The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Country work of Systems Science and Modelling, linked to national programmes and the national source register. Country pages show only work that a programme record supports.
Systems Science and Modelling country applications are the national parts of its work on methods and modelling, each linked to a national programme and the national source register. A country page shows only work that a programme record supports, and the national institutions own the question, the data and the decision.
Fig.A programme from scoping to the owner's decision. Design, not a record.
For country applications, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on population density, true-colour imagery and night lights with relief in 3D and place names and borders from NASA GIBS, framed on North America; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 3
Hazards and exposure, for this page
Keyboard, with the map focused
Hold Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll to zoom
Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
For country applications, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on population density, true-colour imagery and night lights with relief in 3D and place names and borders from NASA GIBS, framed on North America; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.
Layers and dates
Comparing models of the same system, and what disagreement tells you.
Quantifying uncertainty, validation against observations and the limits of calibration.
Linking water, energy, food, health and infrastructure models without hiding assumptions.
Network science for dependency, contagion and cascading failure.
Behaviour, adaptation and emergence in social-technical systems.
Robust and adaptive decisions when futures are deeply uncertain.
| Instrument | Usually held by | Evidence it needs |
|---|---|---|
| Government model registers | Analysis units | Model documentation |
| National scenarios | Planning bodies | Coupled scenario sets |
Programmes are listed as exploring, forming, constituted, active, paused or archived. Country and regional entries appear when a programme record supports them.
Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Country ownership | The principle that a country leads its own development policies and strategies and coordinates the actions that support them, set out in the Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness. |
| National portfolio | The set of programmes, projects and evidence a country maintains in the Nexus network, each with its owner, status and records. |
| Country systems | A government's own budget, procurement, financial management and reporting systems, used by donors when they deliver through them. |
| Validation | Confirming that a system meets its users' needs in its intended use, often summarised as building the right thing. |
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.