The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Static view: the interactive globe runs where this page's scripts and WebGL can; every edition is also listed on this page.
Nexus Reports · The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation · Baseline Edition 2026
Nexus Country Systems Risk & Resilience Report
The state of Germany’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline
The record
About this edition
The first annual edition of the Germany report. It fixes the 2026 reference state, the model, the voice and the positions against which every quarterly edition from Q1 2027 will be measured.
What this edition is
A baseline: the state of Germany’s water, energy, food, health and biodiversity systems in 2026, the dependencies between them, the risks that travel through them and the capabilities that hold them. It sets the questions the operational series will answer.
What it is not
Not a national risk assessment, an official warning or a rating. It decides nothing about any federal ministry, Land, municipality, operator or company. Competent authorities at federal, Land and local level keep every mandate they hold.
What comes next
Q1 2027 opens the operational series with a sealed Foundry evidence cut. Each later edition reports what changed against this baseline, new observations, source revisions, method changes, scenario updates and corrections.
Abstract and decision surface
Abstract
Germany enters 2027 having cut its greenhouse-gas emissions to 649 Mt CO₂e in 2024, 3.4% below 2023 and 48% below 1990, while closing its last nuclear reactors in April 2023 and ending its reliance on Russian pipeline gas within a year [1] [16] [17]. Renewables supplied about 54% of gross electricity consumption in 2024 [7]. 2024 was the warmest year in the national record [8]. The floods of July 2021 killed more than 180 people, 135 of them in the Ahr valley, and caused damage of about €40 billion [14] [15], yet only about 54% of homes carry natural-hazard insurance [13]. Low water on the Rhine in 2018 and 2022 restricted freight and industrial supply [24]; about 500,000 hectares of forest were damaged by drought, heat and bark beetles between 2018 and 2021 [20]; and flying-insect biomass fell by more than 75% over 27 years in protected areas [18]. This Baseline Edition fixes the reference state for the five core systems, maps the dependencies through which shocks travel, and sets the questions the first operational edition will answer in Q1 2027. It ranks nothing and decides nothing.
Headline finding
The floods of July 2021 killed more than 180 people in Germany, 135 in the Ahr valley, and caused damage of about €40 billion, while only about 54% of homes carried natural-hazard insurance.
Source: BMI flood report [14].
Implication
Flash floods in small, steep catchments give little warning and leave little time to act. Where homes are uninsured, recovery depends on public reconstruction funds, so flood exposure is also a fiscal exposure [13] [14] [15].
At a glance
Six readings that frame the baseline, and the eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.
Where do emissions stand?
649 Mt CO₂e in 2024, 48% below 1990, about 35 Mt a year of cuts still needed to 2030. [1] [3]
REPORTED
Is the climate already changing?
2024 was the warmest year on record; the first federal adaptation law took effect in July 2024. [8] [10]
REPORTED
What did 2021 show?
Flash floods in small, steep valleys killed more than 180 people and caused about €40 billion of damage. [14] [15]
REPORTED
Who carries flood losses?
Nearly half of homes have no natural-hazard cover; much damage falls on households and reconstruction funds. [13] [14]
REPORTED
How did the energy system cope with 2022?
Russian pipeline gas stopped; storage, LNG terminals and demand cuts filled the gap. [17]
REPORTED
How exposed is freight to drought?
Low Rhine water in 2018 and 2022 restricted shipping and industrial supply. [24]
REPORTED
How is nature faring?
Insect biomass down more than 75% in protected areas; 500,000 ha of forest damaged. [18] [20]
REPORTED
What will Q1 2027 test first?
A hot, dry summer with low Rhine water, heat and forest fires. SCN-DEU-HDR-01
EXPERT INPUT
Systems dashboard
WATWater
Share of water abstraction for energy supply
≈44%
mostly power-plant cooling; public supply about 27%.
REPORTED2019Destatis [12]
ENEEnergy
Renewable share of gross electricity consumption
≈54%
the last nuclear reactors closed in April 2023.
REPORTED2024UBA [7]
FOOFood
Share of EU agricultural output
≈13%
among the largest producers in the EU.
REPORTED2024Eurostat [23]
HLTHealth
Heat-related deaths
≈4,500deaths
in 2022; older people carry most of the burden.
