovation and technological change: an innovation through readiness gatesAn idea is tested as a concept, validated in the lab, piloted with an owner under safeguards and reviewed for adoption; each gate asks for evidence of effect, safety and cost before the next stage. Design of the process, not a record of a run.

Fig.How a finding is reviewed before it is published. Design, not a record.

03Geography

Systemic exposure in West Africa.

Where people and networks concentrate, the exposure through which shocks travel between systems, shown for West Africa as an example geography for this subject.

Where people and networks concentrate, the exposure through which shocks travel between systems.Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.
GCRI · institution · fieldDESIGN FIGURE
04Two sides

The same technology can strengthen a system and expose it.

Opportunity

Capability and productivity

Better forecasting, earlier detection, resilient design, new industries and public services that reach more people.

Exposure

Dependence and new failure

Concentration on a few providers, software supply chains, energy and water demand, misuse and failures that spread through shared platforms.

Institutions

The capacity to decide

Ministries, regulators and operators need evidence on readiness and limits before they adopt, procure or govern a technology.

05What GCRI does

From claims about technology to evidence about it.

  1. 01

    Explain

    Plain descriptions of what a technology does, its maturity and its dependencies, in the frontier technology guide.

  2. 02

    Assess

    Readiness, validation and capability claims examined against stated evidence, described under technology assessment.

  3. 03

    Test

    Controlled experiments and testbeds through Nexus Labs, where results are recorded with their method and limits. Testing is not accreditation.

  4. 04

    Apply

    Technology linked to productive capacity, health and public services, under science for economic and social development.

06Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Technology convergenceThe combination of advances from several technology fields into new capabilities, such as AI with biotechnology or sensors with networks, whose risks are often greater than those of any part.
Technology readiness levelA scale from basic principles to proven operation that describes how mature a technology is.
Responsible innovationAnticipating and governing the effects of new technology together with society.
Frontier technologyA new technology with the potential for wide economic and social change, such as artificial intelligence, synthetic biology or quantum computing, as UNCTAD's Technology and Innovation Reports use the term.
07Across the programme

Governance and finance perspectives sit with the other pillars.

Principles for safe and rights-respecting use are on responsible technology. How institutions govern digital systems and AI is examined by The Global Risks Forum (GRF) under digital and AI governance, and what technology change means for financial institutions is examined by The Global Risks Alliance (GRA) under financial technology and transformation.

GCRI does not endorse products or vendors, and no assessment is a certification or an approval for use.

09Questions

Questions and answers.

Does GCRI build technology?
GCRI's development work centres on the shared Nexus Foundry environment, reproducible tools and testbeds. Its innovation pages explain and assess technologies more broadly, including ones GCRI does not build.
Can a company have its product assessed?
Technology and infrastructure providers can respond to testbed calls or offer resources through the Work with GCRI routes. Any evaluation follows a documented plan, and testing is never presented as accreditation or endorsement.
Which technologies are covered?
The frontier technology guide covers artificial intelligence, quantum, biotechnology, space and Earth observation, robotics and computing, linked to the specialist platforms in development for each field.
How does this relate to the Nexus Reports programme?
Reviewed findings on technology can be published through Nexus Reports, including the Exponential Technology series, with methods, sources and corrections. A planned report is not shown as released.
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

Start with an enquiry.

The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

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