Nexus Reports · GCRI · In development

Methods and modelling · Risk management and systemic risk · Research and evidence

Systems Science and Modelling in Nexus Reports

The shared mathematical and engineering foundation for every Nexus field: how coupled systems are modelled, tested, validated and explained, so that a flood model, a grid model and a contagion model can be compared and combined honestly. This page shows the series it feeds, the evidence behind it and how to contribute.

Series
2
Systems
4
Methods
8
01In brief

What this area brings to the editions.

The shared mathematical and engineering foundation for every Nexus field: how coupled systems are modelled, tested, validated and explained, so that a flood model, a grid model and a contagion model can be compared and combined honestly.

02In the editions

9 findings of the drafted editions that bear on Systems Science and Modelling.

Drawn from the Baseline Edition 2026 drafts through the systems this area reads. Each opens at its anchor in its edition, with its numbered sources.

  1. GLBGlobal SystemsThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a concurrent breadbasket shortfall coinciding with an energy and fertiliser price shock.EXPERT INPUT · GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-SYS-012
  2. CANCanadaThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing runs from heat and drought through hydro shortfall, wildfire smoke and rail disruption into health and food logistics in Western Canada.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-CAN-SYS-012
  3. USAUnited StatesThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing runs from Western heat and drought through wildfire and grid stress into health, water and insurance availability.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-USA-SYS-012
  4. GBRUnited KingdomThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which heat, drought, water shortage and grassland fires load health, water, rail and power at once.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-GBR-SYS-012
  5. FRAFranceThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which low river flows constrain nuclear cooling while heat, drought, wildfire and clay subsidence load health, food and insurance.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-FRA-SYS-012
  6. DEUGermanyThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which low Rhine water cuts freight and industrial supply while heat, drought and forest fires load health, forests and power.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-DEU-SYS-012
  7. ITAItalyThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a drought-to-flood year: a hot, dry summer on the Po followed by autumn cloudbursts on dried soils.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-ITA-SYS-012
  8. GS-01Global WaterThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a multi-basin drought that cuts hydropower and irrigated yields at once while heat raises demand.EXPERT INPUT · SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-SYS-012
  9. SR-01Global PolycrisisThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a concurrent breadbasket shortfall coinciding with an energy and fertiliser price shock.EXPERT INPUT · STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-SYS-012
03Evidence path

From Foundry evidence to the series.

Press play to follow the evidence from the systems this area reads to the series it feeds, or select a step.

Systems Science and Modelling: from evidence to the editions

How Systems Science and Modelling reaches Nexus Reports: what it reads, how it reads it, the sealed cut and the series it feeds.

Systems Science and Modelling: from evidence to the editionsHow Systems Science and Modelling reaches Nexus Reports: what it reads, how it reads it, the sealed cut and the series it feeds.

Systems Science and Modelling reads DSS and Labs: governed sources with their releases, never a value without its source.

The evidence path of Systems Science and Modelling in the pillar lanes, from the Foundry systems it reads to the Reports series it feeds and the authorities that decide.

A teaching model of the evidence path, not a forecast and not a record of any run; the systems, methods and series named come from the registries.

Sources: Systems Science and Modelling in Nexus Reports (2026); Systems Science and Modelling home (2026).

04Series

The series it feeds, and what backs each.

SeriesFoundry systems it draws onAcademy disciplinesSeries home
Methods and TechnicalGRIx the methods, indicators and validation studies behind each product
Labs method comparisons under transparent test conditions
NEXQ the fitness record of models and tools the methods use
Quantitative risk analysis and statistics
Model risk and validation
Risk indicators and composite indices
Open
Scenario and Stress-TestDSS combined scenario sets and the option appraisals run on them
GRIx the cascade paths a stress test follows
Scenario analysis and stress testing
Uncertainty and decision making
Systemic, compound and cascading risk
Open
08Contribute

Contribute on Systems Science and Modelling.

Evidence, a case, a correction, a method or profile input on this subject. The composer tags it with this area and its series.

Contribution composer

Write a contribution the editor can act on.

Say what it is, where its record is kept and on which licence. It arrives tagged with this page, its area and its gateway, so it reaches the editor who owns it.

Your email opens with the subject and a template already filled in for GW-GCRI.

  • Evidence
  • Correction
  • Case study
  • Analysis or method
  • Peer review
  • Translation
  • Profile input

Never send personal data or sensitive infrastructure detail. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights.

09Open science

Open science for Systems Science and Modelling.

How a contribution on this subject is deposited, identified, credited, licensed and found, and the metadata for it prefilled from this page.

Systems Science and Modelling's open record

Area
Systems Science and Modelling
Feeds
Methods and Technical, Scenario and Stress-Test
Record
A UNI for every accepted contribution; cited with its DOI in the edition that uses it
Links
isSupplementTo the edition it informs; isNewVersionOf its earlier version
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for Nexus material; metadata CC0 1.0

Credit and identity

ORCID
Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record
ROR
Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone
CRediT
Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing, review and editing
Account
None needed to contribute; never a password

Find and follow

Search the open indexes for Systems Science and Modelling; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.

Mirrors and harvest

The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.

InvenioRDM metadata for a contribution on Systems Science and Modelling, prefilled from this page
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10Latest

Releases for this area.

Releases tagged to this area appear here once released.

NRNexus Reports gateway · GW-GCRI

Send evidence on Systems Science and Modelling.

Nexus Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

GCRISystems Science and ModellingMethods and TechnicalScenario and Stress-Test
Nexus Reports · GCRI

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