REPORTED2022RKI [4]
BIOBiodiversity
Decline in flying-insect biomass, protected areas
>75%
over 27 years, a signal of pressure on pollination and food webs.
REPORTED1989–2016Hallmann et al. [18]
SYSCross-system
July 2021 flood damage
≈40€ bn
more than 180 deaths in Germany; 135 in the Ahr valley.
Place · Germany
A live context map of satellite and model layers for the territory. Context for the findings, never a value the edition asserts; where the layers cannot load, the base map and its note stay.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 3
Hazards and exposure
Keyboard, with the map focused
Hold Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll to zoom
Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
Flood water, active fires and surface heat beside population and night-time lights, framed on Germany.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.
Layers and dates
Static base: the live map shows here when its map library and satellite tiles can load. Natural Earth land at 110m with the editions marked; filled marks are drafted editions, rings are editions in preparation.
Key findings
Twelve findings carry the baseline. They are grouped by system, never ranked. Each resolves to its source or, where Nexus analysis is involved, to its stated method.
CLIClimate forcing
WATWater
FINFinance
Only about 54% of residential buildings carry natural-hazard insurance. [13]
ENEEnergy
HLTHealth
About 4,500 heat-related deaths were estimated in 2022. [4]
BIOBiodiversity
SYSSystemic
The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which low Rhine water cuts freight and industrial supply while heat, drought and forest fires load health, forests and power. §9.3
Part I · lead chapter
Germany’s climate risks are usually discussed one at a time: a flood, a drought, a heatwave, a gas crisis. This baseline reads them as one coupled system. In July 2021 a few days of extreme rain turned small valleys into torrents; more than 180 people died in Germany, 135 in the Ahr valley alone, and damage reached about €40 billion [14] [15]. Attribution studies found the rainfall made more likely and more intense by climate change [39].
The forcing is measurable. 2024 was the warmest year in a record that begins in 1881 [8], and about 4,500 heat-related deaths were estimated in 2022 [4]. The first federal climate adaptation law took effect in July 2024, and the federal government adopted a precautionary adaptation strategy in December 2024 [9] [10].
Water couples drought to the economy. In the dry summers of 2018 and 2022 low water on the Rhine, the country’s main freight artery, forced barges to sail part-loaded and restricted supplies to chemical and steel plants [24]. Power-plant cooling remains the largest single use of abstracted water [12]. The national water strategy of 2023 sets out how supply is to be secured to 2050 [26].
The energy system has been rebuilt under pressure. Renewables supplied about 54% of gross electricity consumption in 2024 [7]; the last nuclear reactors closed in April 2023 [16]; and when Russian pipeline gas stopped in 2022, storage, new LNG terminals and demand cuts kept supply secure [17]. Emissions fell to 649 Mt CO₂e in 2024, 48% below 1990 [1], but the 2030 target still requires about 35 Mt of cuts a year [3].
Losses and nature carry slower but deeper exposures. Only about 54% of homes carry natural-hazard insurance [13], so flood losses fall heavily on households and public reconstruction funds. About 500,000 hectares of forest were damaged by drought, heat and bark beetles between 2018 and 2021 [20], and flying-insect biomass fell by more than 75% over 27 years in protected areas [18].
This edition therefore treats German risk as a property of couplings, between rain, rivers, freight, power, forests and health, rather than a list of separate hazards. The matrix, risk objects, capability ladder and scenario that follow ask where a shock travels next and who holds the capability to stop it.
Power-plant cooling is the largest use of abstracted water, followed by public supply and industry. Agriculture uses little water today, but irrigation demand rises in dry summers [12].
Dependency network
The Germany matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core systems. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.
