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STEM Commons · Science

Financial economics and macro-finance

Financial economics and macro-finance study how asset prices, credit and financial institutions interact with the real economy. They explain how shocks are amplified or absorbed through balance sheets and markets. Financial Stability stewards this page for the Nexus Consortium.

Institution
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)
Service level
R0: information and enquiries

Econometric model

GCRI · Financial economics and… · Run R-3781

Estimates stableGCRI · GCRI

Estimates

robust standard errors

Country programmes active−0.080.18[−0.3, 0.2]No
Evidence records with labels0.620.18[−0.3, 0.3]No
Methods applied0.420.14[0.1, 0.5]Yes
Reports released−0.250.12[−0.5, 0.4]No

Method card

Method
Financial economics and…
Sample
5486 obs
Design
panel, fixed effects
Label
MODELLED

Residuals by group

GCRI · Econometric modelEconometric model, in outline: domain structure with placeholder names and illustrative values, not a record.

01In brief

The short answer.

Financial economics and macro-finance study how asset prices, credit and financial institutions interact with the real economy. Financial economics traces how physical, health or cyber shocks transmit to credit, sovereign debt and markets. In the Nexus Consortium, Financial Stability stewards its canonical page, and 10 other platforms apply it, including Capital Nexus and Banking Nexus.

02Geography

Financial centres and urban exposure in Colombia.

The cities where people, assets and financial activity concentrate, shown for Colombia as an example geography for this subject.

The cities where people, assets and financial activity concentrate.Indicator derived from Natural Earth at map scale; a screening view, not an assessment.
GCRI · institution · fieldDESIGN FIGURE
03The method

What financial economics and macro-finance covers.

  1. 01

    Core methods

    asset pricing models; credit risk modelling; macro-financial modelling; systemic risk measurement; event studies; balance sheet analysis.

  2. 02

    Data and instruments

    market price and yield data; supervisory returns; corporate financial statements; flow of funds accounts; credit registries.

  3. 03

    Validation

    Models are back-tested against historical market episodes and crises. Results are compared with supervisory data and alternative specifications.

  4. 04

    Limits

    Relationships estimated in calm periods may break down in stress. Hidden leverage and interconnections are often unobserved.

  5. 05

    Use in risk decisions

    Financial economics traces how physical, health or cyber shocks transmit to credit, sovereign debt and markets. It informs macroprudential policy and the pricing of risk.

04Reference practice

Financial economics informs supervisory and disclosure practice.

ReferenceWhat it sets
Basel Committee standardsBank capital and liquidity
NGFS scenariosClimate scenarios for financial analysis
IFRS S2Climate-related financial disclosure
Financial Stability BoardSystem-wide vulnerabilities
05In systemic risk work

Where science meets the balance sheet.

Financial economics explains how physical and transition shocks become credit losses, repricing and liquidity stress. GCRI's interest is the interface: hazard and exposure analysis in a form that financial models can use, with uncertainty that survives the translation. The sector analysis itself is GRA's mandate.

  • Translate hazard probabilities into loss distributions, not single scenarios only.
  • Avoid treating scenario outputs as forecasts.
  • Nothing in this analysis is investment advice.
07Stewardship

Who maintains this page.

Financial Stability stewards financial economics and macro-finance: it keeps this description current and reviews how the method is applied across the platforms.

08Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Countercyclical capital bufferA capital requirement raised when credit grows excessively and released in stress.
Second-round effectsFeedback from bank losses to the economy, such as tighter credit deepening a downturn.
Satellite modelA model linking scenario variables to a specific bank risk parameter, such as default rates.
Non-bank financial intermediationCredit and investment activity outside the banking system, by funds, insurers and others.
09Sources

Where this page's references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

11Questions

Questions and answers.

Why does one institution host every method page?
GCRI hosts the STEM Commons so that each method has one canonical description. Platforms link to it rather than repeat it, which keeps definitions consistent.
How do I suggest a correction to a method page?
Write to integrity@therisk.global with the passage and the reason.
The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation

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The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

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