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GCRI · Agency

Decision analysis for technical assistance

Decision analysis structures the choices technical assistance raises: which expert to engage, which engagement type fits, whether a declared conflict can be mitigated, whether to deploy to a field site, and whether to continue, rescope or close. It makes criteria, weights, uncertainty and value judgements explicit so that the holder of the decision can examine them.

پرسیارێک بنێرە Back to STEM foundation of Agency
01تۆمارکردن

Decision analysis for technical assistance on the record.

Method recordSTEM method
  1. ڕێگاشیکاری بڕیار لە ژێر نادڵنیاییدا
  3. Applied inAgency
  4. داتا5 inputs
  6. Canonical pageSTEM Commons
02Application

What decision analysis under uncertainty does here.

Decision analysis under uncertainty provides structured methods for choosing among options when outcomes are uncertain and objectives conflict. It makes trade-offs and value judgements explicit. In governance and institutions and development finance, decision analysis helps choose actions that perform acceptably across interconnected risks and uncertain futures. It clarifies when to act now and when to keep options open. The canonical description is on STEM Commons.

Multi-criteria assessment of expert fit

Competence, context experience, language, availability and independence are scored against criteria set before profiles are seen. Weights are disclosed, evidence labels are kept beside each score, and sensitivity to the weights is reported.

Value of information before deployment

Before a field assignment, the decision holder asks whether a further security, health or access assessment would change the decision. Assessments that could change it are commissioned; those that could not are not.

Adaptive pathways for continuation

Programmes set signposts and triggers in advance, such as counterpart turnover or a failed diagnostic, that prompt a review to continue, rescope or close. Options that keep later choices open are identified early.

03چاودێری

Uncertainty analysis.

The screen a team would use to follow this method: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Uncertainty analysis

Agency · Decision analysis for technical · Run R-5933

Sensitivity rankedGCRI · Agency

Total-order sensitivity

Output distribution

تێکردنەکان

Requests receivedBetarequests, statedدەرهێنانی ڕای شارەزا
Teams formedUniformteams, statedدەرهێنانی ڕای شارەزا
Experts on rosterئاساییexperts, statedدەرهێنانی ڕای شارەزا
Conflicts declaredBetadeclarations, statedدەرهێنانی ڕای شارەزا
Uncertainty analysis: the screen’s structure, terms and states for Agency.ناو و بەهای نموونەیی؛ دیزاینێکە، نەک تۆمار یان سیستەمی ڕاستەوخۆ.
04داتا

What the method consumes.

Datasets and records used by decision analysis under uncertainty on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in the source register.

داتاڕۆڵناونیشان
Competence evidence with labelsScoring inputsREPORTED
Structured دەرهێنانی ڕای شارەزاProbabilities where records are absentمەزەندەکراو
Risk registers and incident recordsLikelihood and consequence inputsREPORTED
Cost estimates and budgetsConsequence of each optionمەزەندەکراو
Evaluation findingsRetrospective evidence on similar choicesئامارە بڵاوکراوەکان
05ڕێگا و بەڵگە

How decision analysis for technical assistance is modelled, measured and tested.

مۆدێلەکە، گریمانەکانی، داتاکانی و نادڵنیاییەکەی، بەو شێوەیەی زانا یان ئەندازیارێک دەیپشکنێت. پێکهاتەکان ڕێگا بڵاوکراوەکان دەگرنەبەر. بەهاکانی کێشراو نموونەییە، نەک دۆزینەوە.

کۆمەڵە داتا و ڕەسەنایەتی

The data classes behind decision analysis for technical assistance and what is recorded about each before it is used.

پۆلی داتاڕەسەنایەتی تۆمارکراوەڕوونی ڕاگەیەندراومۆڵەت پشکنراوە
وێنەی ماهەوارە، ئۆپتیکی و ڕادارهەستەوەر، ئاستی پرۆسێسکردن، بەرواری بەدەستهێنانقەبارەی پیکسڵ و دووبارەسەردانبۆ هەر دیمەنێک
ئانالیزی دووبارە و دەرچووی مۆدێلی کەشوهەوامۆدێل، تاقیکردنەوە، ئەندام، وەشانتۆڕ و هەنگاوی کاتبۆ هەر وەشانێک
هەستەوەر و پێوەری شوێنیوێستگە، ئامێر، تۆماری پێوانەکردنخاڵ و ڕێژەی نموونەگرتنبۆ هەر تۆڕێک
ڕووبەڕووبوونی دانیشتووان و موڵکڕێگا، ساڵی بەرهەم، سەرچاوەی تێکردنقەبارەی خانە و یەکەبۆ هەر وەشانێک
سنوور و جوگرافیای ئاماژەبەرهەمهێنەر، وەشان، بەروارپێوەربۆ هەر وەشانێک
ڕەچەڵەک
تۆماری W3C PROV لە سەرچاوەوە بۆ وێنە
پرەنسیپەکان
FAIR: دۆزراوە، بەردەست، هاوکار لەگەڵ یەکتر، دووبارە بەکارهاتوو
بۆشاییەکان
وەک نەبوو پیشان دەدرێت، هەرگیز بە بێدەنگی پڕ ناکرێتەوە
پۆلەکانی داتا و خانە ڕەسەنایەتییەکان کە بۆ هەر یەکێکیان تۆمار کراون؛ کۆمەڵە داتایەک تەنیا کاتێک بە ناو لیست دەکرێت کە مۆڵەتەکەی بەکارهێنانەکەی قبووڵ بکات.
پرەنسیپە ڕێنماییەکانی FAIR · GO FAIR و FORCE11W3C PROV · World Wide Web Consortiumڕێنمایی بۆ مامەڵەی یەکسان لەگەڵ نادڵنیاییەکان · IPCCCEOS Analysis Ready Data · Committee on Earth Observation Satellites
06پشتڕاستکردنەوە