Select a system
Each line is one coupling, weighted by the strength the edition assigns. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events.
| WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAT Water | · | STRONGnuclear cooling · hydro | STRONGirrigation · rain-fed yield | MODERATEdrinking water | STRONGflows · wetlands |
| ENE Energy | MODERATEpumping · treatment | · | STRONGfuel · fertiliser · cold chain | STRONGfacility power · cooling | MODERATEreservoirs · land use |
| FOO Food | MODERATEwithdrawals · nutrients | WEAKbiofuel feedstock | · | STRONGnutrition · food safety | STRONGland conversion |
| HLT Health | WEAKworkforce | WEAKworkforce | MODERATElabour · disease | · | WEAKresidues |
| BIO Biodiversity | STRONGregulation · filtration | MODERATEfire on lines · biomass | STRONGpollination · soils | MODERATEzoonoses · smoke | · |
Transmission paths
Reinforcing loops · both directions rated strong
A shock entering either system of a loop returns amplified through the other. A causal-loop reading of the matrix (Sterman, Business Dynamics, 2000): structural, from estimated strengths, not a measured feedback.
Domain posture
Each of the twelve coupled domains is read in words, not scored. The coupling column names the dependency that carries risk into other systems.
| Domain | Posture at baseline | Coupling | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAT | Flash floods in small catchments; low Rhine water in dry summers; cooling the largest use. | WAT → ENE · WAT → TRD | REPORTEDEQL 4 |
| ENE | About 54% renewable electricity; nuclear closed 2023; Russian gas replaced. | ENE → HLT · ENE ← WAT | REPORTEDEQL 4 |
| FOO | A major EU producer; yields cut in dry years. | FOO ← WAT, CLI | REPORTEDEQL 3 |
| HLT | About 4,500 heat-related deaths in 2022; older people most exposed. | HLT ← CLI, ENE | REPORTEDEQL 4 |
| BIO | Insect biomass down more than 75%; forests damaged 2018–2021. | BIO → FOO · BIO → WAT | REPORTEDEQL 4 |
| CLI | 2024 the warmest year on record; heavy rain and heat increasing. | forcing on all five systems | REPORTEDEQL 5 |
| INF | Rail, roads and bridges destroyed in 2021; inland waterways exposed to low water. | INF ← CLI, WAT | REPORTEDEQL 3 |
| FIN | About 54% of homes with natural-hazard cover. | FIN ← CLI · FIN → households | REPORTEDEQL 4 |
| DAT | Data-centre growth around Frankfurt adds grid and cooling demand. | DAT ← ENE, WAT | INFERREDEQL 2 |
| AIC | Compute growth not yet consolidated in national statistics. | AIC → ENE | EXPERT INPUTEQL 2 |
| MIN | Industrial base dependent on imported raw materials. | MIN → ENE, industry | INFERREDEQL 3 |
| TRD | Export-led industry exposed to freight and energy shocks. | TRD ↔ ENE, INF | INFERREDEQL 3 |
Sector screens
All sixteen sectors are screened on the same grammar, so that later editions can say what changed. The evidence column describes coverage of the baseline evidence, not the performance of the sector.
| Code | Sector | Baseline evidence | Exposure to watch | Evidence coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS-00 | Cross-system | coupled floods, droughts and energy shocks [14] [17] | compound hot, dry summers | PARTIAL |
| GS-01 | Water | flash floods and low water [14] [24] | heavy rain; drought | GOOD |
| GS-02 | Energy | about 54% renewable power [7] | flexibility as coal exits | GOOD |
| GS-03 | Food | major EU producer [23] | drought on yields | PARTIAL |
| GS-04 | Health | heat deaths [4] [5] | heat among older people | GOOD |
| GS-05 | Finance | natural-hazard cover about 54% [13] | uninsured flood losses | GOOD |
| GS-06 | Development | regional disparities | rural services after disasters | THIN |
| GS-07 | Climate | warmest year 2024 [8] | heavy rain and heat | GOOD |
| GS-08 | Disaster | 2021 floods [14] | flash floods; warning reach | GOOD |
| GS-09 | Infrastructure | rail, roads and waterways [24] | flood damage; low water | PARTIAL |
| GS-10 | Cities | urban heat and heavy rain | drainage capacity | PARTIAL |
| GS-11 | Biodiversity | insects −75%; forests damaged [18] [20] | drought, heat, pests | GOOD |
| GS-12 | Earth observation | strong national monitoring | data integration | PARTIAL |
| GS-13 | Cyber and digital | data-centre hub around Frankfurt | outages and attacks | THIN |
| GS-14 | Policy | climate and adaptation laws [10] [11] | implementation | GOOD |
| GS-15 | Science | deep research base | translation into operations | THIN |
Risk portfolio
Four risk objects open the portfolio. Order carries no rank. Each is read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and consequence.
