Nexus Reports · GCRI · In development

Risk management and systemic risk · Methods and modelling

Systemic Risk Management in Nexus Reports

Risk management that sees interdependence, uncertainty, cascading loss and the human consequences of decisions. This page shows the series it feeds, the evidence behind it and how to contribute.

Series
3
Systems
3
Methods
6
01In brief

What this area brings to the editions.

Risk management that sees interdependence, uncertainty, cascading loss and the human consequences of decisions.

02In the editions

9 findings of the drafted editions that bear on Systemic Risk Management.

Drawn from the Baseline Edition 2026 drafts through the systems this area reads. Each opens at its anchor in its edition, with its numbered sources.

  1. GLBGlobal SystemsThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a concurrent breadbasket shortfall coinciding with an energy and fertiliser price shock.EXPERT INPUT · GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-SYS-012
  2. CANCanadaThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing runs from heat and drought through hydro shortfall, wildfire smoke and rail disruption into health and food logistics in Western Canada.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-CAN-SYS-012
  3. USAUnited StatesThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing runs from Western heat and drought through wildfire and grid stress into health, water and insurance availability.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-USA-SYS-012
  4. GBRUnited KingdomThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which heat, drought, water shortage and grassland fires load health, water, rail and power at once.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-GBR-SYS-012
  5. FRAFranceThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which low river flows constrain nuclear cooling while heat, drought, wildfire and clay subsidence load health, food and insurance.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-FRA-SYS-012
  6. DEUGermanyThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a hot, dry summer in which low Rhine water cuts freight and industrial supply while heat, drought and forest fires load health, forests and power.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-DEU-SYS-012
  7. ITAItalyThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a drought-to-flood year: a hot, dry summer on the Po followed by autumn cloudbursts on dried soils.EXPERT INPUT · COUNTRY-ITA-SYS-012
  8. GS-01Global WaterThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a multi-basin drought that cuts hydropower and irrigated yields at once while heat raises demand.EXPERT INPUT · SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-SYS-012
  9. SR-01Global PolycrisisThe leading compound pathway for 2027 testing is a concurrent breadbasket shortfall coinciding with an energy and fertiliser price shock.EXPERT INPUT · STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-SYS-012
03Evidence path

From Foundry evidence to the series.

Press play to follow the evidence from the systems this area reads to the series it feeds, or select a step.

Systemic Risk Management: from evidence to the editions

How Systemic Risk Management reaches Nexus Reports: what it reads, how it reads it, the sealed cut and the series it feeds.

Systemic Risk Management: from evidence to the editionsHow Systemic Risk Management reaches Nexus Reports: what it reads, how it reads it, the sealed cut and the series it feeds.

Systemic Risk Management reads DSS and GRIx: governed sources with their releases, never a value without its source.

The evidence path of Systemic Risk Management in the pillar lanes, from the Foundry systems it reads to the Reports series it feeds and the authorities that decide.

A teaching model of the evidence path, not a forecast and not a record of any run; the systems, methods and series named come from the registries.

Sources: Systemic Risk Management in Nexus Reports (2026); Systemic Risk Management home (2026).

04Series

The series it feeds, and what backs each.

SeriesFoundry systems it draws onAcademy disciplinesSeries home
Scenario and Stress-TestDSS combined scenario sets and the option appraisals run on them
GRIx the cascade paths a stress test follows
Scenario analysis and stress testing
Uncertainty and decision making
Systemic, compound and cascading risk
Open
Methods and TechnicalGRIx the methods, indicators and validation studies behind each product
Labs method comparisons under transparent test conditions
NEXQ the fitness record of models and tools the methods use
Quantitative risk analysis and statistics
Model risk and validation
Risk indicators and composite indices
Open
Portfolio and ReadinessNexus national and programme portfolios with their readiness evidence
AAP whether early actions can be delivered within their lead time
Rails the commitments and conditions attached to each portfolio item
Development finance
Enterprise risk management and risk frameworks
Early warning and anticipatory action
Open
05Backed by

The systems, methods and teaching behind it.

08Contribute

Contribute on Systemic Risk Management.

Evidence, a case, a correction, a method or profile input on this subject. The composer tags it with this area and its series.

Contribution composer

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  • Correction
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09Open science

Open science for Systemic Risk Management.

How a contribution on this subject is deposited, identified, credited, licensed and found, and the metadata for it prefilled from this page.

Systemic Risk Management's open record

Area
Systemic Risk Management
Feeds
Scenario and Stress-Test, Methods and Technical, Portfolio and Readiness
Record
A UNI for every accepted contribution; cited with its DOI in the edition that uses it
Links
isSupplementTo the edition it informs; isNewVersionOf its earlier version
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for Nexus material; metadata CC0 1.0

Credit and identity

ORCID
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ROR
Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone
CRediT
Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing, review and editing
Account
None needed to contribute; never a password

Find and follow

Search the open indexes for Systemic Risk Management; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.

Mirrors and harvest

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10Latest

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GCRISystemic Risk ManagementScenario and Stress-TestMethods and TechnicalPortfolio and Readiness
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