How results are checked.

Analyses are checked through sensitivity analysis, peer review and stakeholder scrutiny. Retrospective review compares decisions with outcomes.

بپشکنەHow it is done
Weight sensitivityRankings are recomputed across plausible weight sets; choices that flip are flagged for the decision holder
Evidence and preference kept apartScores record what the evidence shows; weights record what the decision holder values, and each is documented separately
Panel independenceEveryone scoring or eliciting declares interests, and conflicted members recuse from the affected choices
Retrospective reviewPast decisions are compared with outcomes to test whether criteria and probabilities were sound

Results depend on elicited probabilities and preferences that may be biased. Deep uncertainty can make expected value comparisons misleading.

07پرۆسە

چۆن پرۆسەکە کار دەکات.

Process explorer · Process

Decision analysis for technical assistance: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 قۆناغ

پرۆسە

Decision analysis for technical assistance: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01مەترسیدەرDataset · Agency coordinatorThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02ڕووبەڕووبوونDataset · Agency coordinatorThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03هەستیاریDataset · Agency coordinatorThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Agency coordinatorThe ability of سیستەمە, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.

  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · Agency coordinatorRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06لاوازیComponent · Agency coordinatorThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07مەترسیModel · AgencyRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.

  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · Agency coordinatorRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09مەترسیی ماوەRecord · Agency coordinatorThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.

  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Agency coordinatorThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

08Connections

Topics that rely on this method.

09Stewardship

Who maintains the method.

بەڕێوەبردنی مەترسیی سیستەمی stewards decision analysis under uncertainty for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.

Canonical page: Decision analysis under uncertainty

10پەیوەست

ئەو شوێنانەی ئەم لاپەڕەیە لە ناو کۆنسۆرتیۆم بۆیان دەبات.

11پرسیارەکان

پرسیار و وەڵام.

What are the limits of decision analysis under uncertainty in this field?
Results depend on elicited probabilities and preferences that may be biased. Deep uncertainty can make expected value comparisons misleading.
How are results checked?
Analyses are checked through sensitivity analysis, peer review and stakeholder scrutiny. Retrospective review compares decisions with outcomes.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method’s use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Where else is this method applied?
ئەو canonical method page lists every platform that applies it.
Reportsبەشداربە

لەم لاپەڕەیەوە بەڵگە پێشکەش بکە.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRIAgencyپۆرتفۆلیۆ و ئامادەیی

هەرگیز داتای کەسی، وردەکاریی هەستیاری ژێرخان یان هیچ شتێک مەنێرە کە مافی بڵاوکردنەوەت نییە. بەشدارییەک پێش بەکارهێنان پێداچوونەوەی بۆ دەکرێت؛ ناردنی ماف نابەخشێت بە نووسەرایەتی یان بەڕێوەبردنی ڕاگەیاندن، و پاڵپشتی دارایی هەرگیز دۆزینەوەیەک ناکڕێت.

Agency

ڕێگایەک، کۆمەڵە داتایەک یان پرسیارێک بهێنە.

زانیاری و پرسیار ئەمڕۆ کراوەن. پرسیارێک ژمارەی ئاماژەی پێدەدرێت و هەنگاوی دواتر دیاری دەکات؛ داواکاری، پارەدان، تەرخانکردنی کۆمپیوتەر و تۆمارکردن تەنیا کاتێک دەکرێنەوە کە تیم، مەرج و توانای پێداچوونەوەیان هەبێت.

ڕێگایەک پێشنیار بکە بینینی هەموو ڕێگاکانی پەیوەندی
یاسایی

نەخشە، داتا و وێنەکانی ئەم ماڵپەڕە بۆ ناوەڕۆک و زانیاریی گشتی پیشان دراون. ئامۆژگاری، پێشبینی یان ئاگادارکردنەوە نین؛ سنوورەکانی زانیارییەکە لە ڕەتکردنەوەی بەرپرسیارێتی و ئاگاداریی داتادا دەستنیشان کراون.