Capability ladder
Existence is not readiness. Each of the fifteen capability functions is placed on the ladder by the strongest public evidence at baseline.
Ladder: LISTED, EXISTS, DEMONSTRATED, TESTED. A capability listed in policy is not a tested one; each rung is the strongest public evidence at baseline.
Scenario · SCN-DEU-HDR-01
A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
Assumptions
Cascade, step by step
How the shock in scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01 would travel through Germany's coupled systems, step by step, under the assumptions the edition states.
Low rainfall and snowmelt cut Rhine and Elbe levels. Analogue or source: 2018 · 2022. Edition DEU, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01, step 1
The cascade of scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01 as a playable chain of couplings, one step at a time.
A teaching model of a conditional scenario under the edition's stated assumptions: not a forecast, not a prediction and not a warning.
Sources: Germany 2026, scenario SCN-DEU-HDR-01 (2026); Germany 2026, references (NR-CIT-1) (2026).
Three lenses
The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole. Each lens is a projection of reviewed findings, not a separate argument.
GCRI · KEY T
The evidence supports a coupled reading of German risk. Extreme rain, low rivers, heat and forest dieback are already recorded, and the energy system has shown it can absorb a supply shock. Evidence is strongest for emissions, floods and energy, and weakest for cross-system dependencies.
CLI-001 · WAT-004 · ENE-007 · SYS-012
GRF · KEY M
For most people risk arrives as a flooded valley, a heatwave or an energy bill. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that public debate weigh who carries flood losses when nearly half of homes are uninsured.
WAT-004 · FIN-005 · HLT-008
GRA · KEY F
Readiness implications only. Thin natural-hazard cover [13], a large new infrastructure fund [40] and an energy system in transition [7] show where finance-readiness evidence will matter. Nothing here is advice, a rating or an approval.
FIN-005 · ENE-006
NEXUS
Germany has rebuilt its energy system fast and observes its risks well, but its rivers, forests and valleys carry growing exposure. The 2027 programme should test the hot, dry Rhine summer, map flash-flood exposure and measure who carries the losses.
SYS-012 · A-01 · A-02 · A-03
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation reading
2027 agenda
Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due at the Q1 2027 cut.
How would a hot, dry summer with low Rhine water travel through freight, industrial supply, power, forests and health at the same time?
Where are small, steep catchments most exposed to flash floods like those of 2021, and how much warning do they get?
How would wider natural-hazard insurance change who carries flood and heavy-rain losses?
How much grid flexibility remains as coal exits and heating and transport electrify?
What heat surge capacity exists for older people at home and in care?
How are forests recovering after 2018–2021, and what does that mean for water and carbon?
How do insect declines affect pollination and yields?
Which capabilities have been tested in real events, and which are only documented?
Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment
Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for admission at the Q1 2027 alignment. They are programme objects, no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.
| ID | Object | Kind | Question | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INI-DEU-HDR-01 | Hot, dry Rhine summer dependency model | Initiative | A-01 | PROPOSED |
| INI-DEU-FLD-02 | Flash-flood exposure | Initiative | A-02 | PROPOSED |
| INI-DEU-FIN-03 | Natural-hazard cover and fiscal backstop | Initiative | A-03 | PROPOSED |
| INI-DEU-ENE-04 | Grid flexibility | Initiative | A-04 | PROPOSED |
| INI-DEU-HLT-05 | Heat surge readiness | Initiative | A-05 | PROPOSED |
| MSN-DEU-2027-01 | Hot, dry Rhine summer Universe mission | Mission | A-01 | CANDIDATE |
The pathway
Nexus Germany is the national pathway through which the Nexus operating system will run from 2027, across the federation and the sixteen Länder. At baseline the pathway is designed and its records are prepared; its councils and working groups are constituted from Q1 2027. This page states what exists today and what comes next, nothing more.
