GCRI · Foundry
NXS-AAP
NXS-AAP (anticipatory action and triggers) supports anticipatory action: evaluating triggers, preparing pre-agreed actions and readiness, and handing activation to the institutions that hold the funds and mandates. It releases nothing automatically.
NXS-AAP in seven parts.
- 01Platforms servedNXS-AAP serves these platforms
- 02The problem it addressesActing before a disaster needs agreement before the forecast
- 03Reference practiceThe standards a design like this is read against
- 04Neighbouring systemsWhat it exchanges with the other systems
- 05RoomsThe ten rooms of NXS-AAP
- 06AccessAuthorised projects only
- 07Risk AcademyWhere NXS-AAP subjects are taught
NXS-AAP serves these platforms.
Acting before a disaster needs agreement before the forecast.
NXS-AAP is defined in system profile NRS-S9 of the Nexus Standards. Anticipatory action links a forecast threshold to pre-arranged actions and finance. Its quality depends on trigger skill (how often it fires correctly), the cost of false alarms and misses, and the readiness of the actions it triggers.
- Trigger skill evaluated on historical forecasts.
- Action plans with owners and lead times.
- Handoff to the funding institution’s activation process.
The standards a design like this is read against.
| Reference | Relevance |
|---|---|
| Anticipation Hub resources | Practice in forecast-based action |
| Sendai Framework priority four | Preparedness for effective response |
| IEC 31010 | Event-tree and decision analysis for triggers |
What it exchanges with the other systems.
- Receives forecasts and verification from NXS-EWS (multi-hazard monitoring and warning).
- Records handoffs in NXS-RLS (participants, agreements and handoffs).
The ten rooms of NXS-AAP.
NXS-AAP has the eight rooms every Foundry system shares, set to its own authority, and two specialist rooms, Triggers and Readiness. Each is described by the work it is designed for; the public register records NXS-AAP as declared, not deployed.
| Room | Kind | Designed to |
|---|---|---|
| Station | Shared | Operate, inspect and correct authoritative domain posture for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Mission | Shared | Coordinate bounded objective-oriented intelligence and human handoff for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Builder | Shared | Design, engineer and prepare governed changes and artefacts for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Maps | Shared | Inspect and compose spatial, temporal and world-model intelligence for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Data | Shared | Work with data, ontology, Chronotopes, graphs, scientific methods and risk for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Commons | Shared | Work with policy, law, standards, clauses, obligations and assurance for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Reports | Shared | Compute, model, synthesise and visualise governed analytical products and reproducible reports for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Knowledge | Shared | Work with institutional memory, records, citations, runbooks and learning for anticipatory-action frameworks, triggers, preparedness and readiness |
| Triggers | Specialist | Define, backtest, monitor and evaluate anticipatory-action trigger frameworks linked to feasible actions |
| Readiness | Specialist | Establish whether an early action can be delivered within its useful lead time, given people, partner commitments, resources, access, safeguards, financing readiness and authorisation |
Authorised projects only.
Access requires an authorised project with an accountable owner, data terms and a review plan. Enquiries go to the contact form.
Where NXS-AAP subjects are taught.
Risk Academy, led by the Nexus Consortium, teaches the subjects practised in NXS-AAP in these disciplines; the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) links to the Academy as a partner and does not provide its courses.
- Food systems and agricultureFacultyFaculty of Earth and Environmental SciencesNXS-AAP roomsTriggers
- Floods, storms and tropical cyclonesFacultyFaculty of Hazards, Disasters and ResilienceNXS-AAP roomsTriggers
- Heat, drought and wildfireFacultyFaculty of Hazards, Disasters and ResilienceNXS-AAP roomsTriggers
- Early warning and anticipatory actionFacultyFaculty of Hazards, Disasters and ResilienceNXS-AAP roomsTriggers, Readiness
- Biological and epidemic hazards in disaster risk managementFacultyFaculty of Hazards, Disasters and ResilienceNXS-AAP roomsTriggers
- Preparedness, emergency and crisis managementFacultyFaculty of Hazards, Disasters and ResilienceNXS-AAP roomsReadiness
- Humanitarian action and displacementFacultyFaculty of Hazards, Disasters and ResilienceNXS-AAP roomsReadiness
- Community resilience and inclusionFacultyFaculty of Hazards, Disasters and ResilienceNXS-AAP roomsReadiness
- Climate and healthFacultyFaculty of Health and SocietyNXS-AAP roomsTriggers
- Disaster risk financeFacultyFaculty of Finance and EconomicsNXS-AAP roomsTriggers, Readiness
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
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