GCRI · Trade and Strategic Resources
Research and evidence
The research behind Trade and Strategic Resources: the questions it asks, the models and measurements it uses, how uncertainty is stated and how a result is reviewed and reproduced before it is published.
Research and evidence in four parts.
What the research asks.
- 01
Trade corridors and chokepoints
Ports, straits, rail and supply corridors.
- 02
Critical minerals
Mining, refining, demand and resource security.
- 03
Food and energy trade
Commodity security and import dependencies.
- 04
Semiconductors and components
Electronics, advanced materials and fabrication inputs.
- 05
Logistics and cold chain
Transport time and disruption.
- 06
Geoeconomics and fragmentation
Restrictions, market transmission and substitution.
What supply chain research cannot yet answer well enough for decisions.
Supply-chain risk research needs data that public statistics only partly provide. The agenda targets concentration, chokepoints and policy shocks where measurement is weakest.
- How concentrated is refining and processing of critical minerals compared with mining, and how quickly could alternatives scale? See critical minerals.
- What share of trade depends on a small set of maritime chokepoints, and how long can rerouting absorb a closure? See trade corridors and chokepoints.
- How do export restrictions spread from one country to others? See geoeconomics and fragmentation.
- Where are semiconductor and component supply chains most exposed to a single site? See semiconductors and components.
Every result keeps its label.
Results are labelled as observed, published statistics, estimated, modelled, forecast, scenario or expert judgement. Missing data is shown as missing, never filled silently.
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