Skip to content

GCRI · Agency

Decision analysis for technical assistance

Decision analysis structures the choices technical assistance raises: which expert to engage, which engagement type fits, whether a declared conflict can be mitigated, whether to deploy to a field site, and whether to continue, rescope or close. It makes criteria, weights, uncertainty and value judgements explicit so that the holder of the decision can examine them.

Pirsek bike Back to STEM foundation of Agency
01Qeyd

Decision analysis for technical assistance on the record.

Method recordSTEM method
  1. RêbazAnalîza biryarê di bin nediyarî de
  3. Applied inAgency
  6. Canonical pageSTEM Commons
02Application

What decision analysis under uncertainty does here.

Decision analysis under uncertainty provides structured methods for choosing among options when outcomes are uncertain and objectives conflict. It makes trade-offs and value judgements explicit. In governance and institutions and development finance, decision analysis helps choose actions that perform acceptably across interconnected risks and uncertain futures. It clarifies when to act now and when to keep options open. The canonical description is on STEM Commons.

Multi-criteria assessment of expert fit

Competence, context experience, language, availability and independence are scored against criteria set before profiles are seen. Weights are disclosed, evidence labels are kept beside each score, and sensitivity to the weights is reported.

Value of information before deployment

Before a field assignment, the decision holder asks whether a further security, health or access assessment would change the decision. Assessments that could change it are commissioned; those that could not are not.

Adaptive pathways for continuation

Programmes set signposts and triggers in advance, such as counterpart turnover or a failed diagnostic, that prompt a review to continue, rescope or close. Options that keep later choices open are identified early.

03Çavdêrî bike

Uncertainty analysis.

The screen a team would use to follow this method: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Uncertainty analysis

Agency · Decision analysis for technical · Run R-5933

Sensitivity rankedGCRI · Agency

Total-order sensitivity

Output distribution

Têketin

Requests receivedBetarequests, statedberhevkirina nêrînên pisporan
Teams formedUniformteams, statedberhevkirina nêrînên pisporan
Experts on rosterNormalexperts, statedberhevkirina nêrînên pisporan
Conflicts declaredBetadeclarations, statedberhevkirina nêrînên pisporan
Uncertainty analysis: the screen’s structure, terms and states for Agency.Nav û nirxên nimûneyî; sêwiran e, ne qeyd an pergaleke zindî ye.
04Dane

What the method consumes.

Datasets and records used by decision analysis under uncertainty on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in the source register.

DaneRolNîşan
Competence evidence with labelsScoring inputsREPORTED
Structured berhevkirina nêrînên pisporanProbabilities where records are absentTEXMÎNKIRÎ
Risk registers and incident recordsLikelihood and consequence inputsREPORTED
Cost estimates and budgetsConsequence of each optionTEXMÎNKIRÎ
Evaluation findingsRetrospective evidence on similar choicesStatîstîkên weşandî
05Rêbaz û delîl

How decision analysis for technical assistance is modelled, measured and tested.

Model, texmînên wî, daneyên wî û nediyariya wî, bi şeweyê ku zanyar an endezyar kontrol bike. Avahî rêbazên weşandî dişopînin. Nirxên hatine xêzkirin nimûneyî ne, ne encam in.

Daneset û çavkanî

The data classes behind decision analysis for technical assistance and what is recorded about each before it is used.

Çîna daneyêÇavkanî hatiye tomarkirinBiryar hatiye diyarkirinLîsans hatiye kontrolkirin
Wêneyên peykî, optîk û radarsensor, asta pêvajoyê, dîroka wergirtinêmezinahiya pîkselê û vegera çavdêriyêher dîmen
Vekolîna nû û derxistina modela avhewamodel, ceribandin, endam, guhertoyêtor û gava demêher weşan
Sensor û pîvanên cihê xwestasyon, amûr, tomara kalîbrasyonêxal û rêjeya nimûnegirtinêher tor
Rûbirûbûna nifûs û mal û milkanrêbaz, berhema salê, çavkaniyên têketinêmezinahiya şaneyê û yekeya wêher weşan
Sînor û erdnîgariya referansêhilberîner, çap, dîrokpîvanher çap
Xetên eslê daneyê
Qeyda W3C PROV ji çavkaniyê heta wêneyê
Prensîp
FAIR: dîtbar, gihîştbar, hevgirtî, ji nû ve bikaranîn
Valahî
wekî winda tê nîşandan, tu carî bi bêdengî nayê dagirtin
Çînên daneyê û qadên çavkaniyê yên ji bo her yekê têne tomarkirin; danehevek tenê bi nav tê lîstekirin dema ku lîsansa wê karanînê qebûl dike.
Prensîbên rêber ên FAIR · GO FAIR û FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web ConsortiumRêwerzên ji bo birêvebirina hevgirtî ya nediyarîyan · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
06Erêkirin