One National Agenda
bounded national questions for the year
National Desk
coordination, records, routing and continuity
National Model
the country as a system of systems
National Portfolio
risks, capabilities, initiatives, projects, missions
Nexus Foundry
continuous computational environment
Nexus Reports
quarterly and annual publication
Nexus Universe
annual proving environment
Evidence and correction
after-action, correction and renewal
System chapter
Germany’s water risk runs at both extremes: flash floods in small valleys and low water on the great rivers in dry summers.
State at baseline
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flash floods | July 2021: more than 180 deaths | [14] | REPORTED |
| Low water | Rhine restrictions in 2018 and 2022 | [24] | REPORTED |
| Use | cooling about 44%, public supply about 27% | [12] | REPORTED |
| Strategy | national water strategy to 2050 | [26] | REPORTED |
Couplings into other systems
Evidence to bind in 2027
System chapter
The energy system was rebuilt under pressure: Russian gas replaced in 2022, nuclear closed in 2023, renewables above half of electricity in 2024.
State at baseline
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Renewables | about 54% of gross electricity consumption | [7] | REPORTED |
| Nuclear | last three reactors closed 15 April 2023 | [16] | REPORTED |
| Gas | storage, LNG and demand cuts after 2022 | [17] | REPORTED |
| Emissions | 649 Mt CO₂e in 2024 | [1] | REPORTED |
Couplings into other systems
Evidence to bind in 2027
System chapter
Germany is one of the EU’s largest agricultural producers. Dry years cut yields, and insect declines threaten pollination.
State at baseline
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Production | among the EU’s largest producers | [23] | REPORTED |
| Drought | yields cut in 2018 and 2022 | [22] | REPORTED |
| Pollination | insect decline a risk to pollination | [18] | INFERRED |
| Water | irrigation small but rising in dry years | [12] | REPORTED |
Couplings into other systems
Evidence to bind in 2027
System chapter
Heat is Germany’s deadliest climate hazard in most years, and an ageing population raises exposure.
State at baseline
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | about 4,500 heat-related deaths in 2022 | [4] | REPORTED |
| Recent years | continued heat mortality in 2023 and 2024 | [5] | REPORTED |
| Floods | deaths and injuries in 2021 | [14] | REPORTED |
| Surge capacity | not consolidated nationally | , | EXPERT INPUT |
Couplings into other systems
Evidence to bind in 2027
System chapter
Insect biomass has collapsed in protected areas, and drought and pests damaged half a million hectares of forest in four years.
State at baseline
| Component | State | Evidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Insects | more than 75% decline over 27 years | [18] | REPORTED |
| Forests | about 500,000 ha damaged 2018–2021 | [20] | REPORTED |
| Condition | forest crowns remain stressed | [21] | REPORTED |
| Red Lists | many species at risk | [19] | REPORTED |
Couplings into other systems
Evidence to bind in 2027
Process
Press play to run the release step by step in the five pillar lanes; select a step to read it.
Every edition is built from a sealed evidence cut, reviewed under three keys, signed and deposited before any site shows it as published; corrections go to Nexus Standards as change proposals and feed the next cut.
Nexus Foundry seals observations and indicator series, Nexus Universe hands over after-action and scenario findings, and contributions are screened at every gateway, including this site's.
The quarterly release in the five pillar lanes: what Foundry and Universe hand to Reports, what Reports seals, reviews, signs, deposits and publishes, and what returns to Standards.
A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record.
Sources: Nexus Reports governance at GCRI Canada (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Nexus Reports deposits (2026).
How a contribution reaches this edition, step by step, is on the contribute page and the front page of this site. Contribute
Open science
Identifiers, licences and the bundle at deposit; credit by ORCID, ROR and CRediT; the open indexes; and a deposit prefilled for a contribution to this edition.
Search the open indexes for Germany; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage, and a quantified scenario run is preregistered on OSF before it is run. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.
The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.
