The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Maps of Systems Science and Modelling are published here once their data rights are cleared and they have been reviewed. Each shows its time and space reference, its sources and its uncertainty.
Validation suite · Layers 5 · Scale 1:247,000
schematic · placeholder geography
| Models in library | OFFICIAL | On |
| Models with… | DERIVED | On |
| Coupled runs completed | OBSERVED | On |
| Reuse across platforms | DERIVED | Off |
| Administrative… | OFFICIAL | Off |
Systems Science and Modelling · Map workspaceMap workspace, in outline: domain structure with placeholder names and illustrative values, not a record.
Systems Science and Modelling released maps are reviewed map views of methods and modelling, published once their data rights are cleared, each with its coordinate reference, date, sources and uncertainty. Layers draw on sources such as CMIP6 archive via the Earth System Grid Federation. A map shows released, rights-cleared evidence, not a live feed or an official warning.
Fig.A programme from scoping to the owner's decision. Design, not a record.
For released maps, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on true-colour imagery, flood water and night lights with relief in 3D, framed on World; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.
The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.
Layers 3
Hazards and exposure, for this page
Keyboard, with the map focused
Hold Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll to zoom
Latest available
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth
Loading the latest NASA imagery.
Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.
For released maps, in GCRI's spatial-intelligence reading, the map opens on true-colour imagery, flood water and night lights with relief in 3D, framed on World; every other NASA layer, live feed and forecast waits in the layer list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.
Layers and dates
| Indicator | Unit | Cadence | Evidence label | Topic |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Models participating in an intercomparison | count | per round | Reported | Model intercomparison |
| Ensemble spread | range or standard deviation across models | per experiment | Modelled | Model intercomparison |
| Agreement on sign of change | percent of models | per experiment | Modelled | Model intercomparison |
| Skill against observations | error metric by model | per evaluation | Estimated | Model intercomparison |
| Shared code lineage between models | count of related model families | per assessment | Estimated | Model intercomparison |
| Outputs published in standard formats | percent of outputs | per round | Observed | Model intercomparison |
| Verification tests passed | percent of test suite | per release | Observed | Uncertainty and validation |
| Validation error against independent data | error metric | per validation | Estimated | Uncertainty and validation |
| Prediction interval coverage | percent of observations inside stated intervals | per evaluation | Observed | Uncertainty and validation |
| Sensitivity indices | share of output variance by input | per analysis | Modelled | Uncertainty and validation |
| Models with documented credibility assessment | count | per assessment | Declared | Uncertainty and validation |
| Independent reviews completed | count | per model | Reported | Uncertainty and validation |
| Components coupled | count of models in a coupled system | per configuration | Declared | Coupled systems modelling |
| Coupling frequency | exchanges per simulated period | per configuration | Declared | Coupled systems modelling |
| Conservation error at interfaces | imbalance of mass or energy | per run | Modelled | Coupled systems modelling |
| Coupled uncertainty range | range of outputs | per experiment | Modelled | Coupled systems modelling |
| Feedbacks represented | count by type | per configuration | Declared | Coupled systems modelling |
| Validation of coupled outputs | error against observations | per evaluation | Estimated | Coupled systems modelling |
| Network size | nodes and links | per dataset | Observed | Networks and cascades |
| Degree distribution | distribution shape | per dataset | Estimated | Networks and cascades |
| Centrality of key nodes | centrality score | per analysis | Estimated | Networks and cascades |
| Cascade size in simulation | share of nodes failed | per scenario | Modelled | Networks and cascades |
| Data completeness | estimated share of links observed | per dataset | Estimated | Networks and cascades |
| Interlayer dependencies | count | per dataset | Declared | Networks and cascades |
| Models documented with the ODD protocol | percent of published models | per review | Observed | Agent based and complexity |
| Patterns reproduced in validation | count of target patterns | per model | Estimated | Agent based and complexity |
| Parameters calibrated to data | percent of parameters | per model | Declared | Agent based and complexity |
| Code published | percent of published models | per review | Observed | Agent based and complexity |
| Sensitivity analysis performed | percent of published models | per review | Observed | Agent based and complexity |
| Runs per experiment | count of stochastic replicates | per experiment | Declared | Agent based and complexity |
| Scenarios evaluated | count | per analysis | Declared | Optimization under uncertainty |
| Regret of chosen plan | difference from best plan in each scenario | per analysis | Modelled | Optimization under uncertainty |
| Value of the stochastic solution | difference between stochastic and deterministic plans | per analysis | Modelled | Optimization under uncertainty |
| Satisficing share | percent of scenarios meeting objectives | per analysis | Modelled | Optimization under uncertainty |
| Adaptation triggers defined | count | per plan | Declared | Optimization under uncertainty |
| Out-of-sample performance | objective value on held-out scenarios | per analysis | Modelled | Optimization under uncertainty |
| Data latency from system to twin | minutes | continuous | Observed | Digital twins method |
| State estimation error | error metric | per evaluation | Estimated | Digital twins method |
| Decisions informed by the twin | count | per period | Reported | Digital twins method |
| Sensor coverage of the system | percent of key variables measured | per assessment | Declared | Digital twins method |
| Model components validated | percent | per assessment | Reported | Digital twins method |
| Security assessments completed | count | per assessment | Reported | Digital twins method |
| Models with archived code | percent of published models | per review | Observed | Reproducible modelling |
| Successful independent reruns | percent of attempted reruns | per audit | Observed | Reproducible modelling |
| Models with recorded environments | percent | per review | Observed | Reproducible modelling |
| Software with persistent identifiers | count | annual | Observed | Reproducible modelling |
| Corrections issued | count with reason | continuous | Observed | Reproducible modelling |
| Models meeting FAIR4RS criteria | percent | per assessment | Estimated | Reproducible modelling |
Analysis runs in Nexus Foundry; reviewed releases are listed here.
Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Coordinate reference system | The definition that ties coordinates to locations on Earth, catalogued with EPSG codes. |
| Modifiable areal unit problem | The change in statistical results that comes from how areas are drawn and aggregated. |
| Zonal statistics | Statistics of raster values summarised within boundaries such as districts. |
| Public-safe release | A recorded decision on the detail at which a layer may be published without exposing sensitive sites or people. |
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.