How results are checked.

Analyses are checked through sensitivity analysis, peer review and stakeholder scrutiny. Retrospective review compares decisions with outcomes.

Kontrol bikinHow it is done
Weight sensitivityRankings are recomputed across plausible weight sets; choices that flip are flagged for the decision holder
Evidence and preference kept apartScores record what the evidence shows; weights record what the decision holder values, and each is documented separately
Panel independenceEveryone scoring or eliciting declares interests, and conflicted members recuse from the affected choices
Retrospective reviewPast decisions are compared with outcomes to test whether criteria and probabilities were sound

Results depend on elicited probabilities and preferences that may be biased. Deep uncertainty can make expected value comparisons misleading.

07Pêvajo

Pêvajo çawa dimeşe.

Process explorer · Process

Decision analysis for technical assistance: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 qonax

Pêvajo

Decision analysis for technical assistance: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01MetirsîDataset · Agency coordinatorThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02RûbirûbûnDataset · Agency coordinatorThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03HesasîDataset · Agency coordinatorThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Agency coordinatorThe ability of pergalan, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.

  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · Agency coordinatorRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06LawazîComponent · Agency coordinatorThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07XetereModel · AgencyRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.

  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · Agency coordinatorRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09Xetera mayîRecord · Agency coordinatorThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.

  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Agency coordinatorThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

08Connections

Topics that rely on this method.

09Stewardship

Who maintains the method.

Rêveberiya xetera pergalî stewards decision analysis under uncertainty for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.

Canonical page: Decision analysis under uncertainty

10Girêdayî

Ev rûpel li ser Konsorsiyûmê te ber bi kû ve dibe.

11Pirs

Pirs û bersiv.

What are the limits of decision analysis under uncertainty in this field?
Results depend on elicited probabilities and preferences that may be biased. Deep uncertainty can make expected value comparisons misleading.
How are results checked?
Analyses are checked through sensitivity analysis, peer review and stakeholder scrutiny. Retrospective review compares decisions with outcomes.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Where else is this method applied?
Çavdêrxaneya canonical method page lists every platform that applies it.
rêzeya Pergalên StratejîkTevkarî bike

Ji vê rûpelê delîl bidin.

rêzeya Pergalên Stratejîk is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIAgencyPortfolyo û amadebûn

Tu carî daneyên şexsî, hûrgiliyên binesaza hesas an tiştekî ku mafê we yê parvekirinê tune ne neşînin. Beşdarî berî bikaranînê tê nirxandin; şandina wê nivîskarî an mafên edîtorî nade û sponsorî tu carî encamekê nakire.

Agency

Rêbazek, danehevek an pirsek bîne.

Agahî û pirs îro vekirî ne. Pirsek referansekê distîne û gava piştî wê dide nasîn; serlêdan, drav, veqetandina hesabkirinê û tomarkirin tenê dema ku tîm, mercên wê û kapasîteya vekolînê hebin vedibin.

Rêbazekê pêşniyar bike Hemû rêyên têkiliyê bibînin
Hiqûqî

Nexşe, dane û jimarên vê malperê ji bo çarçoveyê û agahiyên giştî têne nîşandan. Ew ne şîret, ne pêşbînî û ne hişyarî ne; sînorên agahiyê di Daxuyaniyên Berpirsiyariyê û Daxuyaniyên Daneyê de hatine diyarkirin.