{
"metadata": {
"resource_type": {
"id": "dataset"
},
"title": "Evidence on Germany for Nexus Reports",
"publication_date": "YYYY-MM-DD",
"creators": [
{
"person_or_org": {
"type": "personal",
"family_name": "Your family name",
"given_name": "Your given name",
"identifiers": [
{
"scheme": "orcid",
"identifier": "0000-0000-0000-0000"
}
]
},
"affiliations": [
{
"id": "ROR identifier of your organisation"
}
]
}
],
"description": "What it is, where its record is kept and how it bears on Germany 2026.",
"rights": [
{
"id": "cc-by-4.0"
}
],
"subjects": [
{
"subject": "Nexus Reports"
},
{
"subject": "Germany"
},
{
"subject": "Country Systems Risk & Resilience Report"
}
],
"related_identifiers": [
{
"identifier": "https://therisk.global/nexus-reports/editions/deu/",
"scheme": "url",
"relation_type": {
"id": "issupplementto"
},
"resource_type": {
"id": "publication-report"
}
}
],
"version": "1.0.0"
},
"custom_fields": {},
"access": {
"record": "public",
"files": "public"
},
"files": {
"enabled": true
},
"parent": {
"communities": {
"default": "nexus-reports-gcri"
}
}
}Outputs
What is on this site now, what ships with the signed bundle at release, and what is not recorded for this edition; then the chain the outputs come from and how to cite each one.
| Format | State | What it is | Identifier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Web editionHTML | On this site | Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. | NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Print editionPDF | At release | A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. | NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 |
| Indicator dataCSV · JSON | On this site | 14 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. | NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE data release v1 |
| FiguresSVG · PNG | On this site | 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. | FIG-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-* |
| SlidesPDF | Not recorded | No slide deck is recorded for this edition. | |
| Evidence briefHTML · PDF | Not recorded | No evidence brief is recorded for this edition. | |
| Dataset with DOIDataCite | At release | Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet. |
Provenance
Cite it
Indicator data
| Indicator | Value | Unit | Year | State | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenhouse-gas emissions | 649 | Mt CO₂e | 2024 | REPORTED | [1] |
| Change since 1990 | −48 | % | 2024 | REPORTED | [1] |
| 2030 target | −65 | % vs 1990 | 2030 | REPORTED | [11] |
| Renewable share of electricity | ≈54 | % | 2024 | REPORTED | [7] |
| Mean temperature, record year | 10.9 | °C | 2024 | REPORTED | [8] |
| Heat-related deaths | ≈4,500 | deaths | 2022 | REPORTED | [4] |
| Deaths in July 2021 floods | 180+ | deaths | 2021 | REPORTED | [14] |
| Flood damage, July 2021 | ≈40 | € billion | 2021 | REPORTED | [15] |
| Homes with natural-hazard cover | ≈54 | % | 2024 | REPORTED | [13] |
| Energy share of water abstraction | ≈44 | % | 2019 | REPORTED | [12] |
| Population | 83.6 | million | end 2024 | REPORTED | [6] |
| Share of EU agricultural output | ≈13 | % | 2024 | REPORTED | [23] |
| Insect biomass decline | >75 | % | 1989–2016 | REPORTED | [18] |
| Forest area damaged | ≈500,000 | hectares | 2018–2021 | REPORTED | [20] |
Six pillars
Nexus Foundry seals the evidence and Nexus Universe tests it; Nexus Reports publishes it; Nexus Standards takes its corrections and Risk Academy teaches from it.
| Handoff | Between | What crosses, and when |
|---|---|---|
| F03 | Nexus Foundry to Nexus Reports | Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout). |
| F04 | Nexus Universe to Nexus Reports | After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review). |
| F05 | Nexus Foundry to Nexus Reports | National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review). |
| Ring | Nexus Standards to Nexus Reports | Nexus Standards: applied in editions. |
| F06 | Nexus Reports to Nexus Standards | Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction). |
| F12 | Nexus Reports to Nexus Universe | Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal). |
| Ring | Nexus Reports to Risk Academy | Risk Academy: taught in the open. |
Corrections log
A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable.
0correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition's current version.
| Edition | Version | Date | State | Change | Notice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEU | NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition | None |
Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.
References · NR-CIT-1
Publication record
Publication
Publisher
Colophon
Release path for this version
Release path for this version
| Step | What happens | When |
|---|---|---|
| Draft | editorial self-check complete at evidence close | October 2026 |
| Steward review | five passes on the exact draft (keys T · M · F · N) | Q4 2026 |
| Approval | publication authority approves the exact digest | before release |
| Deposit | concept and version DOI minted; registry pointer set | at release |
| Succession | the Q1 2027 edition reports changes against this baseline | Q1 2027 |